Negligible-Electronics — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$94

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

114

1,990 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$329

$3.98K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 11-04 20:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 55% +$69

Tech

3% 50% +$2

Sports

3% 50% +$66

Politics

1% 100% +$24

Other

1% 33% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+71	$30	32¢	$23	-$7	10-10 09:29
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+23	$10	60¢	$14	+$4	10-10 09:29
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+24	$1	4¢	$1	+$0	10-16 15:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$100	202	0	+202	Up	+$102	09-18 18:56
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$100	124	0	+124	Yes	+$24	06-13 16:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$100	104	0	+104	Yes	+$4	08-02 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$87	173	0	+173	Down	+$85	10-11 07:07
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$50	74	0	+74	Yes	+$24	10-05 07:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:20 UTC	1	$40	91	0	+91	Up	-$40	08-02 12:22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$30	71	0	+71	open	—	10-10 09:29
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	1	$20	87	0	+87	No	-$20	10-05 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:15 UTC	1	$20	37	0	+37	Up	-$20	08-02 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$20	37	0	+37	Up	-$20	09-18 18:44
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	1	$12	20	0	+20	Yes	+$8	08-02 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:10 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$10	08-02 12:09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	10-10 09:29
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	68	0	+68	No	-$10	06-24 15:15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	52	0	+52	No	-$10	06-24 15:14
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	72	0	+72	Yes	+$62	06-24 15:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 07:25 UTC	3	$6	7	3	+5	Down	$0	06-10 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	11-03 05:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:10 UTC	3	$5	7	3	+4	Down	$0	06-10 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 11:25 UTC	4	$5	8	8	+0	Down	$0	06-10 11:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:45 UTC	3	$5	7	3	+5	Up	$0	06-09 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 10:35 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	06-10 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	11-03 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 07:55 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	04-21 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:10 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	06-09 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-16 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-19 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-19 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-18 16:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 21:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xd14ea7…
11-04 21:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xc8249c…
11-04 21:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf21151…
11-04 21:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc26aa1…
11-04 21:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x15cfbd…
11-04 20:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xddb2bc…
11-04 20:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x48c684…
11-04 20:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xb2f9fb…
11-04 20:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xfd454f…
11-04 19:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x4e956d…
11-04 19:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x210797…
11-04 17:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x0ee473…
11-04 17:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6d8fe4…
11-04 16:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xe4e9ea…
11-04 16:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xa197af…
11-04 16:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xa1fd11…
11-04 16:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xdfd8c3…
11-04 16:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x1e470e…
11-04 15:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x301a43…
11-04 15:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x72a1bc…
11-04 15:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0f04cc…
11-04 15:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5e98ba…
11-04 01:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x224a4e…
11-04 01:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xbab9cc…
11-04 01:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x940e32…
11-04 00:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x27553e…
11-04 00:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x816106…
11-03 23:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x8123bf…
11-03 23:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xfd6bed…
11-03 23:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x0aff3a…
11-03 23:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x4986db…
11-03 22:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x471844…
11-03 22:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x67f238…
11-03 22:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xefa107…
11-03 22:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x8757df…
11-03 21:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xcd0413…
11-03 21:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0fbc50…
11-03 21:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x01309a…
11-03 21:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x72d3bc…
11-03 21:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x923194…
11-03 21:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8ade7f…
11-03 20:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xf9c405…
11-03 20:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc5d8ef…
11-03 19:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x3a8ce2…
11-03 19:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1c8741…
11-03 19:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x97815a…
11-03 19:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x323c5b…
11-03 19:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xf843e4…
11-03 19:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd52445…
11-03 18:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x3bd401…
11-03 18:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x3735fc…
11-03 18:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xde78d9…
11-03 18:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x666401…
11-03 18:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xec8882…
11-03 18:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x78ff74…
11-03 17:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xac6e0a…
11-03 17:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe5a4d5…
11-03 17:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xcee934…
11-03 17:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x38e7b3…
11-03 16:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x914577…
11-03 16:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa4ba7c…
11-03 15:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xd0f1e7…
11-03 15:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x85bf8c…
11-03 15:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xbfcbea…
11-03 14:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xc84ecd…
11-03 14:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x07843b…
11-03 14:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x7c2765…
11-03 14:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3c9425…
11-03 14:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0xb374ae…
11-03 14:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xce0122…
11-03 13:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x565051…
11-03 13:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa6c7b0…
11-03 12:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x30e98e…
11-03 12:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x1f3d06…
11-03 12:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa26d9b…
11-03 12:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2b1933…
11-03 11:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x4f205b…
11-03 11:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc0bdb9…
11-03 10:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x17e09b…
11-03 10:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$2	0x58f367…
11-03 10:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x2cbf03…
11-03 10:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xa8843f…
11-03 10:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb90880…
11-03 10:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x680f70…
11-03 10:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x465ef0…
11-03 10:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x8bf229…
11-03 10:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x0cdf49…
11-03 09:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x4ad39a…
11-03 09:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x8f5cdc…
11-03 07:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x653c92…
11-03 07:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb1ce95…
11-03 07:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4711c2…
11-03 07:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xaa0705…
11-03 07:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0x912b3d…
11-03 07:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x5df80c…
11-03 06:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xe0ac1e…
11-03 06:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x229f97…
11-03 05:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x9faf43…
11-03 05:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0dd518…
11-03 04:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x3d848e…