Shocked-Airbag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

104

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$42.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$141

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 98% +$25

Politics

9% 0% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on march 26	4	$5.1K	2,574	2,574	+0	Yes	+$3	03-25 01:18
bitcoin above 62k on march 25	7	$2.9K	1,478	1,478	+0	Yes	+$1	03-24 22:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2.7K	1,888	1,888	+0	Yes	-$19	03-25 18:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	2	$2.1K	1,034	1,034	+0	No	+$1	03-24 02:07
ethereum above 1700 on march 26	2	$1.9K	933	933	+0	Yes	+$1	03-24 22:54
bitcoin above 82k on march 25	4	$1.8K	924	924	+0	No	+$2	03-24 01:48
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$1.8K	888	888	+0	Yes	+$1	03-24 03:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$1.2K	9,999	9,999	+0	open	—	10-22 09:17
ethereum above 2500 on march 25	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$1	03-24 10:36
will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on march 25	3	$1.1K	550	550	+0	No	+$1	03-24 20:15
ethereum above 2500 on march 26	2	$1.1K	544	544	+0	No	+$1	03-25 00:32
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 26	3	$757	660	100	+560	No	+$2	03-25 01:30
will the price of solana be between 50 60 on march 26	2	$709	355	355	+0	No	+$0	03-25 07:25
xrp above 1 on march 25	6	$699	350	350	+0	Yes	+$0	03-24 13:32
xrp above 1pt1 on march 25	2	$598	300	300	+0	Yes	+$1	03-24 04:23
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt00 on march 26	2	$499	250	250	+0	No	+$0	03-25 03:00
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on march 26	3	$499	250	250	+0	No	+$0	03-25 08:11
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on march 25	3	$491	246	246	+0	No	+$0	03-24 04:03
ethereum above 2600 on march 25	3	$424	220	205	+15	No	+$0	03-24 03:43
will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on march 26	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	03-25 02:59
xrp above 1pt7 on march 25	5	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	03-24 20:11
will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 18	4	$308	155	155	+0	No	+$0	04-18 07:06
solana above 60 on march 25	2	$304	152	152	+0	Yes	+$0	03-24 04:21
will the price of solana be greater than 130 on march 26	3	$239	220	20	+200	No	+$0	03-25 01:21
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 25	2	$239	120	120	+0	No	+$0	03-24 10:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 25?	2	$229	115	115	+0	No	+$0	04-24 08:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 24	2	$227	114	114	+0	No	+$0	04-23 10:54
bitcoin above 70k on april 22	2	$227	114	114	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 19:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 13	2	$225	113	113	+0	No	+$0	04-13 00:52
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 16	3	$225	113	113	+0	No	+$0	04-15 10:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:24:35	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2c279a…
10-23 22:28:26	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x063751…
10-22 09:17:50	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	9,999	6¢	$623	0x5bc8bf…
10-22 09:17:29	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	9,999	6¢	$600	0x39f926…
10-19 17:58:06	Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xea6fd0…
09-05 14:11:42	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 7?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xb0714e…
09-04 22:54:48	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 7?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x6caa3f…
06-17 04:31:28	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 18?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xac098a…
06-17 02:51:25	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 18?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x90cfd1…
06-16 19:07:10	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 18?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb9323f…
06-16 08:22:49	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 18?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x658f05…
06-10 07:23:06	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 11?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xfbda3f…
06-10 06:42:51	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 11?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xd04b5f…
06-08 17:09:10	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 11?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x7df0fe…
05-26 18:50:12	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xb4138c…
05-14 04:15:07	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on May 15?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x21b0ef…
05-14 00:56:43	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on May 15?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x6c93c2…
05-10 15:08:52	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 4-10?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xc9f99f…
05-10 08:51:41	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 4-10?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x271057…
05-09 23:26:12	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 4-10?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x72a76b…
05-09 07:34:32	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x30a824…
05-09 03:25:07	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x10f49b…
05-08 00:06:42	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 7?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xa797f2…
05-08 00:05:14	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 7?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xd66e9b…
05-07 06:00:51	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 7?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x4a2f6a…
05-07 06:00:48	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 7?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xc3d03e…
05-06 23:52:37	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 7?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x6bbecc…
05-04 20:14:50	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 6?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x01561f…
05-04 18:41:56	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 6?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xe97dba…
05-04 05:32:06	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 5?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x4d6416…
05-03 21:45:06	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 5?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x40a47f…
05-02 21:45:50	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x8f34ea…
05-02 20:29:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x281a43…
05-01 22:14:00	Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 1?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x82c114…
05-01 06:30:16	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 2?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xd69448…
05-01 05:38:18	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 2?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x3b7275…
05-01 04:42:06	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 2?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0b54a7…
04-30 21:41:36	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 2?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$47	0xc56e91…
04-30 21:41:12	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 2?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x9572c6…
04-30 00:32:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb398fa…
04-30 00:26:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe9f680…
04-30 00:26:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x72594c…
04-30 00:26:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd0bbe9…
04-30 00:26:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x22c164…
04-30 00:26:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0e81cb…
04-30 00:26:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa362be…
04-30 00:26:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x62e561…
04-30 00:26:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb727c4…
04-30 00:26:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa64c58…
04-30 00:26:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa02511…
04-30 00:19:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd9bc97…
04-30 00:19:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9294a2…
04-30 00:19:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfcc79e…
04-30 00:19:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd32697…
04-30 00:16:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4b110e…
04-29 21:54:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xae4328…
04-29 06:54:18	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x1d6ee2…
04-29 03:02:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x5b54ed…
04-28 06:43:54	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xda80ab…
04-28 06:25:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd3714d…
04-28 06:01:28	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4bd631…
04-28 05:30:42	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x693c97…
04-28 05:23:06	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x4502b3…
04-27 09:51:22	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x26b82f…
04-26 15:20:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x23f6ab…
04-25 22:34:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x721970…
04-25 17:08:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x21ea0b…
04-25 07:20:18	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 26?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x16ed35…
04-25 05:26:42	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 26?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xef44bb…
04-24 08:04:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 25?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$114	0x0d0084…
04-24 01:34:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x998238…
04-23 10:54:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 24	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x3a5f35…
04-22 21:48:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 24	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xf886fc…
04-22 14:11:42	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 84000 on april 23	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x75aa83…
04-22 03:49:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 23	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xefcd79…
04-22 02:40:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 23	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba4893…
04-22 02:38:56	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 84000 on april 23	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xf0bd9b…
04-21 19:21:30	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x8ec6c3…
04-21 18:28:26	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x5094b6…
04-19 00:41:12	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$101	0xe07dc6…
04-18 21:34:22	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xa19168…
04-18 07:06:32	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 18	No	SELL	103	100¢	$102	0x65d605…
04-18 01:07:14	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 18	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x2673d7…
04-17 13:44:04	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 18	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x282349…
04-17 01:16:32	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 18	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x2bd8dd…
04-16 02:25:36	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x47a14b…
04-16 02:22:58	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1705e4…
04-16 02:19:58	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x72ce95…
04-16 02:14:42	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x84a040…
04-16 02:06:04	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb0c1af…
04-16 01:56:20	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdddf51…
04-16 01:49:32	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x592fb1…
04-16 01:49:26	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x132a1c…
04-16 01:39:42	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0c6a0e…
04-16 01:31:26	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xd0a0fd…
04-16 01:30:24	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6f5b9e…
04-15 20:28:26	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	BUY	113	100¢	$112	0x4f1d50…
04-15 10:20:20	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 16	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x1230ea…
04-15 10:13:42	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 16	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xa22c40…
04-15 00:35:36	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 16	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x51291a…