Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

169

Trades

386

lifetime

Volume

$2.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-01

last 10-24 13:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

74% 54% -$9

Crypto

26% 84% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	6	$174	146	146	+0	No	-$20	09-18 14:14
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	6	$170	133	133	+0	Yes	+$20	10-05 13:56
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	11	$118	101	101	+0	Yes	-$17	09-28 13:54
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	3	$90	81	50	+31	Yes	+$1	09-16 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	4	$86	61	61	+0	Yes	+$6	09-25 09:05
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	6	$66	105	105	+0	No	+$3	10-16 03:01
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	5	$64	69	49	+19	Yes	+$13	09-11 10:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	4	$61	55	55	+0	No	-$3	09-28 14:14
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	5	$59	65	65	+0	Yes	-$26	10-17 11:46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	2	$58	33	33	+0	Yes	+$8	09-26 17:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	2	$56	44	44	+0	No	+$6	10-04 10:26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$53	108	108	+0	No	-$23	10-08 14:28
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	2	$53	34	34	+0	No	+$1	10-06 23:58
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$49	51	51	+0	No	-$1	10-05 14:36
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	2	$46	35	35	+0	No	+$1	10-14 02:49
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$40	65	30	+35	Yes	+$5	10-09 14:36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	6	$35	56	56	+0	No	-$3	09-04 13:36
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	1	$33	38	0	+38	Yes	+$5	10-14 06:14
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	2	$33	29	29	+0	No	+$3	09-13 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:15 UTC	6	$31	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	10-18 00:19
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	2	$29	23	23	+0	Yes	+$9	10-12 01:52
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	2	$25	16	16	+0	No	+$1	10-17 11:50
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	2	$25	21	21	+0	Yes	+$9	10-07 15:23
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$25	72	72	+0	No	-$25	10-08 14:28
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$24	30	0	+30	Yes	+$6	10-13 10:29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	4	$22	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	08-28 17:49
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	1	$22	29	0	+29	Yes	+$7	09-14 12:37
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	3	$21	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	09-02 16:35
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	4	$21	35	35	+0	No	-$1	08-23 10:43
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	6	$21	50	50	+0	No	-$1	07-05 10:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 13:21:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x1ce92a…
10-24 05:48:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x0a7f87…
10-22 17:19:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x8b5a16…
10-21 23:37:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf67997…
10-21 05:09:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0xb74cea…
10-20 23:57:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x41ed07…
10-20 16:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x04e608…
10-20 15:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x41fece…
10-20 15:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x20df83…
10-20 15:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc1e136…
10-20 15:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x57e151…
10-20 15:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8196c9…
10-20 15:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xeedffa…
10-20 15:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4b9294…
10-20 15:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc69ae0…
10-20 15:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa76b7b…
10-20 15:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xbf20e6…
10-20 15:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6a9031…
10-20 15:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa9f2f4…
10-20 15:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x31fe73…
10-20 15:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ec38b…
10-20 15:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc41014…
10-20 15:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd163cd…
10-20 15:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x65ba12…
10-20 14:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xfe3a33…
10-20 14:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8df54a…
10-20 14:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x25b783…
10-20 14:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x539016…
10-20 14:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x1b5109…
10-20 14:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x46c2f7…
10-20 14:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x64292a…
10-20 14:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x960f55…
10-20 14:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5895ba…
10-20 14:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x9084ae…
10-20 14:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x28b16c…
10-20 14:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x260df3…
10-20 13:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x90431b…
10-20 13:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xdba724…
10-20 13:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfd4643…
10-20 13:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x3f7998…
10-20 13:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x7821c7…
10-20 13:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x58da10…
10-20 13:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x158cf3…
10-20 13:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xf9534d…
10-20 13:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdc513f…
10-20 13:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x63ab90…
10-20 13:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x80e5b8…
10-20 13:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x58ed11…
10-20 13:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x78c075…
10-20 13:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x943e3b…
10-20 09:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd6c7df…
10-20 08:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x60f18d…
10-20 08:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x886158…
10-20 05:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1b32f2…
10-20 05:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x70e91d…
10-20 05:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x67d7af…
10-20 05:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xa20386…
10-20 05:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd5c75b…
10-20 05:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb7ee80…
10-20 05:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x652062…
10-20 04:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xa59146…
10-20 04:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x32924a…
10-20 04:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x43ff90…
10-20 04:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x72528e…
10-20 04:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x152c8b…
10-20 04:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x43fca1…
10-20 04:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xdc7414…
10-20 04:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfcaf42…
10-20 04:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xbd731c…
10-20 04:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x47bc4a…
10-20 04:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5a5a18…
10-20 04:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x011343…
10-20 04:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1de29d…
10-20 04:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd8e557…
10-20 04:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1f4c2c…
10-20 04:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2e15fb…
10-20 04:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x190fa4…
10-20 04:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x48ef7e…
10-20 04:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x69e803…
10-20 04:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5aa502…
10-20 00:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf9bc4a…
10-20 00:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x270b4d…
10-19 14:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaf3151…
10-19 14:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x56e57d…
10-19 14:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x38db74…
10-19 13:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x11af0d…
10-19 13:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x96b0cc…
10-19 13:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4923d7…
10-19 13:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe7b0a3…
10-19 13:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1c814a…
10-19 13:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8e83eb…
10-19 13:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6ccca9…
10-19 12:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb91137…
10-19 12:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x465d72…
10-19 12:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8362b3…
10-19 12:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf2b375…
10-19 07:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0xb00b3f…
10-19 07:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x44d64f…
10-19 02:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0697c0…
10-19 00:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x705fb3…