False-Signature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.90K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

15,974

Trades

21,335

lifetime

Volume

$250.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 10-30 00:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 188 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$2,902

Other

0% 83% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 05:30 UTC	5	$1.2K	1,181	0	+1,181	Down	+$20	03-03 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 08:25 UTC	5	$1.1K	1,238	1,194	+44	Down	-$429	03-03 08:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 03:30 UTC	12	$1.0K	1,338	0	+1,338	Down	+$88	03-02 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 07:05 UTC	5	$989	1,007	0	+1,007	Down	+$15	03-03 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 05:40 UTC	8	$942	994	0	+994	Down	+$51	03-03 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 15:30 UTC	9	$866	1,026	512	+514	Up	+$69	03-18 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 13:15 UTC	9	$803	852	0	+852	Up	+$49	03-03 13:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 12:00 UTC	11	$751	834	0	+834	Down	-$20	03-07 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 08:30 UTC	4	$741	819	0	+819	Down	+$1	03-03 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 19:40 UTC	1	$725	1,136	0	+1,136	Up	+$411	02-23 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:35 UTC	1	$706	1,153	0	+1,153	Up	+$447	02-24 16:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 05:10 UTC	1	$678	1,126	0	+1,126	Up	-$678	03-04 05:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 00:00 UTC	2	$657	990	482	+508	Up	-$589	04-06 00:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:20 UTC	13	$649	755	0	+755	Down	+$66	03-01 11:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:00 UTC	1	$622	946	0	+946	Up	-$622	03-23 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 08:20 UTC	6	$567	764	0	+764	Down	-$207	03-03 08:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 20:15 UTC	1	$557	955	0	+955	Down	+$399	03-20 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 01:20 UTC	1	$555	968	0	+968	Up	+$413	02-24 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 15:15 UTC	4	$540	553	0	+553	Down	-$540	03-07 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 05:45 UTC	12	$522	556	0	+556	Down	+$33	03-03 05:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 05:20 UTC	5	$521	630	0	+630	Down	+$108	03-03 05:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 16:30 UTC	5	$520	1,020	135	+885	Up	+$365	03-13 16:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 05:15 UTC	5	$511	685	0	+685	Up	-$227	03-03 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 04:20 UTC	1	$497	951	0	+951	Up	-$497	03-05 04:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 05:35 UTC	4	$495	509	0	+509	Down	+$14	03-03 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 00:50 UTC	3	$485	657	324	+333	Up	+$18	02-23 00:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 05:30 UTC	4	$483	1,106	0	+1,106	Down	+$291	04-01 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 13:05 UTC	6	$480	509	0	+509	Up	+$29	03-03 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 01:40 UTC	6	$469	517	0	+517	Up	-$12	03-04 01:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 04:45 UTC	4	$466	480	0	+480	Down	+$14	03-08 04:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:24:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x9ae2d4…
10-30 00:20:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x72e57e…
10-30 00:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x859a85…
10-29 23:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe794ae…
10-29 23:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd27cce…
10-29 23:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf7bfac…
10-29 23:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0xaf2ea1…
10-29 23:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x2a132e…
10-29 23:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x74c053…
10-29 23:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x877bae…
10-29 21:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xb22705…
10-29 21:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x3310c3…
10-29 20:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xc10f8b…
10-29 20:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xea3132…
10-29 20:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x09b695…
10-29 20:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	21	92¢	$20	0x88372c…
10-29 20:48:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x32a0a6…
10-29 20:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x56b850…
10-29 20:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x1f0a49…
10-29 20:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8701a7…
10-29 20:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x69f6d7…
10-29 20:44:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xe07ff3…
10-29 20:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xa3c015…
10-29 20:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xdc060b…
10-29 20:38:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x0c3c34…
10-29 20:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x533c41…
10-29 20:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x023775…
10-29 20:13:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x1ee47a…
10-29 20:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x98c984…
10-29 20:13:21	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0xfba08a…
10-29 20:09:55	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xf42138…
10-29 20:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x39468e…
10-29 20:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x11f9df…
10-29 08:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x248c7b…
10-29 05:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x87bd9d…
10-29 05:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa331a5…
10-29 05:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbe3358…
10-29 05:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf51342…
10-29 04:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x076efa…
10-29 04:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x749663…
10-29 04:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x588d42…
10-29 01:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x5c42b5…
10-29 01:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa7ae0d…
10-29 01:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x103500…
10-29 01:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x4a0b0c…
10-29 01:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xbdc955…
10-28 12:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xccbfff…
10-28 12:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x3d4324…
10-28 12:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x1528e3…
10-28 11:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xd3b450…
10-28 11:18:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x6fd14e…
10-28 11:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xe9f3ff…
10-28 11:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x8c2e4c…
10-28 11:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xc0c23d…
10-28 11:14:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf93d7e…
10-28 11:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3cc3a2…
10-28 08:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x8f44dd…
10-28 08:49:44	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x995419…
10-28 08:49:44	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x14cd65…
10-28 08:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0x7efe8c…
10-28 08:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0xbbecac…
10-28 08:44:53	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x13c97c…
10-28 08:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$19	0xada718…
10-28 08:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x4a8479…
10-28 08:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x709869…
10-28 08:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0x705b0b…
10-28 08:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xfcd674…
10-28 08:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf569bb…
10-28 08:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe83ffd…
10-28 08:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf06ea9…
10-28 08:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0d37c2…
10-28 08:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb24721…
10-28 08:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x116c91…
10-28 08:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x05439c…
10-28 08:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x72f0f1…
10-28 08:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7dfdbb…
10-28 07:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x60f850…
10-28 07:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x6825dd…
10-28 03:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x90968b…
10-28 03:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x093b71…
10-28 03:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xcbfb6c…
10-27 21:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xe5b799…
10-27 15:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xc3e2f9…
10-27 12:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe32261…
10-27 12:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb46813…
10-27 12:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfda3a7…
10-27 12:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xa69bd4…
10-27 12:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xb165fe…
10-27 10:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x7e43a9…
10-27 05:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0x6f97e8…
10-26 23:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xdf4ffa…
10-26 18:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x3816a9…
10-26 13:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x25709f…
10-26 13:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x4d315d…
10-26 08:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xe2cb0d…
10-26 04:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xb22e87…
10-26 04:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x31f50d…
10-26 01:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	51¢	$16	0x5b17f0…
10-26 01:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xaa801a…
10-25 23:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xf6c14a…