Realized P&L
+$130
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
97.2%
Resolved
3,554
Trades
5,164
lifetime
Volume
$23.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$121
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 10-29 08:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 146 days
Categories
Crypto
91% 98% +$38
Other
5% 91% -$25
Politics
4% 77% +$121
Pop-Culture
0% 80% $0
Sports
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +27 $21 96¢ $26 +$4 10-28 15:59
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +18 $15 98¢ $18 +$3 10-28 13:28
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +16 $15 94¢ $15 +$0 10-29 08:39
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +15 $12 99¢ $15 +$2 10-28 15:59
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 10-28 11:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +9 $5 60¢ $5 +$0 10-28 11:22
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +7 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 10-28 11:34
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 10-28 11:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-28 11:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5 $5 91¢ $5 $0 10-28 11:36
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10 $3 33¢ $3 +$0 10-28 11:22
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +167 $3 2¢ $3 +$0 10-28 12:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3 $3 96¢ $3 $0 10-28 11:42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +12 $4 15¢ $2 -$2 05-10 12:51
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -167 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 10-28 11:09
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -115 -$3 0¢ $-0 +$2 10-28 11:33
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 10-28 11:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-30 08:50