Courageous-Grill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$217

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

902

Trades

1,233

lifetime

Volume

$1.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-10 21:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

92% 33% -$187

Sports

5% 42% -$29

Politics

3% 60% +$4

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes		+666	$10	1¢	$6	-$4	10-10 21:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	2	$23	51	51	+0	open	—	10-10 21:49
donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 140 159	3	$22	83	79	+4	No	+$12	04-17 18:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3?	2	$22	21	21	+0	Yes	+$20	08-03 10:50
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	2	$20	143	136	+7	No	+$0	04-07 21:49
cs2 bhe mw 2026 03 20	3	$15	13	13	+0	METANOIA WOLVES	+$11	03-21 00:54
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	2	$15	72	69	+3	No	+$5	04-14 09:06
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	2	$15	29	28	+1	Yes	+$6	04-12 18:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	4	$15	28	27	+1	No	+$5	04-12 12:42
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	4	$12	29	28	+1	No	+$0	04-16 20:30
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?	2	$11	852	852	+0	No	-$9	04-13 20:41
mlb hou col 2026 04 08 total 13pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Under	+$0	04-08 22:11
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in May 2026?	1	$10	135	0	+135	No	-$10	04-02 21:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	1	$10	666	0	+666	open	—	10-10 21:50
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	1,667	0	+1,667	No	-$10	04-01 22:58
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	1,667	0	+1,667	No	-$10	04-01 22:58
nba chi lac 2026 03 13	1	$10	77	0	+77	Clippers	-$10	03-13 21:57
nba cle dal 2026 03 13	1	$10	71	0	+71	Cavaliers	-$10	03-13 21:58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?	3	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	+$7	05-15 21:40
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?	2	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	+$7	05-12 20:41
mlb stl wsh 2026 04 08 total 9pt5	2	$8	4	4	+0	Under	+$0	04-08 22:53
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 25?	2	$8	109	104	+5	No	+$4	04-25 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 21?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	09-21 07:39
nhl tb ott 2026 04 07 total 4pt5	3	$7	6	5	+0	Over	+$1	04-08 01:14
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 120 139	4	$7	289	0	+289	No	-$7	04-17 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 27?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	09-27 07:38
cs2 thunde gz1 2026 03 14	2	$7	7	7	+0	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	+$5	03-15 03:25
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 160m and 170m	4	$7	40	40	+0	No	+$3	03-29 21:08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	09-21 16:25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 10?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	05-10 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6?	2	$6	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	08-06 17:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 21:50:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	666	2¢	$10	0x92e072…
10-10 21:49:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	51	22¢	$11	0x8d7460…
10-10 21:35:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	23¢	$12	0x20ba79…
10-02 14:26:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x46cded…
10-02 14:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 2?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x91c7ac…
10-02 13:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 2?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc831cf…
10-02 13:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 2?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5a67a8…
10-02 12:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x303095…
10-02 11:53:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x300f01…
10-02 11:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4362d2…
10-02 11:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x08e719…
10-02 10:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x27f73d…
10-02 09:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xefe3fa…
10-02 08:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9ccadc…
10-02 06:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 2?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2f0a04…
10-02 04:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x09a9e7…
10-02 03:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7963ec…
10-02 01:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe72b10…
10-01 15:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa031fd…
10-01 14:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3ac786…
10-01 12:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa6e0f5…
10-01 12:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x60a3f0…
10-01 11:35:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0f2fc8…
10-01 10:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x18a7e3…
10-01 07:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe8c5e4…
10-01 06:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdfdb22…
10-01 05:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf73747…
10-01 05:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd2f5f5…
10-01 04:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x10bb53…
10-01 02:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4a2add…
09-30 15:33:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc4af08…
09-30 15:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x732bbf…
09-30 15:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5a5f4c…
09-30 14:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe7be80…
09-30 12:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 34°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x97217f…
09-30 12:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x48af9e…
09-30 10:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x77cee5…
09-30 10:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x62e303…
09-30 09:55:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3f596e…
09-30 08:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x15e03d…
09-30 06:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x130912…
09-30 05:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe14d30…
09-30 05:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa6c556…
09-30 03:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x058d49…
09-30 02:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x08995d…
09-30 02:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc323f0…
09-29 22:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe91c93…
09-29 11:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbd3ddb…
09-29 07:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa168b6…
09-29 06:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2bb7d6…
09-29 05:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfa48f7…
09-29 04:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x51fe84…
09-29 04:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xebb0ae…
09-29 03:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x8ae702…
09-29 03:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0a65d1…
09-28 23:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xac7cfc…
09-28 11:58:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x910872…
09-28 11:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcd394c…
09-28 09:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1d2efe…
09-28 09:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x591252…
09-28 09:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0d7df3…
09-28 08:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x55dbe7…
09-28 07:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x58aa02…
09-28 07:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb823b2…
09-28 06:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x980498…
09-28 06:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbe6d54…
09-28 06:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc326c6…
09-28 05:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9e8323…
09-28 03:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3d8bc5…
09-28 00:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe1c1c4…
09-27 11:55:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7f0abb…
09-27 10:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc51716…
09-27 09:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x61f8cd…
09-27 07:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 27?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5209df…
09-27 04:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3668ad…
09-27 04:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7df915…
09-27 03:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xace309…
09-26 13:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x552956…
09-26 12:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x732d06…
09-26 11:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1d910a…
09-26 10:49:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x96bc69…
09-26 09:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdd5f26…
09-26 09:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xddf476…
09-26 08:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1e663c…
09-26 08:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7a78c1…
09-26 08:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa111e0…
09-26 06:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x61c502…
09-26 06:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa9c64c…
09-26 06:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x91a833…
09-26 06:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xba55f9…
09-26 06:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf28e75…
09-26 05:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x72e477…
09-26 04:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3e2423…
09-26 03:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x041afc…
09-25 12:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x30a1e5…
09-25 11:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1fe4c2…
09-25 11:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x45a491…
09-25 11:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd7bf0b…
09-25 09:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x197b7e…
09-25 07:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5ba8ec…