Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
82.7%
Resolved
588
Trades
1,009
lifetime
Volume
$2.86K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$58
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-23 13:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Crypto
38% 88% -$24
Other
33% 73% +$40
Politics
20% 76% -$9
Sports
9% 58% -$7
Tech
1% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +11 $9 98¢ $11 +$2 10-20 16:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +11 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 10-18 23:30
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 10-02 08:30
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 10-02 21:30
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +10 $8 97¢ $9 +$1 10-09 11:30
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2 $1 97¢ $2 +$0 10-13 12:30
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -2 -$1 92¢ $-1 $0 05-01 18:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -2 -$1 86¢ $-1 $0 05-01 18:56
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -2 -$1 82¢ $-1 $0 05-01 18:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 -$1 80¢ $-1 $0 05-01 18:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -3 -$1 20¢ $-1 +$0 05-01 18:56
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? Yes +10 $9 2¢ $0 -$8 10-02 08:30
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? No +0 $1 82¢ $0 -$1 10-23 08:30
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 10-21 14:30