Limp-Drawer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.47K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.2%

Resolved

Trades

3,350

lifetime

Volume

$189.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-11 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

84% 100% +$24

Other

16% 50% +$1,443

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	95	$10.7K	6,319	7,919	-1,600	open	—	05-29 13:50
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	138	$9.5K	608,388	8,665	+599,724	open	—	06-07 23:03
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	129	$7.1K	7,193	7,293	-100	Yes	+$1,502	05-12 09:02
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	48	$6.3K	9,267	9,172	+95	open	—	06-14 17:23
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 7	40	$6.2K	3,320	4,406	-1,087	open	—	06-04 12:01
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	32	$5.8K	3,809	3,809	+0	open	—	05-15 18:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	97	$5.7K	4,799	4,822	-24	open	—	04-24 22:44
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	30	$5.2K	3,785	3,785	+0	open	—	05-14 18:35
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	49	$5.2K	6,136	447	+5,689	open	—	06-19 09:58
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	73	$4.7K	3,642	3,565	+77	open	—	06-15 10:12
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	42	$4.4K	2,509	2,662	-154	open	—	04-23 21:29
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	36	$4.0K	4,877	3,788	+1,090	open	—	07-14 05:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	19	$3.9K	3,875	4,075	-200	open	—	05-29 19:05
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	20	$3.3K	4,042	4,042	+0	open	—	06-07 19:28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	28	$2.8K	2,308	2,308	+0	open	—	05-29 19:06
iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	21	$2.7K	2,472	2,502	-30	open	—	07-30 07:48
will israel strike lebanon on march 6 2026	13	$2.7K	1,432	1,432	+0	open	—	03-05 13:02
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?	38	$2.5K	1,147	2,047	-899	open	—	06-19 17:05
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?	36	$2.4K	1,754	1,754	+0	open	—	04-11 08:36
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	53	$2.1K	1,704	1,704	+0	open	—	05-15 18:15
will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	5	$2.0K	1,039	1,039	+0	open	—	03-07 22:00
israel closes its airspace by august 15	7	$2.0K	6,312	5,417	+895	open	—	08-09 15:00
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	13	$2.0K	3,577	1,442	+2,135	open	—	08-05 21:55
iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	34	$2.0K	1,612	1,449	+163	open	—	07-24 02:44
will israel strike greater beirut on march 6 2026	6	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-06 11:42
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	41	$1.9K	1,275	1,315	-40	open	—	04-13 20:14
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 24 2026	41	$1.8K	1,676	1,752	-76	open	—	03-25 12:24
will israel strike greater beirut on march 4 2026	23	$1.8K	1,412	576	+836	open	—	03-04 02:21
will israel strike greater beirut on march 5 2026	9	$1.8K	923	923	+0	open	—	03-05 06:00
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	7	$1.7K	2,795	1,998	+797	open	—	08-02 05:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 01:00:22	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	1,256	4¢	$50	0x35b717…
08-11 00:58:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x8f159f…
08-09 15:00:58	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	138	4¢	$5	0xbc9924…
08-09 14:59:54	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x24103a…
08-07 21:42:19	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb0d5ae…
08-07 18:59:03	israel military action against yemen by august 31	Yes	SELL	707	14¢	$99	0xc92a27…
08-07 01:55:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	400	42¢	$168	0xb0dc54…
08-07 01:53:51	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	400	57¢	$228	0xbcef33…
08-07 01:53:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	771	85¢	$655	0x74cb8a…
08-05 23:07:20	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	757	7¢	$50	0x96504a…
08-05 21:55:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	250	14¢	$35	0x1ed60b…
08-05 15:30:36	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x15a096…
08-05 14:57:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	800	15¢	$120	0xd11e10…
08-05 14:06:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	200	52¢	$105	0x4cd481…
08-05 13:21:47	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	700	10¢	$70	0x0c37b9…
08-05 13:20:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	600	20¢	$120	0xcd60a9…
08-05 13:08:20	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	629	14¢	$88	0xb52831…
08-05 13:07:09	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	1,786	14¢	$250	0x75424b…
08-05 12:34:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x36fdde…
08-05 10:45:36	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0x07ca66…
08-04 23:55:05	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xbdf93b…
08-04 23:53:56	will iran target a arab country on august 5 2026 20260801004719122	Yes	BUY	97	26¢	$25	0x04a2c2…
08-04 22:14:03	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	800	15¢	$120	0x8b9bb7…
08-04 22:01:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xbcca07…
08-04 22:01:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x3de258…
08-04 22:01:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xfe6ace…
08-04 22:00:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	145	39¢	$57	0x5b988d…
08-04 22:00:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x1c45a1…
08-04 22:00:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x82c451…
08-04 22:00:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xadf6ce…
08-04 22:00:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x9a84c5…
08-04 22:00:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb5fdb8…
08-04 21:56:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x9ae752…
08-04 21:55:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x908325…
08-04 21:53:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9aae52…
08-04 21:48:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xfe918f…
08-04 21:46:24	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0xa72cf0…
08-04 21:46:14	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x44fa30…
08-04 21:45:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	394	63¢	$250	0x9adf91…
08-04 18:35:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	400	19¢	$76	0x519a8e…
08-04 15:26:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xe7124d…
08-04 15:21:45	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	227	38¢	$86	0x91c8cf…
08-04 15:20:51	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	173	38¢	$66	0x5692c4…
08-04 14:17:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	390	26¢	$101	0xb2141d…
08-04 14:07:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x0f25af…
08-04 14:04:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xe82682…
08-04 13:59:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x64d731…
08-04 13:59:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x7a3e03…
08-04 13:59:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x5e07b3…
08-04 13:58:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	48	26¢	$13	0x71533a…
08-04 13:53:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xfaa486…
08-04 13:53:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x82d973…
08-04 13:53:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x05d39b…
08-04 13:53:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x3ecbc5…
08-04 13:51:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	341	26¢	$89	0x479a1f…
08-04 13:29:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x69115b…
08-04 13:28:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	850	29¢	$250	0xef3903…
08-04 02:38:26	israel military action against yemen by august 31	Yes	BUY	707	7¢	$50	0x4e08cd…
08-03 23:57:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xe13a1d…
08-03 22:55:15	will iran target a arab country on august 10 2026 20260801004719127	Yes	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xe6776b…
08-02 21:32:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	417	46¢	$192	0xfb1fe0…
08-02 05:25:47	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	1,402	23¢	$321	0x91e981…
08-01 05:03:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x5c737b…
08-01 05:02:15	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	708	29¢	$207	0x09807d…
07-31 23:01:17	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	758	33¢	$250	0x911257…
07-31 22:04:35	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	1,317	38¢	$500	0xcf6d01…
07-31 22:03:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	1,218	0¢	$2	0x62f139…
07-31 21:58:33	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	5,417	23¢	$1,260	0x831d22…
07-31 12:57:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	1,310	40¢	$522	0x15d0c0…
07-31 12:57:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	1,458	24¢	$350	0x2b0c25…
07-31 12:05:21	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x20f3af…
07-31 12:05:08	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3d4d48…
07-31 11:17:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	636	2¢	$10	0x065509…
07-31 10:55:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0xad6337…
07-31 10:50:30	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	34	18¢	$6	0x2092af…
07-31 10:48:56	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	388	2¢	$6	0x095941…
07-31 10:39:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0x116e91…
07-31 10:37:09	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	206	2¢	$3	0x3ed9b7…
07-31 10:30:33	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe130ff…
07-31 10:20:15	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf8ceab…
07-31 10:15:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x1156d6…
07-31 10:13:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x900674…
07-31 10:10:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x304753…
07-31 10:08:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	1,042	24¢	$250	0x129fee…
07-31 10:07:02	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	1,538	13¢	$200	0x164270…
07-31 10:06:38	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	1,538	13¢	$200	0x4fd267…
07-31 10:05:38	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	1,923	13¢	$250	0xcec583…
07-31 10:04:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	1,310	38¢	$500	0xf16112…
07-31 10:03:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	518	2¢	$10	0xabdd05…
07-31 10:03:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	SELL	1,053	0¢	$2	0x10265e…
07-31 09:48:50	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$8	0xc27b88…
07-31 09:48:45	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x653c86…
07-31 09:47:20	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xdcd587…
07-31 09:46:12	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x80f637…
07-31 09:45:33	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0xcdc343…
07-31 09:44:32	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x8bafbf…
07-31 09:43:29	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	514	2¢	$10	0xef4bbc…
07-31 09:34:39	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	139	33¢	$46	0xdde68a…
07-30 18:46:12	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	84	36¢	$30	0x6bc16e…
07-30 18:44:50	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	472	5¢	$25	0xe1abd0…