Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.96K

Unrealized P&L

-$328

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

152

Trades

418

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$1.72K

13 positions

First seen

2026-10-11

last 11-03 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

46% 68% +$1,701

Other

44% 58% +$256

Crypto

6% 71% +$6

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+772	$635	88¢	$682	+$47	10-30 04:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	+4,101	$487	10¢	$390	-$97	11-02 21:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+950	$374	32¢	$304	-$70	10-31 19:52
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	+280	$90	34¢	$97	+$7	11-02 08:29
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+300	$126	29¢	$87	-$39	10-27 16:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	+474	$78	15¢	$71	-$7	11-02 21:29
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	+200	$53	26¢	$53	$0	10-27 18:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	+592	$41	6¢	$33	-$9	11-02 21:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	+1	$40	87¢	$1	-$39	11-03 07:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	+68	$54	1¢	$1	-$53	11-02 21:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	+70	$53	1¢	$1	-$52	11-02 21:29
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	No	+1	$6	58¢	$1	-$5	10-23 20:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	+11	$9	1¢	$0	-$9	11-02 21:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	5	$1.0K	2,763	1,622	+1,141	No	+$958	11-02 21:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	7	$692	810	38	+772	open	—	10-30 04:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	3	$526	4,348	247	+4,101	open	—	11-02 21:29
Will Trump say "Tax" 32+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	2	$488	637	0	+637	No	+$149	11-01 16:34
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	6	$452	771	0	+771	Yes	-$452	10-30 05:56
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	4	$401	599	0	+599	open	—	11-01 20:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	3	$400	250	249	+1	open	—	11-03 07:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	11	$374	950	0	+950	open	—	10-31 19:52
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	1	$364	409	0	+409	open	—	10-31 21:16
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	2	$364	404	0	+404	No	+$40	11-01 20:45
Will Trump say "Tax" 32+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	1	$364	485	0	+485	No	+$121	10-31 22:02
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	12	$342	504	0	+504	No	+$162	10-27 19:43
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	2	$320	660	0	+660	No	+$340	11-01 08:29
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	6	$314	400	0	+400	Yes	+$85	10-27 06:41
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	2	$292	323	40	+283	open	—	11-03 14:38
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	4	$282	250	100	+150	T1	+$56	10-28 20:47
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?	5	$278	377	0	+377	open	—	11-02 06:55
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$262	340	0	+340	Yes	+$78	10-28 05:39
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	2	$260	150	150	+0	T1	+$22	10-28 21:21
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	3	$230	307	0	+307	Yes	+$77	10-27 06:41
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	6	$226	395	0	+395	open	—	11-03 07:14
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	1	$213	256	0	+256	open	—	11-03 14:38
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$194	216	13	+203	open	—	11-03 01:32
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	3	$190	320	0	+320	open	—	11-02 18:51
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?	1	$175	187	0	+187	open	—	10-28 05:39
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	2	$171	276	0	+276	open	—	11-02 05:19
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	7	$165	181	60	+121	open	—	11-03 07:14
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	3	$160	203	0	+203	Yes	+$43	10-26 14:31
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	3	$160	112	112	+0	No	+$19	10-29 09:57
Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	2	$160	206	0	+206	open	—	11-03 14:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 14:38:01	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xf1bab8…
11-03 14:38:01	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	256	83¢	$213	0xc4cc8b…
11-03 14:38:01	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	77¢	$99	0x85887d…
11-03 14:38:01	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	49	89¢	$44	0x561062…
11-03 14:38:00	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	60	78¢	$47	0xb5dc0d…
11-03 14:38:00	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	64¢	$110	0x97701d…
11-03 14:38:00	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x87dd4f…
11-03 14:38:00	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x2d1de9…
11-03 10:05:04	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xf11689…
11-03 10:05:04	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	323	82¢	$265	0xc1ed8f…
11-03 10:05:04	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x90077f…
11-03 07:18:24	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	156	77¢	$120	0xefbc3a…
11-03 07:18:24	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$9	0xb1baf5…
11-03 07:18:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	249	72¢	$180	0x4739cd…
11-03 07:14:25	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	269	48¢	$129	0x94fc18…
11-03 07:14:24	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	82¢	$99	0x55663a…
11-03 05:35:25	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0xdec313…
11-03 05:35:25	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xbacb3b…
11-03 05:35:25	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x6677ea…
11-03 01:32:55	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x1d8fd9…
11-03 01:32:54	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	52	10¢	$5	0xe810a0…
11-03 01:32:54	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xd443ca…
11-03 01:32:54	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xbf3f47…
11-03 01:32:54	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	112	9¢	$10	0xb042a4…
11-03 01:32:54	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	189	2¢	$4	0x7e7708…
11-03 01:32:54	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x0f2d99…
11-03 01:32:52	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x6fb477…
11-02 21:30:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x85db6b…
11-02 21:29:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	110	14¢	$15	0xb23a72…
11-02 21:29:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	68	79¢	$54	0xa7ee58…
11-02 21:29:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	SELL	247	8¢	$20	0x5fe5a9…
11-02 21:29:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	70	76¢	$53	0x593195…
11-02 21:29:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	1,622	26¢	$422	0x424e68…
11-02 21:29:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	61	86¢	$52	0x394a81…
11-02 21:29:58	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x183e7f…
11-02 21:29:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	294	7¢	$21	0xcc9e47…
11-02 18:51:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x7337dd…
11-02 17:26:13	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	160	13¢	$21	0x605ff4…
11-02 17:26:13	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x51451c…
11-02 17:26:13	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	40¢	$36	0x069f69…
11-02 17:26:12	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xf374b9…
11-02 17:26:12	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x670e59…
11-02 17:26:12	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x0da95b…
11-02 13:23:37	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xd072f4…
11-02 13:23:37	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xaeed48…
11-02 13:23:37	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0x3d0ea1…
11-02 13:23:36	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0x202ffb…
11-02 09:21:24	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	24	47¢	$11	0xf5097b…
11-02 09:21:24	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	226	9¢	$21	0x86e970…
11-02 09:21:22	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xb31e7a…
11-02 09:21:22	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x0ec6bf…
11-02 09:09:01	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x0c4674…
11-02 08:29:24	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	80	35¢	$28	0x148c1a…
11-02 06:55:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	37	69¢	$26	0xba28b6…
11-02 06:51:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x2f639a…
11-02 06:44:37	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x76d133…
11-02 05:19:30	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	126	67¢	$84	0xc58277…
11-02 05:19:30	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	21¢	$9	0x8fbf4d…
11-02 05:19:30	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x253d42…
11-02 02:42:21	Will Bilibili Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6f5687…
11-02 01:17:04	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	150	58¢	$87	0x751452…
11-01 21:14:09	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	40	71¢	$29	0x4709e7…
11-01 20:45:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	66	28¢	$18	0x5d038b…
11-01 20:45:34	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x2c55a7…
11-01 20:45:33	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	384	90¢	$346	0xfef113…
11-01 20:45:33	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xee7aa5…
11-01 20:45:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	1,515	11¢	$167	0x91d576…
11-01 20:45:33	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x6d979b…
11-01 20:45:33	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0x4053fd…
11-01 20:43:18	Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x7c66ea…
11-01 20:37:49	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	112	11¢	$12	0xc2ffc8…
11-01 20:37:48	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	335	68¢	$228	0x76b93f…
11-01 20:37:48	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x2fc980…
11-01 16:34:24	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0xee92e8…
11-01 16:34:24	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb7ae1b…
11-01 16:34:24	Will Trump say "Tax" 32+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	250	76¢	$190	0x07dbd6…
11-01 16:34:22	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xff7790…
11-01 16:34:22	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xb214ab…
11-01 12:31:54	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xdd23e9…
11-01 12:31:54	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xb018c8…
11-01 12:31:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	148	26¢	$38	0xa407fa…
11-01 12:31:54	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x7ae8d0…
11-01 12:31:54	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x1418f5…
11-01 12:31:54	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	18¢	$25	0x024e2f…
11-01 12:31:52	Will Trump say "Tax" 32+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	387	77¢	$298	0x69c9bb…
11-01 09:25:21	Will Bilibili Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	88	28¢	$25	0x8f1f7d…
11-01 08:29:34	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf8d8f0…
11-01 08:29:34	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	19¢	$8	0xa59eeb…
11-01 08:29:34	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x4b7346…
11-01 08:29:34	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x155b7a…
11-01 08:29:33	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	233	65¢	$151	0x24c4fc…
11-01 08:29:33	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	590	49¢	$289	0x03105a…
11-01 08:29:33	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0x013580…
11-01 08:20:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xc27b98…
11-01 08:19:37	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$101	0xc52e5c…
11-01 06:08:37	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xfc2739…
11-01 06:08:37	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0xdb810a…
11-01 06:08:37	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xc7a13f…
11-01 06:08:37	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x9bf308…
11-01 06:08:37	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x9984a7…