Limited-Utilisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

115

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$3.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$115

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-27 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

58% 96% +$13

Politics

31% 90% +$22

Crypto

9% 100% +$2

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+121	$114	95¢	$115	+$1	10-27 20:52
Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+150	$0	0¢	$0	$0	08-17 09:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	4	$284	193	96	+97	No	+$1	09-14 16:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	3	$184	104	88	+16	No	+$1	08-27 14:45
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	2	$183	92	92	+0	No	+$1	08-12 22:22
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$141	84	84	+0	No	+$1	10-05 14:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$131	92	92	+0	open	—	10-25 22:40
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$114	121	0	+121	open	—	10-27 20:52
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	1	$99	99	0	+99	No	+$0	10-06 04:34
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$97	97	0	+97	Yes	+$0	09-22 11:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	1	$95	96	0	+96	No	+$1	09-07 01:40
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$94	97	0	+97	Yes	+$3	10-25 23:44
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$93	93	0	+93	No	+$1	08-17 04:15
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$92	93	0	+93	No	+$0	08-14 07:00
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$92	93	0	+93	Yes	+$1	08-20 18:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$92	93	0	+93	No	+$1	08-13 00:42
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$89	91	0	+91	No	+$2	08-09 14:14
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	1	$88	90	0	+90	No	+$2	10-12 21:47
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$84	90	0	+90	Yes	+$5	08-04 21:43
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	1	$83	84	0	+84	No	+$1	09-30 19:26
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$83	83	0	+83	No	+$0	09-28 05:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$74	75	0	+75	No	+$0	05-30 19:10
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	1	$69	69	0	+69	No	+$0	07-31 19:23
Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	05-15 04:44
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$58	58	0	+58	Yes	+$0	05-13 00:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	04-29 09:02
will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	03-31 07:23
will ethereum reach 2800 in august 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	08-31 21:36
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	08-27 08:28
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-29 22:00
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	10-05 05:11
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in August?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	08-27 08:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:52:41	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	121	95¢	$114	0xae2865…
10-26 13:37:33	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x614fff…
10-26 13:34:53	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe76200…
10-25 23:45:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	65	23¢	$15	0xa02dc2…
10-25 23:44:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	97	97¢	$94	0xbd9da5…
10-25 22:40:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	92	73¢	$67	0x42b29b…
10-23 01:52:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x8bb138…
10-22 11:12:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	92	70¢	$64	0x1a6c0c…
10-12 21:47:08	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xc25841…
10-10 23:06:01	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x94c4fc…
10-06 04:34:58	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x0f50c5…
10-05 14:47:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	84	85¢	$71	0xc11799…
10-05 05:11:46	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa3272e…
10-05 03:16:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	84	84¢	$70	0x2a5f44…
09-30 19:26:33	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xf4693d…
09-28 05:20:12	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xe8e8a6…
09-25 14:42:02	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x2baf63…
09-22 11:55:37	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x83e545…
09-14 16:52:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x77e719…
09-13 15:27:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x1c02a6…
09-13 14:56:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xf16de3…
09-10 22:54:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0x955a3f…
09-07 01:40:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x73e918…
09-03 08:45:06	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x9b828e…
08-31 21:36:12	will ethereum reach 2800 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9cf943…
08-30 08:53:16	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x596636…
08-27 14:45:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x4464a9…
08-27 08:35:58	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in August?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5b4b97…
08-27 08:28:10	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6c8663…
08-25 14:11:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	88	96¢	$84	0xe790cd…
08-24 13:31:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x100800…
08-24 07:41:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	96¢	$84	0xbcfaba…
08-23 20:11:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x530f76…
08-22 09:20:22	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x74ffad…
08-21 22:20:25	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9d46d6…
08-21 08:14:13	Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0e0b40…
08-20 18:58:09	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x0d4185…
08-17 09:09:09	Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x2d7a35…
08-17 04:15:03	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$93	0x31a486…
08-15 16:27:22	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0xf74dc3…
08-14 07:00:46	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0x64f4c4…
08-13 00:42:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x3c9e55…
08-12 22:22:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x48de24…
08-11 10:15:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x8bdb87…
08-11 06:54:46	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	0¢	$0	0x14b4b8…
08-11 06:42:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x52642c…
08-09 14:14:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x728bcd…
08-04 21:43:42	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	BUY	90	94¢	$84	0x28640a…
07-31 19:23:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x7abd28…
07-28 15:43:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x824d2b…
07-28 04:59:42	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2f2272…
07-27 23:25:01	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc18f2e…
07-22 13:40:06	will xauusd dip to 3500 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcb6905…
07-22 05:20:40	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x270998…
07-20 14:36:30	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe345e0…
07-17 14:58:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf4a202…
06-29 22:00:47	Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x74d31a…
06-29 02:51:28	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x162e26…
06-28 06:18:17	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4daefa…
06-27 18:27:58	will googl reach 390 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x825ddd…
06-27 13:57:14	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x5a793f…
06-27 12:15:13	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1a0301…
06-27 08:02:23	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2004db…
05-30 19:10:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$74	0xd1d2ce…
05-17 10:04:29	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x539d42…
05-15 04:44:14	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xbf2642…
05-13 00:00:54	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x4efed2…
05-12 04:51:36	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0ae339…
05-11 09:22:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3710b5…
05-09 12:29:15	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9935f9…
05-09 11:25:02	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x79695b…
05-09 03:06:54	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x101c2d…
05-05 22:38:12	Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc7be00…
05-05 22:26:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d1911…
05-05 20:28:26	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x138bfb…
05-05 05:52:20	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x729f82…
04-29 09:02:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x2d9097…
04-27 14:30:32	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xe1f90d…
04-26 13:08:10	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0037ec…
04-24 17:05:42	Will XRP reach $2.80 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf10336…
04-24 07:46:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x60a28a…
04-22 10:54:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ced74…
04-20 10:44:16	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xeee653…
04-19 16:03:20	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xffefd8…
04-19 04:38:36	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdfab12…
04-18 21:27:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc1fa21…
04-18 05:07:52	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8c5c84…
04-17 00:09:02	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8b770c…
04-16 11:34:44	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x79ca57…
04-15 10:30:20	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb8d80c…
04-13 02:16:11	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc02ede…
03-31 07:23:21	will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xf28569…
03-28 12:52:07	will xrp reach 2pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x23a3b9…
03-26 21:52:47	will alibaba have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14c157…
03-24 13:33:21	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef11a3…
03-23 14:31:23	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xece8b9…
03-20 16:06:51	meta above 740 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xe50998…
03-19 18:15:51	will solana reach 150 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0835b1…
03-18 17:34:11	meta above 540 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x614154…
03-16 17:34:15	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xedfc1f…