Sure-Footed-Manacle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

573

Trades

4,256

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-18 10:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 62% $-88

Other

4% 80% +$1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 543 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$138	435	0	+435	open	—	05-17 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$134	458	0	+458	open	—	05-16 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	21	$120	390	65	+325	open	—	05-04 08:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$119	476	0	+476	open	—	05-16 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	7	$114	200	0	+200	open	—	05-16 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	8	$99	223	0	+223	open	—	05-16 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	13	$80	168	0	+168	open	—	05-16 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$79	155	0	+155	open	—	05-16 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$77	157	0	+157	open	—	05-17 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$76	193	0	+193	open	—	05-17 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	15	$76	132	19	+112	open	—	05-03 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	14	$73	114	28	+85	open	—	05-03 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	8	$71	93	20	+73	open	—	05-03 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	16	$70	306	22	+284	open	—	05-03 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$68	137	0	+137	open	—	05-16 17:14
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of April 27 2026?	6	$68	60	60	+0	open	—	04-29 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	11	$67	397	23	+374	open	—	05-03 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$66	133	0	+133	open	—	05-16 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	13	$65	282	7	+275	open	—	05-03 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	11	$65	119	0	+119	open	—	05-17 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	13	$62	86	47	+38	open	—	05-03 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$61	89	0	+89	open	—	05-17 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$60	84	0	+84	open	—	05-03 20:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	12	$55	80	0	+80	Down	$-55	05-11 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$52	65	0	+65	open	—	05-17 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	11	$51	124	0	+124	open	—	05-17 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	11	$51	66	27	+39	open	—	05-03 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$50	126	0	+126	open	—	05-16 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$48	65	0	+65	open	—	05-16 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$44	112	0	+112	open	—	05-03 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 10:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbc42d1…
05-18 10:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x76a9ea…
05-18 10:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8e4c47…
05-18 08:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xe286af…
05-18 04:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xdb49dd…
05-18 03:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xffac3b…
05-18 02:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6c3004…
05-18 02:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x82a4f7…
05-17 12:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0xbeea46…
05-17 12:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa536de…
05-17 10:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xf07779…
05-17 10:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0xe399d5…
05-17 10:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x67d575…
05-17 10:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xe15e16…
05-17 10:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x0f631b…
05-17 10:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x95d75e…
05-17 10:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe1ac51…
05-17 10:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x08a891…
05-17 10:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	47	61¢	$29	0x210be2…
05-17 10:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf8902c…
05-17 10:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xefc816…
05-17 10:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	87	42¢	$36	0xe97c2d…
05-17 10:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9aea5e…
05-17 10:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x479fc7…
05-17 10:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x11255d…
05-17 10:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x0bfb78…
05-17 09:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	339	30¢	$100	0xd3e3c5…
05-17 09:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	96	40¢	$38	0x13a249…
05-17 09:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xaa6483…
05-17 09:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	93	39¢	$36	0x2dd628…
05-17 09:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	77	56¢	$43	0xff4054…
05-17 09:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	80	42¢	$34	0x1c1a75…
05-17 09:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x967f65…
05-17 09:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0x8051e1…
05-17 09:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x325297…
05-17 09:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x070cc8…
05-17 09:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0342d6…
05-17 09:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfc4812…
05-17 09:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd4130c…
05-17 09:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbd9a21…
05-17 09:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x90334a…
05-17 09:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4db5b2…
05-17 09:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xa14425…
05-17 08:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	38	54¢	$21	0x7012ff…
05-17 05:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xd75613…
05-17 04:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x64298b…
05-17 03:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xd83ea9…
05-17 03:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xd08199…
05-17 03:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xbdc2bf…
05-17 03:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xd4011c…
05-17 02:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x33f43e…
05-17 02:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x251a9d…
05-17 02:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x45cefa…
05-17 02:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0x956505…
05-17 02:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x7ae156…
05-17 02:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x2e1ebc…
05-17 02:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x677888…
05-17 02:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x359ab2…
05-17 02:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	72¢	$24	0x40f98e…
05-17 01:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x93523c…
05-17 01:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x870959…
05-17 01:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xf9da8c…
05-17 00:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xfc2201…
05-17 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xa47ea8…
05-17 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1c319b…
05-17 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1083c3…
05-17 00:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xff38ba…
05-17 00:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8f3572…
05-17 00:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x8042be…
05-17 00:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x5bde47…
05-17 00:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x548834…
05-17 00:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x04fe7b…
05-17 00:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x52554b…
05-17 00:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xa9ba27…
05-17 00:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3028f8…
05-17 00:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xce0550…
05-17 00:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe3d68e…
05-17 00:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xafac7f…
05-17 00:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x367c79…
05-17 00:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x63a8ad…
05-17 00:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3bf5bc…
05-17 00:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x00845d…
05-16 23:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x7cb6f5…
05-16 23:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	47	55¢	$26	0x88471b…
05-16 23:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x89ff1c…
05-16 22:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x257b60…
05-16 21:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	79¢	$28	0x79a740…
05-16 21:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf0a1d2…
05-16 21:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x6f618b…
05-16 21:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x5811c1…
05-16 21:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x9e175f…
05-16 21:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa3124c…
05-16 21:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x1db8dc…
05-16 20:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xcc95a2…
05-16 20:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7be143…
05-16 20:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5ea5fe…
05-16 20:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x55ca9b…
05-16 20:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3a5cba…
05-16 20:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	57	58¢	$33	0xc1f3fe…
05-16 20:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x881fc6…