Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$106

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$166.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.74K

Open exposure

$1.89K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-05 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

78% 0% $-14,098

Other

22% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No		+2,116	$2,000	90¢	$1.9K	$-106	06-05 13:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$26.2K	13,682	13,682	+0	open	—	03-14 12:20
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	8	$18.3K	9,318	9,318	+0	open	—	02-26 13:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	12	$14.9K	7,918	7,918	+0	open	—	04-29 20:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$8.6K	9,041	0	+9,041	Yes	$-8,621	04-26 15:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$8.1K	9,422	0	+9,422	open	—	04-04 11:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$7.6K	9,163	1,500	+7,663	Yes	$-5,477	04-17 10:10
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	7	$7.2K	7,605	887	+6,718	open	—	02-14 18:32
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$7.0K	5,161	2,100	+3,061	open	—	03-03 10:23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	4	$6.2K	4,281	3,220	+1,061	open	—	04-24 11:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$5.9K	6,460	0	+6,460	open	—	04-07 20:48
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	2	$5.5K	6,905	0	+6,905	open	—	01-14 09:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$5.1K	6,255	0	+6,255	open	—	03-09 23:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$5.0K	6,691	0	+6,691	open	—	03-18 10:30
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	1	$4.9K	5,236	0	+5,236	open	—	01-02 11:43
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$4.2K	2,233	2,233	+0	open	—	04-14 06:41
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	2	$3.9K	4,699	0	+4,699	open	—	03-14 12:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	4	$3.8K	2,472	2,472	+0	open	—	04-16 20:40
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$3.1K	0	3,156	-3,156	open	—	01-31 15:06
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	1	$3.0K	3,481	0	+3,481	open	—	02-25 12:00
will russia capture lyman by february 28 2026	2	$3.0K	3,321	0	+3,321	open	—	02-02 10:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$3.0K	3,318	2,002	+1,316	open	—	04-02 16:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$2.4K	1,261	1,261	+0	open	—	05-11 17:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,231	1,231	+0	open	—	05-11 17:54
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,116	0	+2,116	open	—	06-05 13:00
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by february 28	2	$2.0K	2,156	0	+2,156	open	—	02-01 10:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1000	1,235	0	+1,235	open	—	05-01 16:56
will russia capture all of ternuvate by february 28 2026	1	$1000	1,042	0	+1,042	open	—	02-09 13:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$524	275	275	+0	open	—	04-29 20:47
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$357	542	0	+542	open	—	04-19 18:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$298	339	0	+339	open	—	04-26 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 13:00:28	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,116	95¢	$2,000	0xca6b09…
05-11 17:54:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,231	98¢	$1,202	0x8a35af…
05-11 17:53:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1,261	99¢	$1,251	0x2361de…
05-04 11:26:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,231	96¢	$1,182	0xb24157…
05-01 16:56:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,235	81¢	$1,000	0xca1d24…
04-29 20:49:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	174	92¢	$160	0x8781f4…
04-29 20:48:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0xd1d64b…
04-29 20:47:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$274	0x8933df…
04-29 20:47:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	888	100¢	$885	0x03a05e…
04-26 15:42:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,205	96¢	$4,997	0xd45545…
04-26 11:25:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	339	88¢	$298	0x0e3fe4…
04-26 11:25:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	275	91¢	$250	0xb0af2b…
04-26 11:25:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	550	100¢	$547	0xfc0b4b…
04-24 11:55:24	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	1,061	95¢	$1,004	0x22b7e5…
04-24 11:54:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,010	99¢	$1,002	0x670ad8…
04-19 18:00:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	240	64¢	$154	0x842c46…
04-19 17:59:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	155	99¢	$154	0x3797a9…
04-19 11:18:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	302	67¢	$204	0x971bf1…
04-19 11:17:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	205	99¢	$203	0x5f7af3…
04-18 11:32:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$218	0x1829ff…
04-18 11:02:06	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	No	BUY	237	84¢	$200	0x11bf63…
04-17 10:10:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,835	94¢	$3,624	0x39d3bf…
04-17 10:10:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,689	74¢	$2,000	0x10883d…
04-16 20:40:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	1,472	57¢	$838	0x5fd6e6…
04-14 06:41:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	1,033	98¢	$1,010	0x956274…
04-14 06:18:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	1,000	78¢	$776	0x5ee72b…
04-13 17:31:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	1,305	88¢	$1,146	0xe9ccb5…
04-13 17:31:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	1,200	95¢	$1,144	0x0fcc9b…
04-09 16:34:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	1,167	90¢	$1,050	0xd90123…
04-09 16:34:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	70¢	$1,050	0xcfcda1…
04-08 11:46:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4,899	72¢	$3,527	0x8c8304…
04-07 20:48:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,191	84¢	$1,000	0x1b056f…
04-07 15:07:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,030	97¢	$1,000	0x509af6…
04-04 11:27:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	2,105	95¢	$2,000	0x80f7ba…
04-03 11:42:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	2,233	90¢	$2,000	0x333786…
04-02 16:38:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1,316	76¢	$1,000	0x189597…
04-02 16:37:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	3,261	92¢	$3,000	0xea5e67…
04-02 15:55:37	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	3,220	82¢	$2,656	0xef2c9c…
04-02 06:10:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0xd46614…
04-01 16:58:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0x167e76…
04-01 08:00:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,151	93¢	$2,000	0x21f219…
03-31 11:18:19	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	1,255	80¢	$1,001	0x78d6be…
03-31 11:18:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,030	97¢	$1,001	0x8414bc…
03-29 15:47:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	110	96¢	$106	0x983fd1…
03-29 15:33:54	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	1,965	77¢	$1,511	0x934aca…
03-29 15:33:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,570	96¢	$1,511	0x7adc6d…
03-27 10:40:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,002	88¢	$882	0x9ec0b5…
03-25 08:37:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	2,002	49¢	$981	0x23d3cb…
03-18 10:31:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	2,945	73¢	$2,150	0x67bf53…
03-18 10:30:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	3,261	92¢	$3,000	0x9e8cc3…
03-14 12:21:15	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	1,274	91¢	$1,159	0xb89357…
03-14 12:20:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1,182	98¢	$1,158	0x2fdf23…
03-09 23:19:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1,179	90¢	$1,061	0x703f6f…
03-07 19:39:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2,002	50¢	$1,000	0xe09177…
03-07 19:03:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,575	63¢	$1,000	0x3a0f8f…
03-06 12:19:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,364	74¢	$1,009	0x06c449…
03-06 12:19:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0xd98fc0…
03-06 12:19:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,180	92¢	$2,006	0x6131c1…
03-03 10:23:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	2,557	79¢	$2,020	0x48b51d…
03-03 10:23:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	2,100	96¢	$2,021	0x9a909e…
03-03 10:03:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,348	92¢	$4,000	0xd7ea38…
03-03 10:02:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	5,161	97¢	$5,000	0x522506…
03-03 09:52:29	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10,400	96¢	$10,005	0xf43496…
03-02 22:21:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	2,066	49¢	$1,020	0xd654b3…
03-02 22:21:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1,408	71¢	$1,000	0x4f8e25…
03-02 22:20:49	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	2,100	96¢	$2,020	0xe27f05…
03-01 10:45:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,570	91¢	$3,237	0x3d5226…
03-01 10:44:57	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10,311	97¢	$10,000	0x09c0b3…
02-26 13:29:44	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	3,426	80¢	$2,751	0x9e36ce…
02-26 13:29:24	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	SELL	2,756	100¢	$2,751	0x9fc2ee…
02-25 12:00:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	3,481	87¢	$3,011	0x81dfbd…
02-25 12:00:24	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	SELL	3,020	100¢	$3,011	0xbe7d48…
02-23 20:23:48	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x69ba2e…
02-18 10:19:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	SELL	1,012	99¢	$1,002	0x4aaf76…
02-14 18:32:23	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	No	BUY	1,579	95¢	$1,500	0x0cdeed…
02-14 18:05:13	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	No	BUY	535	94¢	$500	0xabd545…
02-14 18:02:47	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	SELL	2,030	98¢	$2,000	0x1539d2…
02-12 11:07:21	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	No	BUY	1,138	91¢	$1,036	0x1e558e…
02-09 13:09:45	will russia capture all of ternuvate by february 28 2026	No	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0x14ce44…
02-08 11:59:47	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	No	BUY	3,467	87¢	$3,000	0xea10f9…
02-07 06:44:45	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	5,139	97¢	$5,000	0x0e39d6…
02-04 11:06:18	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3,371	89¢	$3,000	0xceae4c…
02-03 15:47:24	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	1,044	96¢	$1,000	0xc622bb…
02-02 20:07:02	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	3,135	96¢	$3,000	0x8fa528…
02-02 10:09:48	will russia capture lyman by february 28 2026	No	BUY	2,196	91¢	$2,000	0x2f8b9a…
02-01 10:25:02	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by february 28	No	BUY	1,067	94¢	$1,000	0xbe0656…
02-01 10:00:48	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by february 28	No	BUY	1,089	92¢	$1,000	0x0b3a94…
01-31 15:18:42	will russia capture lyman by february 28 2026	No	BUY	1,125	89¢	$1,000	0xe0db8e…
01-31 15:06:08	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	SELL	3,006	100¢	$3,000	0xcd2e70…
01-20 06:27:12	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	SELL	150	98¢	$148	0x25f104…
01-14 09:54:28	will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	No	BUY	592	82¢	$488	0x8aeddd…
01-14 09:54:10	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	Yes	SELL	887	55¢	$488	0x9565ef…
01-03 13:27:57	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	Yes	BUY	753	83¢	$627	0xce4b41…
01-03 13:27:17	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	Yes	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x75be43…
01-02 11:43:01	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	No	BUY	5,236	94¢	$4,931	0xfcf805…
01-02 11:01:41	will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	No	BUY	6,313	79¢	$5,000	0x2e0e7a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	31	$534.5K	7,717	06-09 07:05
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	29	$13.2M	16,206	05-31 21:55
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	28	$137.7K	10,034	05-01 01:25
Vapid-Workshop 0x9ca1…13b5	27	$320.9K	1,091	05-24 14:11
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	26	$91.6K	597	06-08 20:55
Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed	26	$45.9K	678	05-29 15:02
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	25	$78.0K	19,256	06-09 15:31
Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b	24	$632.3K	1,220	05-28 02:18