Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$37.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.10K

Open exposure

$2.03K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-04 05:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$25

Politics

36% — —

Tech

11% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+2,037	$2,033	100¢	$2.0K	+$1	07-04 05:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$2.0K	2,037	+2,037	open	—	07-04 05:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$2.0K	2,031	+2,031	open	—	06-24 21:52
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	1	$2.0K	2,006	+2,006	open	—	06-19 05:48
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	1	$2.0K	2,004	+2,004	open	—	06-17 22:42
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$2.0K	1,988	+1,988	open	—	06-12 05:10
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$2.0K	1,986	+1,986	open	—	06-08 18:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$2.0K	1,983	+1,983	open	—	06-01 21:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$1.9K	1,967	+1,967	open	—	05-18 22:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$1.9K	1,937	+1,937	open	—	05-14 05:37
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	1	$1.9K	1,900	+1,900	Yes	+$4	05-03 01:00
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$1.9K	1,896	+1,896	open	—	04-29 22:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$1.9K	1,891	+1,891	open	—	04-25 04:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$1.9K	1,866	+1,866	open	—	04-06 20:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	5	$1.8K	1,859	+1,859	open	—	03-27 14:13
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$1.8K	1,840	+1,840	open	—	03-22 12:06
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1.8K	1,812	+1,812	open	—	03-18 06:59
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	1	$1.6K	1,560	+1,560	open	—	06-12 18:42
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	2	$1.4K	1,435	+1,435	open	—	04-15 03:01
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$993	1,000	+1,000	No	+$7	05-07 20:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$907	921	+921	No	+$14	05-08 06:04
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	1	$443	444	+444	open	—	04-21 19:12
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$443	443	+443	open	—	04-17 16:12
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	2	$436	443	+443	open	—	04-15 08:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	1	$319	320	+320	open	—	06-12 18:42
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	06-12 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 05:48:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,037	100¢	$2,033	0xed09d6…
06-24 21:52:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	2,031	99¢	$2,005	0x460abc…
06-19 05:48:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	2,006	100¢	$2,004	0x38847e…
06-17 22:42:11	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	2,004	100¢	$2,000	0xcd76d4…
06-12 18:42:52	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	1,560	100¢	$1,559	0x59d7d0…
06-12 18:42:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	320	100¢	$319	0x0628a2…
06-12 18:42:28	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x1a71c2…
06-12 05:10:28	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,988	100¢	$1,986	0x4b9398…
06-08 18:20:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,986	100¢	$1,984	0xbc7369…
06-01 21:43:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,983	99¢	$1,967	0x8028fc…
05-18 22:14:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1,967	98¢	$1,935	0xf328f5…
05-14 05:37:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,937	99¢	$1,921	0x5df924…
05-08 06:04:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	921	98¢	$907	0x85f5db…
05-07 20:49:30	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0xe3a9e8…
05-03 01:00:20	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,900	100¢	$1,896	0xa7d3e0…
04-29 22:46:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,896	100¢	$1,891	0xaad1e2…
04-25 04:45:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	446	99¢	$444	0xdf4567…
04-21 19:12:48	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	444	100¢	$443	0x830caa…
04-20 04:57:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,298	99¢	$1,289	0xa57917…
04-20 04:46:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xdb0ebe…
04-20 04:46:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd7806a…
04-17 16:12:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	443	100¢	$443	0xced193…
04-15 08:19:10	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	217	98¢	$214	0xeeedf9…
04-15 08:18:00	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	225	98¢	$222	0x218e37…
04-15 03:01:10	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x739ca0…
04-15 02:53:26	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,098	0x83d147…
04-06 20:32:05	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,866	100¢	$1,859	0x764f71…
03-27 14:13:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	1,238	99¢	$1,225	0xeb0364…
03-27 12:25:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0ac6a3…
03-27 12:25:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa79fea…
03-27 12:25:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	225	99¢	$223	0x268a63…
03-27 12:14:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	372	99¢	$368	0x45f385…
03-22 12:06:15	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,840	98¢	$1,812	0xbec93c…
03-18 06:59:51	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,812	100¢	$1,805	0xd48039…