Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$86

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 09-02 08:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

54% 100% +$3

Other

40% 15% -$14

Sports

6% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+6	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	07-11 09:39
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+0	$1	20¢	$0	-$1	09-02 08:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	09-02 08:04
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	09-02 08:03
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	09-02 08:03
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	2	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	09-02 08:04
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?	1	$5	13	0	+13	No	+$8	06-01 02:26
will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	06-15 03:17
will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 nba finals be by 30 or more points 20260603223720647	1	$5	13	0	+13	No	+$8	06-05 08:56
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	05-31 09:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	-$5	06-17 21:05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	1	$4	9	0	+9	No	-$4	07-10 21:39
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	09-02 08:03
will constitution be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212427	1	$3	8	0	+8	No	-$3	07-09 21:39
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	09-02 08:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$1	05-30 08:57
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	06-21 10:26
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	05-31 21:37
will hood reach 120 by july 6 2026	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	07-08 21:38
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	06-20 13:22
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	07-15 21:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	06-18 19:07
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	07-11 09:39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	07-10 09:39
will warsh say all time high or all time low during june press conference 20260608181156669	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	06-16 11:54
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	06-13 08:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 08:04:28	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xa888fb…
09-02 08:04:09	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x907c6a…
09-02 08:04:01	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x844b11…
09-02 08:03:54	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x22a197…
09-02 08:03:42	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x2ce475…
09-02 08:03:36	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x06d7f7…
07-15 21:40:26	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x3444c5…
07-11 09:39:34	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x41a227…
07-10 21:39:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xf48c8c…
07-10 09:39:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x7b18c4…
07-09 21:39:11	will constitution be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212427	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa7065b…
07-08 21:38:53	will hood reach 120 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x48e8bf…
06-22 08:24:56	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x3f072b…
06-21 10:26:50	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x947068…
06-20 13:22:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x74e135…
06-19 16:14:58	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xaa0cf4…
06-18 19:07:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xcde153…
06-17 21:05:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xba256d…
06-16 11:54:27	will warsh say all time high or all time low during june press conference 20260608181156669	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3e3ded…
06-15 03:17:18	will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd287ce…
06-14 06:06:01	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7f1857…
06-13 08:43:04	Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe3abb6…
06-12 07:01:19	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x0155f1…
06-11 10:00:55	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x0e62e1…
06-05 08:56:00	will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 nba finals be by 30 or more points 20260603223720647	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8b8ae1…
06-01 02:26:45	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?	No	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x839b79…
05-31 21:37:04	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xacf826…
05-31 09:06:42	Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb3ef80…
05-30 21:00:00	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xa9027e…
05-30 08:57:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xcca8ca…