False-Signature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

40.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$221

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% $-33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	+4	$2	96¢	$4	+$2	05-05 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	+4	$2	80¢	$3	+$1	05-05 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	+4	$2	20¢	$1	$-1	05-05 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	+13	$7	0¢	$0	$-7	05-05 21:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$45	80	+80	Up	$-45	05-04 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$18	32	+32	open	—	05-05 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$17	35	+35	open	—	05-05 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$15	28	+28	Down	+$13	05-05 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$7	13	+13	open	—	05-05 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$7	12	+12	Up	+$5	05-04 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$7	12	+12	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$7	16	+16	Up	+$9	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$7	12	+12	open	—	05-05 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$7	13	+13	open	—	05-05 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$7	12	+12	Up	$-7	05-05 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$7	12	+12	Down	$-7	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$7	12	+12	open	—	05-05 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$7	12	+12	Up	+$5	05-05 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$6	7	+7	Up	+$1	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$3	7	+7	Up	+$4	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	$-2	05-04 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-05 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	05-05 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	05-05 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-05 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	$-2	05-05 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-05 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-05 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-05 20:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x990b4d…
05-05 21:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x1053cf…
05-05 21:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc340e8…
05-05 21:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x62584b…
05-05 20:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x9327ac…
05-05 20:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe3f350…
05-05 19:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x8b8933…
05-05 19:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x88a172…
05-05 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6ff740…
05-05 15:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x537eb3…
05-05 15:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0x9c06e4…
05-05 10:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xd9162f…
05-05 10:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc86040…
05-05 10:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xdc53d5…
05-05 09:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa059e3…
05-05 09:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1cc812…
05-05 07:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xc646b1…
05-05 07:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x44f744…
05-05 07:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xc54788…
05-05 06:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xeab948…
05-05 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x527254…
05-05 05:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xb8f8da…
05-05 05:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x7844dc…
05-05 05:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x9e17f3…
05-05 05:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0bde07…
05-05 04:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xbb3458…
05-05 04:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc28500…
05-05 04:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd7a2a4…
05-05 03:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf22275…
05-05 03:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbb439b…
05-05 03:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe40567…
05-05 03:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x0346b4…
05-05 03:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x55d326…
05-05 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x68cdcb…
05-05 02:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x90c971…
05-05 02:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2d5f4b…
05-05 01:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9c7558…
05-05 00:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x12dfbf…
05-05 00:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x391018…
05-04 23:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x384e98…
05-04 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x450ef6…
05-04 21:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	80	56¢	$45	0x7c87dd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	36	$14.5K	315	05-05 22:00
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	35	$915	196	05-05 21:40
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	31	$1.08K	107	05-05 21:39
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	28	$1.99K	203	05-05 22:00
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	26	$1.59K	111	05-05 21:30
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	26	$1.02K	145	05-05 21:40
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	24	$4.46K	178	05-05 21:39
Constant-Relation 0x01b7…2eca	23	$1.21K	61	05-05 21:19