Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$115

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-30

last 09-02 07:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

62% 41% +$0

Politics

34% 50% +$0

Sports

4% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+6	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	07-10 16:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$1	09-02 07:51
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	09-02 07:51
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	09-02 07:51
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?	2	$9	12	12	+0	Yes	-$1	09-02 07:51
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?	1	$5	13	0	+13	No	+$8	06-01 02:30
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	1	$5	56	0	+56	No	-$5	06-18 20:32
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	1	$5	17	0	+17	No	-$5	07-22 04:33
will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 nba finals be by 30 or more points 20260603223720647	1	$5	13	0	+13	No	+$8	06-05 08:56
israel closes its airspace by august 31	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	07-11 16:29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	-$5	07-06 16:29
will nvda reach 220 by june 15 2026	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	+$2	06-15 03:19
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	07-17 04:30
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?	1	$4	9	0	+9	No	-$4	05-30 20:35
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?	1	$4	9	0	+9	Yes	+$5	07-11 04:29
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?	1	$3	8	0	+8	No	-$3	05-31 20:48
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	09-02 07:51
will ng reach 3 00 by july 13 2026	1	$3	8	0	+8	No	+$5	07-13 04:30
wti up or down on july 10 2026	1	$3	8	0	+8	Down	+$5	07-10 04:29
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	1	$3	8	0	+8	Yes	+$5	05-31 08:41
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	09-02 07:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	07-18 04:31
ng up or down on july 22 2026	1	$2	7	0	+7	Up	-$2	07-22 16:33
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	07-19 16:32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	06-11 10:12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	07-17 16:30
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?	1	$1	6	0	+6	Yes	-$1	06-16 02:20
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	07-10 16:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 07:51:42	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?	No	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0x6cf986…
09-02 07:51:34	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x383e38…
09-02 07:51:27	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0xf18549…
09-02 07:51:19	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x9eef14…
09-02 07:51:12	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x7dfda3…
09-02 07:51:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x81daf5…
09-01 12:42:24	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x18c6b6…
07-22 16:33:16	ng up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x458c79…
07-22 04:33:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8c591f…
07-19 16:32:00	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0xcab34d…
07-18 16:31:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3499e7…
07-18 04:31:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xfb01e2…
07-17 16:30:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xb4ae1a…
07-17 04:30:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x9bb46c…
07-13 04:30:07	will ng reach 3 00 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xc5dcc6…
07-11 16:29:40	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdfde3a…
07-11 04:29:28	Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x1fdc83…
07-10 16:29:25	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xba6133…
07-10 04:29:17	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xbf76b1…
07-06 16:29:05	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x4c24fa…
07-06 04:26:49	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x31c253…
06-19 20:09:02	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x6ae336…
06-18 20:32:55	Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xd7fd8c…
06-16 02:20:18	Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x4eea9e…
06-15 03:19:16	will nvda reach 220 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x152ce4…
06-14 06:05:30	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x914cf7…
06-11 10:12:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xf14ddb…
06-05 08:56:00	will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 nba finals be by 30 or more points 20260603223720647	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8b8ae1…
06-01 02:30:03	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?	No	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xf559d8…
05-31 20:48:34	Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xeb6698…
05-31 08:41:23	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xb57a09…
05-30 20:35:04	Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xb8f7ae…
05-30 08:33:06	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x441019…