Moral-Bongo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$303

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 10-20 11:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

90% 42% -$4

Tech

6% 0% -$1

Politics

2% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$18	162	162	+0	open	—	06-17 18:40
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	2	$18	22	0	+22	Up	+$4	05-22 09:13
spx opens up or down on july 2 2026	1	$15	23	0	+23	Up	+$8	07-02 05:39
spx opens up or down on september 29 2026	1	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	09-29 12:27
spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	3	$11	16	0	+16	Down	+$2	07-01 06:07
nvda up or down on october 9 2026	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	-$10	10-09 12:05
spx opens up or down on september 22 2026	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	09-22 08:00
spx opens up or down on october 13 2026	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	10-13 07:06
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	1	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	+$7	07-02 19:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$10	18	0	+18	Yes	-$10	05-19 12:27
nvda up or down on october 13 2026	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	-$10	10-13 07:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 5?	3	$9	24	0	+24	Up	+$15	10-05 06:56
spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	2	$8	11	0	+11	Up	+$3	10-01 07:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$7	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	05-27 12:51
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 7?	1	$6	10	0	+10	Down	-$6	10-07 05:32
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	2	$6	11	0	+11	Matteo Berrettini	+$2	05-31 17:45
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 6?	1	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	10-06 13:03
spx opens up or down on september 23 2026	3	$6	10	0	+10	Down	-$6	09-23 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	10-09 12:08
spx opens up or down on september 25 2026	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	-$5	09-25 06:43
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	07-04 05:32
spx up or down on june 4 2026	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	-$5	06-04 11:29
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	1	$5	16	0	+16	No	-$5	07-04 05:30
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	1	$5	18	0	+18	Yes	+$13	06-17 06:25
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 8?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	10-08 10:12
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	2	$5	18	0	+18	Up	+$2	05-27 10:28
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	06-17 09:20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	07-02 05:40
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 5?	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	+$2	10-05 08:46
spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	2	$4	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	06-30 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 11:48:39	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x60a189…
10-13 07:07:13	nvda up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x334545…
10-13 07:06:05	spx opens up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x1c4d3d…
10-09 12:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x51c487…
10-09 12:05:43	nvda up or down on october 9 2026	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc7537a…
10-08 10:12:06	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc0ad62…
10-08 08:47:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x852736…
10-07 05:37:42	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x872df5…
10-07 05:32:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x70a522…
10-06 13:03:48	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xb1d627…
10-06 08:17:34	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xb65fda…
10-05 08:46:58	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xac58eb…
10-05 06:56:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x066ca0…
10-05 06:55:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x194a2d…
10-05 06:50:38	spx opens up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9d143a…
10-01 07:55:24	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x28feee…
10-01 07:21:51	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1de4e4…
09-30 05:44:14	spx opens up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x6617e1…
09-29 12:27:15	spx opens up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x55ef88…
09-28 05:23:33	spx opens up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x477155…
09-28 05:23:11	spx opens up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0c2605…
09-25 06:43:44	spx opens up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xee5aa7…
09-23 11:24:50	spx opens up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xddaa62…
09-23 08:43:23	spx opens up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x10e7f4…
09-23 06:00:20	spx opens up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1e47a4…
09-22 08:00:06	spx opens up or down on september 22 2026	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3aa6a8…
07-04 05:32:19	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc9059f…
07-04 05:30:53	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa3a29a…
07-02 19:07:04	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2d26b3…
07-02 05:40:04	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbb1dac…
07-02 05:39:16	spx opens up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xd3fe57…
07-01 06:07:59	spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb035e5…
07-01 05:55:19	spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc1a4be…
07-01 05:55:13	spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x546be0…
06-30 06:41:13	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x30a461…
06-30 06:32:46	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf05a14…
06-30 06:32:35	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3ebb59…
06-29 06:23:35	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb460c2…
06-28 09:13:58	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x98b4ab…
06-28 09:13:37	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7d2050…
06-25 12:21:02	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd134d8…
06-25 12:20:40	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdd3bb9…
06-24 05:30:50	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2dd920…
06-24 05:29:50	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x9de815…
06-21 06:08:46	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xab3711…
06-20 16:40:19	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd12cd0…
06-20 16:39:55	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf98b79…
06-18 08:53:49	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2adc3b…
06-18 08:53:23	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5d0a60…
06-18 08:52:58	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x43bd45…
06-18 08:52:43	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x60fb2a…
06-17 18:40:47	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	162	5¢	$8	0x927989…
06-17 09:21:35	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x217263…
06-17 09:20:26	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x77216e…
06-17 09:19:59	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xd91749…
06-17 06:39:10	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0451bd…
06-17 06:25:04	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf47f5f…
06-17 06:02:23	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x181da2…
06-15 16:41:37	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd7be2f…
06-04 11:29:51	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfa2ae1…
06-01 13:43:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x50c248…
06-01 08:32:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa1395a…
05-31 17:55:41	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5b7337…
05-31 17:50:30	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2f1b6e…
05-31 17:48:36	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfbd90f…
05-31 17:45:53	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x19ba4e…
05-31 17:45:25	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa336ef…
05-29 11:49:09	Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev	Nuno Borges	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc30290…
05-29 11:01:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xecdf7d…
05-27 12:51:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0xaa1e8e…
05-27 10:28:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcc30d6…
05-27 06:48:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xbf9e69…
05-26 06:00:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x08812c…
05-22 09:13:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x579364…
05-22 08:33:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xda6587…
05-21 09:12:56	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $142 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xef871b…
05-21 09:11:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x271207…
05-21 08:43:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x514fd2…
05-21 08:07:39	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	162	6¢	$10	0xfda29a…
05-20 07:18:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6fb6b1…
05-19 12:27:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbdaf76…
05-19 09:06:31	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x50f6f9…