Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$229.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.41K

Open exposure

$517

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 10:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Politics

58% 65% -$25,570

Other

23% 95% +$5,135

Crypto

19% 93% -$3,092

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No		+522	$500	99¢	$517	+$17	10-25 12:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$26.2K	13,682	13,682	+0	No	+$184	03-14 12:20
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	8	$18.3K	9,318	9,318	+0	No	+$262	02-26 13:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	12	$14.9K	7,918	7,918	+0	No	+$396	04-29 20:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$8.6K	9,041	0	+9,041	Yes	-$8,621	04-26 15:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$8.1K	9,422	0	+9,422	Yes	-$8,150	04-04 11:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$7.6K	9,163	1,500	+7,663	Yes	-$5,477	04-17 10:10
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	7	$7.2K	7,605	887	+6,718	No	+$444	02-14 18:32
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$7.0K	5,161	2,100	+3,061	No	+$81	03-03 10:23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	4	$6.2K	4,281	3,220	+1,061	No	+$201	04-24 11:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$5.9K	6,460	0	+6,460	Yes	-$5,882	04-07 20:48
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	2	$5.5K	6,905	0	+6,905	No	+$1,417	01-14 09:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$5.1K	6,255	0	+6,255	No	+$1,174	03-09 23:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$5.0K	6,691	0	+6,691	No	+$1,661	03-18 10:30
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	1	$4.9K	5,236	0	+5,236	No	+$305	01-02 11:43
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	2	$4.5K	4,654	0	+4,654	No	+$154	07-12 10:21
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	3	$4.2K	4,405	0	+4,405	No	+$205	06-23 20:03
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$4.2K	2,233	2,233	+0	No	+$155	04-14 06:41
bitcoin above 82k on october 1 2026	1	$4.0K	4,014	0	+4,014	Yes	+$14	10-01 14:48
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	2	$3.9K	4,699	0	+4,699	No	+$789	03-14 12:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	4	$3.8K	2,472	2,472	+0	No	-$582	04-16 20:40
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$3.1K	0	3,156	-3,156	No	-$8	01-31 15:06
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	1	$3.0K	3,481	0	+3,481	No	+$470	02-25 12:00
will russia capture lyman by february 28 2026	2	$3.0K	3,321	0	+3,321	No	+$321	02-02 10:09
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	2	$3.0K	3,145	0	+3,145	No	+$145	08-08 14:27
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	3	$3.0K	3,082	0	+3,082	No	+$82	09-09 18:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$3.0K	3,318	2,002	+1,316	Yes	-$1,019	04-02 16:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?	2	$2.5K	2,509	0	+2,509	Yes	+$9	10-02 15:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$2.4K	1,261	1,261	+0	No	+$91	05-11 17:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,231	1,231	+0	No	+$20	05-11 17:54
will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	1	$2.2K	2,416	0	+2,416	Yes	-$2,198	08-14 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:09:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0xe41758…
10-27 13:33:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1,007	99¢	$1,000	0x4066c1…
10-27 13:32:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	1,009	99¢	$1,000	0x364a09…
10-26 13:53:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	364	96¢	$350	0xf486f2…
10-26 09:03:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,005	99¢	$1,000	0x01aaad…
10-26 09:03:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,006	99¢	$1,000	0x686bad…
10-25 15:06:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0xb245fb…
10-25 12:56:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0x2346c9…
10-23 13:34:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,017	98¢	$1,000	0xa83691…
10-23 13:33:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	307	98¢	$300	0xf4903d…
10-23 09:39:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	534	94¢	$500	0x0a3bf3…
10-22 13:59:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x710de5…
10-22 13:58:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,017	98¢	$1,000	0x6c9794…
10-21 12:46:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	1,013	99¢	$1,000	0x5aac9e…
10-21 12:45:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0x28c08e…
10-20 13:18:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	1,005	100¢	$1,000	0x35d2fe…
10-20 13:17:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0x8601d4…
10-19 12:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	1,006	99¢	$1,000	0x50f24d…
10-19 08:58:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x2ef165…
10-19 08:58:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0xbd0afc…
10-18 14:15:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1,018	98¢	$1,000	0xdbc10b…
10-16 09:38:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0xab9e7b…
10-16 09:38:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1,005	99¢	$1,000	0x484bc1…
10-14 08:25:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	311	96¢	$300	0xa9ec05…
10-14 08:25:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x44ea24…
10-13 12:54:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	1,007	99¢	$1,000	0x56fc24…
10-10 13:35:18	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0x21e864…
10-10 13:16:13	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	1,008	99¢	$1,000	0x9c728c…
10-08 15:32:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xf1710e…
10-08 15:31:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xc38dd8…
10-07 15:12:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x093952…
10-06 14:11:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	1,006	99¢	$1,000	0x1b1976…
10-05 15:33:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0xd9c17d…
10-02 15:14:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0xc3d323…
10-02 14:49:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2,007	100¢	$2,000	0x3899ec…
10-01 14:48:08	bitcoin above 82k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	4,014	100¢	$4,000	0xc773d5…
09-28 14:07:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	1,017	98¢	$1,000	0x1207a6…
09-24 15:07:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	2,011	99¢	$2,000	0x300aa2…
09-23 14:28:31	bitcoin above 82k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1,006	99¢	$1,000	0x014929…
09-21 14:03:39	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0x03e701…
09-21 14:03:11	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	BUY	576	87¢	$500	0xaf51d9…
09-21 14:02:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0x319828…
09-16 14:41:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1,508	99¢	$1,500	0x08548f…
09-15 14:53:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	1,585	100¢	$1,580	0x9f38a9…
09-15 14:52:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0x1653fa…
09-13 09:57:39	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	535	93¢	$500	0xa303ad…
09-09 18:58:16	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	1,027	97¢	$1,000	0x824d90…
09-09 18:57:07	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	1,027	97¢	$1,000	0x516ba8…
09-09 18:56:48	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	578	26¢	$150	0x345d47…
09-09 18:56:19	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	1,028	97¢	$1,000	0xeb4f14…
09-05 15:50:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,562	32¢	$500	0xb43eb0…
08-20 13:56:00	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	583	87¢	$510	0xc194ca…
08-14 17:43:10	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	2,416	91¢	$2,198	0xdf2a79…
08-13 20:26:01	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	514	97¢	$500	0xb1edcb…
08-08 14:30:19	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	1,058	94¢	$1,000	0xc962f4…
08-08 14:28:37	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026 715	No	BUY	1,171	85¢	$999	0x6ee042…
08-08 14:27:28	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2,089	96¢	$2,000	0xb20839…
08-04 21:22:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0xccb210…
08-02 13:25:09	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,056	95¢	$1,000	0xc996a1…
07-31 13:19:18	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	1,022	98¢	$1,000	0xf9d13c…
07-26 11:55:15	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	2,120	94¢	$2,000	0x850db7…
07-12 10:21:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1,049	95¢	$1,000	0x72166c…
07-09 06:14:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	3,604	97¢	$3,500	0x9c97a9…
06-23 20:03:14	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,757	97¢	$1,700	0xbebc9e…
06-22 06:13:59	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x7c8ca4…
06-12 17:47:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0xf60a99…
06-12 17:38:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	617	81¢	$500	0x35a177…
06-05 13:00:28	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,116	95¢	$2,000	0xca6b09…
05-11 17:54:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,231	98¢	$1,202	0x8a35af…
05-11 17:53:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1,261	99¢	$1,251	0x2361de…
05-04 11:26:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,231	96¢	$1,182	0xb24157…
05-01 16:56:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,235	81¢	$1,000	0xca1d24…
04-29 20:49:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	174	92¢	$160	0x8781f4…
04-29 20:48:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0xd1d64b…
04-29 20:47:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$274	0x8933df…
04-29 20:47:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	888	100¢	$885	0x03a05e…
04-26 15:42:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,205	96¢	$4,997	0xd45545…
04-26 11:25:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	339	88¢	$298	0x0e3fe4…
04-26 11:25:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	275	91¢	$250	0xb0af2b…
04-26 11:25:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	550	100¢	$547	0xfc0b4b…
04-24 11:55:24	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	1,061	95¢	$1,004	0x22b7e5…
04-24 11:54:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,010	99¢	$1,002	0x670ad8…
04-19 18:00:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	240	64¢	$154	0x842c46…
04-19 17:59:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	155	99¢	$154	0x3797a9…
04-19 11:18:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	302	67¢	$204	0x971bf1…
04-19 11:17:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	205	99¢	$203	0x5f7af3…
04-18 11:32:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$218	0x1829ff…
04-18 11:02:06	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	No	BUY	237	84¢	$200	0x11bf63…
04-17 10:10:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,835	94¢	$3,624	0x39d3bf…
04-17 10:10:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,689	74¢	$2,000	0x10883d…
04-16 20:40:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	1,472	57¢	$838	0x5fd6e6…
04-14 06:41:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	1,033	98¢	$1,010	0x956274…
04-14 06:18:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	1,000	78¢	$776	0x5ee72b…
04-13 17:31:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	1,305	88¢	$1,146	0xe9ccb5…
04-13 17:31:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	1,200	95¢	$1,144	0x0fcc9b…
04-09 16:34:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	1,167	90¢	$1,050	0xd90123…
04-09 16:34:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	70¢	$1,050	0xcfcda1…
04-08 11:46:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4,899	72¢	$3,527	0x8c8304…
04-07 20:48:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,191	84¢	$1,000	0x1b056f…
04-07 15:07:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,030	97¢	$1,000	0x509af6…