Knowledgeable-Jealousy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$198

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-14 17:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 53% -$12

Other

42% 29% -$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	2	$28	18	18	+0	Yes	+$8	05-11 16:07
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$20	153	0	+153	No	-$20	05-13 06:52
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	3	$19	13	13	+0	Yes	+$7	05-12 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$16	16	6	+10	Up	-$4	05-12 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$14	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$14	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 20:14
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$10	16	16	+0	No	$0	05-14 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Down	-$4	05-12 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	05-12 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	-$5	05-12 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 19:45
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$4	6	0	+6	No	-$4	05-14 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$4	8	8	+0	Up	$0	05-12 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	05-12 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	-$2	05-12 20:31
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$1	5	5	+0	No	-$1	05-12 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Up	-$1	05-12 20:04
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	05-13 06:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 17:12:38	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x439670…
05-14 17:11:40	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x011b50…
05-13 06:53:51	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc5a5b9…
05-13 06:52:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x8c9ff8…
05-13 06:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	13¢	$20	0xa590b7…
05-12 20:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9321ac…
05-12 20:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf2675c…
05-12 20:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x3b9793…
05-12 20:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc3500d…
05-12 20:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x2bbf14…
05-12 20:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1c06be…
05-12 20:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x26a7ad…
05-12 20:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4adc4b…
05-12 20:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xaafdb9…
05-12 20:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x00c539…
05-12 20:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x1f0b97…
05-12 20:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6c0d16…
05-12 20:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb9013a…
05-12 19:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe6768d…
05-12 19:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa2301c…
05-12 19:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x53b7f5…
05-12 19:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x88e683…
05-12 19:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf69f5b…
05-12 18:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x29b67f…
05-12 18:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbd001f…
05-12 16:17:22	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x848032…
05-12 15:10:10	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x4d8898…
05-12 14:04:55	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd55052…
05-11 20:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0c3d63…
05-11 20:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc040a1…
05-11 19:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe78777…
05-11 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc8bc0e…
05-11 19:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x29f453…
05-11 19:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7a494e…
05-11 19:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x43e8d8…
05-11 19:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6f1b54…
05-11 18:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x33b319…
05-11 18:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x659b8d…
05-11 18:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x986865…
05-11 18:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x20a285…
05-11 18:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x608279…
05-11 18:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf9778f…
05-11 17:48:47	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf635c1…
05-11 17:48:19	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe128d7…
05-11 16:07:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xc628b5…
05-10 08:36:33	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x48796d…