Negligible-Electronics — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$83

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

172

2,053 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$426

$4.08K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$36

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 11-05 12:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 55% +$58

Tech

3% 50% +$2

Sports

3% 50% +$66

Politics

1% 100% +$24

Other

1% 33% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+71	$30	29¢	$20	-$10	10-10 09:29
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+23	$10	64¢	$15	+$5	10-10 09:29
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+24	$1	3¢	$1	$0	10-16 15:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$100	202	0	+202	Up	+$102	09-18 18:56
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$100	124	0	+124	Yes	+$24	06-13 16:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$100	104	0	+104	Yes	+$4	08-02 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$87	173	0	+173	Down	+$85	10-11 07:07
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$50	74	0	+74	Yes	+$24	10-05 07:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:20 UTC	1	$40	91	0	+91	Up	-$40	08-02 12:22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$30	71	0	+71	open	—	10-10 09:29
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	1	$20	87	0	+87	No	-$20	10-05 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:15 UTC	1	$20	37	0	+37	Up	-$20	08-02 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$20	37	0	+37	Up	-$20	09-18 18:44
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	1	$12	20	0	+20	Yes	+$8	08-02 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:10 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$10	08-02 12:09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	10-10 09:29
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	68	0	+68	No	-$10	06-24 15:15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	52	0	+52	No	-$10	06-24 15:14
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	72	0	+72	Yes	+$62	06-24 15:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 07:25 UTC	3	$6	7	3	+5	Down	$0	06-10 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	11-03 05:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:10 UTC	3	$5	7	3	+4	Down	$0	06-10 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 11:25 UTC	4	$5	8	8	+0	Down	$0	06-10 11:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:45 UTC	3	$5	7	3	+5	Up	$0	06-09 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 10:35 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	06-10 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	11-03 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 07:55 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	04-21 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:10 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	06-09 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-16 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-19 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-19 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-18 16:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 12:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x4d3f7d…
11-05 12:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xb1ee2d…
11-05 11:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xc1037c…
11-05 11:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf91eaf…
11-05 11:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$2	0x9d612f…
11-05 11:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x57d686…
11-05 11:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x04e533…
11-05 11:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xf66a7a…
11-05 11:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb545c5…
11-05 11:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x3cbbc3…
11-05 10:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x9c62f0…
11-05 10:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x56587e…
11-05 10:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x155f16…
11-05 10:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0fb7d6…
11-05 09:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xacfc92…
11-05 09:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0xdd3798…
11-05 09:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x83f449…
11-05 09:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xd78414…
11-05 09:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xeab701…
11-05 09:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xce4395…
11-05 09:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x84e344…
11-05 09:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x7c23ce…
11-05 08:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x0d34a2…
11-05 08:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x168681…
11-05 08:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x03cb42…
11-05 08:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x79336e…
11-05 07:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x6ce8d6…
11-05 07:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x02539d…
11-05 07:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x083da4…
11-05 07:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x97d6fa…
11-05 07:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x9415ed…
11-05 07:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc2ab99…
11-05 06:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xe89807…
11-05 06:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x026a40…
11-05 06:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x7a6325…
11-05 06:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xdb6195…
11-05 06:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xc1be44…
11-05 06:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xff986d…
11-05 02:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa84f32…
11-05 02:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xbde35b…
11-05 02:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x6f2948…
11-05 02:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x72a3ff…
11-05 01:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa58394…
11-05 01:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x47f9e6…
11-05 01:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x0edba5…
11-05 00:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3404bd…
11-05 00:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7e8ef6…
11-05 00:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xe48635…
11-04 23:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xfe6e3e…
11-04 23:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x5f3ab2…
11-04 23:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8059b1…
11-04 22:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x792edf…
11-04 22:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x7f1482…
11-04 21:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc6f47f…
11-04 21:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x7dec23…
11-04 21:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x554786…
11-04 21:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xd18160…
11-04 21:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc7b416…
11-04 21:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xd14ea7…
11-04 21:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xc8249c…
11-04 21:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf21151…
11-04 21:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc26aa1…
11-04 21:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x15cfbd…
11-04 20:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xddb2bc…
11-04 20:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x48c684…
11-04 20:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xb2f9fb…
11-04 20:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xfd454f…
11-04 19:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x4e956d…
11-04 19:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x210797…
11-04 17:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x0ee473…
11-04 17:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6d8fe4…
11-04 16:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xe4e9ea…
11-04 16:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xa197af…
11-04 16:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xa1fd11…
11-04 16:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xdfd8c3…
11-04 16:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x1e470e…
11-04 15:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x301a43…
11-04 15:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x72a1bc…
11-04 15:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0f04cc…
11-04 15:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5e98ba…
11-04 01:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x224a4e…
11-04 01:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xbab9cc…
11-04 01:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x940e32…
11-04 00:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x27553e…
11-04 00:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x816106…
11-03 23:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x8123bf…
11-03 23:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xfd6bed…
11-03 23:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x0aff3a…
11-03 23:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x4986db…
11-03 22:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x471844…
11-03 22:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x67f238…
11-03 22:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xefa107…
11-03 22:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x8757df…
11-03 21:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xcd0413…
11-03 21:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0fbc50…
11-03 21:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x01309a…
11-03 21:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x72d3bc…
11-03 21:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x923194…
11-03 21:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8ade7f…
11-03 20:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xf9c405…