Fickle-Finding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

839

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 11:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

74% — —

Crypto

24% 13% $-1

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in warsaw on april 12 2026 13c	5	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	04-12 11:31
highest temperature in warsaw on april 3 2026 16c	9	$59	41	41	+1	open	—	04-03 13:34
highest temperature in warsaw on march 30 2026 11c	8	$56	36	36	+0	open	—	03-30 16:36
highest temperature in warsaw on april 3 2026 13c	18	$56	45	44	+1	open	—	04-03 13:32
highest temperature in warsaw on march 28 2026 13c	7	$50	25	30	-5	open	—	03-28 12:49
highest temperature in warsaw on march 28 2026 12c	8	$41	42	42	+0	open	—	03-28 12:47
highest temperature in warsaw on march 30 2026 9c	6	$36	27	12	+15	open	—	03-30 11:21
highest temperature in warsaw on march 29 2026 14c	3	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	03-29 10:01
highest temperature in warsaw on march 27 2026 9c	6	$30	26	30	-5	open	—	03-27 12:07
highest temperature in warsaw on april 2 2026 13c	4	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-02 13:03
highest temperature in warsaw on march 20 2026 12c	5	$29	10	20	-10	open	—	03-20 14:59
highest temperature in warsaw on march 28 2026 16c	4	$21	13	18	-5	open	—	03-28 14:11
highest temperature in warsaw on march 29 2026 15c	6	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	03-29 10:15
highest temperature in warsaw on april 6 2026 13c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-06 15:34
highest temperature in warsaw on march 27 2026 8c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-27 10:04
highest temperature in dallas on march 17 2026 60 61f	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-17 21:52
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$19	13	10	+3	open	—	03-16 02:35
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 12 2026 13c	3	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-12 13:16
highest temperature in warsaw on march 29 2026 17corhigher	8	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	03-29 14:48
highest temperature in warsaw on march 27 2026 10c	5	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	03-27 17:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	3	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 13:04
highest temperature in warsaw on march 22 2026 12c	2	$15	5	10	-5	open	—	03-22 11:01
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 17 2026 18c	6	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	04-17 15:56
highest temperature in warsaw on april 10 2026 10c	8	$14	22	21	+1	open	—	04-10 15:43
highest temperature in warsaw on april 6 2026 12c	5	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	04-06 13:26
highest temperature in warsaw on april 11 2026 12c	4	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	04-11 15:04
highest temperature in warsaw on april 6 2026 11c	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-06 15:32
highest temperature in warsaw on april 10 2026 8c	7	$13	24	16	+7	open	—	04-10 13:30
highest temperature in warsaw on march 27 2026 12c	4	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	03-27 15:07
highest temperature in warsaw on march 30 2026 10c	3	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	03-30 13:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:55:07	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x840981…
06-08 10:23:22	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xa81ee9…
06-07 14:49:40	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x190c4f…
06-07 14:49:00	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x9176d3…
06-07 14:46:36	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xa0cf5a…
06-07 14:31:40	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x547e85…
06-07 14:16:24	bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x8e8370…
06-07 13:55:10	bitcoin above 60k on june 7 2026 159	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x86f51b…
06-07 13:52:46	bitcoin above 60k on june 7 2026 159	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x74b143…
06-07 13:51:25	bitcoin above 60k on june 7 2026 159	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x04f762…
06-05 14:05:49	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xe2da96…
06-05 11:21:24	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb110bc…
06-04 10:31:16	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4875f5…
06-04 09:48:01	bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x68c0cf…
06-04 09:46:40	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x3382ab…
06-01 14:31:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x9b973f…
06-01 12:28:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x126e3b…
05-30 12:42:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xcf9d8d…
05-29 08:41:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xbe501e…
05-29 08:40:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x9ee19f…
05-27 13:54:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x074134…
05-27 13:54:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x7436b7…
05-26 14:44:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x78feee…
05-26 14:26:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xd042b3…
05-26 14:24:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xb6984f…
05-26 13:45:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb172f6…
05-24 06:29:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2453e4…
05-23 11:54:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x99e16e…
05-23 11:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x002c26…
05-23 11:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x35bc43…
05-23 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x4369a3…
05-23 10:35:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x9e1425…
05-23 10:31:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x48a4f9…
05-19 11:32:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x938c2c…
05-16 13:04:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xade1d2…
05-15 15:08:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?	No	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x333eaf…
05-15 15:06:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?	No	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x344efc…
05-15 13:28:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x909c6b…
05-13 15:14:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5ad8e0…
05-12 16:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5f8199…
05-12 14:45:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x52ea25…
05-12 14:44:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x848d0b…
05-10 17:57:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x3fa238…
05-10 17:57:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x81b6b4…
05-10 17:57:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x6daa55…
05-10 17:57:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x19af8f…
05-10 10:12:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xbe2009…
05-09 15:55:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x26de42…
05-09 15:13:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 9?	No	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xffa5b9…
05-09 15:10:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x998bd8…
05-09 15:10:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x32b94e…
05-09 14:26:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 9?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb02396…
05-08 08:53:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xca300e…
05-07 15:58:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcdb9f8…
05-07 15:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9f257d…
05-07 14:51:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x4a8aa0…
05-07 14:41:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x7fd69c…
05-07 14:38:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x7a4414…
05-07 10:25:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xce36a3…
05-07 10:25:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$8	0x7ce960…
05-07 08:31:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x314c93…
05-06 11:45:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x66cbb8…
05-06 11:45:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe9fd98…
05-06 07:58:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x541025…
05-05 13:01:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	No	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x11276a…
05-05 12:56:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1e4fce…
05-05 11:45:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x658721…
05-04 14:49:22	Ethereum Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2a9496…
05-04 10:37:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x589bc4…
05-04 10:20:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 4?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x30536c…
05-04 10:20:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 4?	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x1d931b…
05-04 03:15:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 4?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x33973c…
04-30 15:48:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x5fcadf…
04-30 14:00:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 30?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc1bd51…
04-29 14:33:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 29?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc664e6…
04-28 14:13:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 28?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3bb542…
04-28 10:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd62c48…
04-27 15:44:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 27?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x44f00c…
04-27 13:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x523282…
04-27 12:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x85dda5…
04-27 11:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa95da6…
04-27 05:48:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 27?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xdf9289…
04-26 17:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xcf87f9…
04-26 16:05:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x21523d…
04-26 15:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xdbf38b…
04-26 15:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe2e43d…
04-26 14:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 26?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x763eab…
04-26 14:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8d7b0d…
04-26 14:49:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x92c9a7…
04-26 14:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x0b1351…
04-26 14:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x299647…
04-26 14:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2b972d…
04-26 14:19:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x693ffd…
04-26 14:17:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x084bc6…
04-26 14:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3fd214…
04-26 14:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x60a057…
04-26 13:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcc8ae3…
04-26 13:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2220b7…
04-26 13:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x6d457a…
04-26 13:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x75e1d8…