Limp-Drawer 0xdf903e…ba41f0 Create alert
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.45K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.28K
Hit rate
71.8%
Resolved
492
Trades
9,932
lifetime
Volume
$537.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$6.46K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-12 07:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 187 days
Categories
Politics
71% 54% -$603
Other
29% 46% +$2,704
Sports
0% 0% -$652
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 467 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +800 $660 90¢ $716 +$56 11-11 13:50
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +500 -$309 98¢ $488 +$796 10-29 17:33
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-48 House election by 18%-21%? Yes +442 $291 76¢ $337 +$46 11-10 03:23
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-31 House election by 30% or more? Yes +362 $189 89¢ $322 +$133 11-08 03:17
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-05 House election by 5%-10%? Yes +626 $280 46¢ $288 +$8 11-08 23:33
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-09 House election by 30% or more? Yes +300 $180 91¢ $273 +$93 11-07 18:03
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? Yes +1,110 $235 24¢ $272 +$37 11-11 03:51
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? Yes +820 $234 30¢ $250 +$17 11-12 02:32
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +500 $252 49¢ $245 -$7 11-11 05:46
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-46 House election by 35% or more? Yes +250 $137 92¢ $231 +$94 11-07 18:09
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-05 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +315 $243 72¢ $227 -$16 11-11 05:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +581 $220 38¢ $224 +$4 11-11 06:04
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election by 15%-20%? Yes +270 $158 76¢ $204 +$46 11-09 02:19
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 65% or more? Yes +262 $143 76¢ $198 +$56 11-09 23:06
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +6,943 $159 3¢ $198 +$39 11-12 07:01
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-32 House election by 35%-40%? Yes +420 $245 44¢ $187 -$58 11-12 06:07
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? Yes +1,730 $173 10¢ $169 -$5 11-11 03:49
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-01 House election by 15%-20%? Yes +213 $131 75¢ $160 +$29 11-10 01:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +200 $133 67¢ $134 +$1 11-11 17:47
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,751 $73 5¢ $133 +$60 11-11 04:09
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-15 House election by 55%-60%? Yes +190 $131 70¢ $132 +$1 11-11 20:06
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 26? Yes +176 $45 74¢ $131 +$86 11-10 00:00
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 19? Yes +187 $135 67¢ $125 -$9 11-09 15:52
Will Iran target Jordan by November 30, 2026? Yes +430 $207 29¢ $125 -$82 11-10 20:33
Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? Yes +3,707 $150 3¢ $119 -$32 11-09 03:52
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +260 $38 45¢ $118 +$79 11-09 02:22
Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? No +301 $274 39¢ $117 -$156 11-08 15:13
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? No +134 $115 88¢ $117 +$3 11-10 22:52
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-41 House election by 30% or more? Yes +118 $80 94¢ $111 +$30 11-09 01:59
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026? Yes +339 $173 32¢ $107 -$66 11-10 11:15