Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-23 08:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

59% 94% +$1

Crypto

27% 70% -$7

Politics

14% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: Other	No		+15	$15	100¢	$15	+$0	10-23 08:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 320 339	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	01-12 07:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$86	86	+86	Yes	+$0	05-17 06:25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	05-11 08:04
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	05-07 09:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 26?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	04-25 07:54
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	04-20 07:04
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 200plus	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	04-14 02:17
bitcoin above 62k on april 6	1	$85	86	+86	Yes	+$0	04-06 03:39
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	03-29 07:36
military action against iran ends on march 24 2026	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	03-24 02:40
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	03-17 02:29
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	02-13 03:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	04-29 03:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	05-13 09:28
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	02-05 06:23
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	02-01 06:59
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 120 139	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	01-29 07:13
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 0 19	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	01-25 02:06
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	01-19 10:48
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	05-24 06:01
bitcoin above 56k on june 13 2026	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	06-12 08:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 30?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	05-28 10:49
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	08-25 15:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	07-16 13:39
2026 Balance of Power: Other	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	10-23 08:20
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	09-20 08:08
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	1	$4	250	+250	No	-$4	01-18 07:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	1	$2	1,080	+1,080	Yes	-$2	05-28 10:43
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$2	1,055	+1,055	No	-$2	05-24 05:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	1	$2	540	+540	No	-$2	09-20 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 08:20:44	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0e1b9b…
09-20 08:08:48	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9d2468…
09-20 08:05:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	540	0¢	$2	0xe37508…
09-20 07:53:26	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x1a6343…
08-25 15:30:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1cf3dd…
07-16 13:39:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xad7df7…
06-12 08:15:04	bitcoin above 56k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x14fcb4…
05-28 10:49:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x4b4339…
05-28 10:43:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0xb90e4f…
05-24 06:01:09	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x5c247a…
05-24 05:52:24	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,055	0¢	$2	0x029c80…
05-17 06:25:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xa1d9e0…
05-13 09:28:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x7d7999…
05-11 08:04:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x5b4503…
05-07 09:13:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x46d4a2…
04-29 03:00:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xdef1b5…
04-25 07:54:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xd43f0a…
04-20 07:04:22	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x834ca0…
04-14 02:17:27	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 200plus	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xe78235…
04-06 03:39:41	bitcoin above 62k on april 6	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$85	0x4b2fac…
03-29 07:36:26	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x7fe335…
03-24 02:40:17	military action against iran ends on march 24 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x6f965a…
03-17 02:29:27	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xd5153a…
02-13 03:27:53	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xeb9acf…
02-05 06:23:33	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x7d313d…
02-01 06:59:46	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xf593b5…
01-29 07:13:56	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 120 139	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x75e9fa…
01-25 02:06:40	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 0 19	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xa4e747…
01-19 10:48:44	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xe5d8eb…
01-18 07:35:04	will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$4	0x059ea6…
01-12 07:04:06	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 320 339	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xafd7b1…