Limp-Drawer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.47K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

94.2%

Resolved

Trades

3,038

lifetime

Volume

$162.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$27

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-21 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

84% 100% +$24

Other

16% 50% +$1,443

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No		+29	$24	93¢	$27	+$3	06-30 17:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	95	$10.7K	6,319	7,919	-1,600	open	—	05-29 13:50
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	138	$9.5K	608,388	8,665	+599,724	open	—	06-07 23:03
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	129	$7.1K	7,193	7,293	-100	Yes	+$1,502	05-12 09:02
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	48	$6.3K	9,267	9,172	+95	open	—	06-14 17:23
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 7	40	$6.2K	3,320	4,406	-1,087	open	—	06-04 12:01
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	32	$5.8K	3,809	3,809	+0	open	—	05-15 18:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	97	$5.7K	4,799	4,822	-24	open	—	04-24 22:44
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	30	$5.2K	3,785	3,785	+0	open	—	05-14 18:35
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	49	$5.2K	6,136	447	+5,689	open	—	06-19 09:58
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	73	$4.7K	3,642	3,565	+77	open	—	06-15 10:12
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	42	$4.4K	2,509	2,662	-154	open	—	04-23 21:29
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	36	$4.0K	4,877	3,788	+1,090	open	—	07-14 05:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	19	$3.9K	3,875	4,075	-200	open	—	05-29 19:05
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	20	$3.3K	4,042	4,042	+0	open	—	06-07 19:28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	28	$2.8K	2,308	2,308	+0	open	—	05-29 19:06
will israel strike lebanon on march 6 2026	13	$2.7K	1,432	1,432	+0	open	—	03-05 13:02
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?	38	$2.5K	1,147	2,047	-899	open	—	06-19 17:05
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?	36	$2.4K	1,754	1,754	+0	open	—	04-11 08:36
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	53	$2.1K	1,704	1,704	+0	open	—	05-15 18:15
will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	5	$2.0K	1,039	1,039	+0	open	—	03-07 22:00
will israel strike greater beirut on march 6 2026	6	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-06 11:42
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	41	$1.9K	1,275	1,315	-40	open	—	04-13 20:14
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 24 2026	41	$1.8K	1,676	1,752	-76	open	—	03-25 12:24
will israel strike greater beirut on march 4 2026	23	$1.8K	1,412	576	+836	open	—	03-04 02:21
will israel strike greater beirut on march 5 2026	9	$1.8K	923	923	+0	open	—	03-05 06:00
will israel strike greater beirut on march 8 2026	4	$1.5K	758	758	+0	open	—	03-08 03:03
will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	78	$1.4K	1,245	1,305	-60	open	—	03-02 00:34
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 27 2026	21	$1.4K	1,189	1,081	+107	open	—	03-27 00:37
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	37	$1.4K	1,318	1,318	+0	open	—	03-30 16:36
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	11	$1.4K	1,286	1,286	+0	open	—	05-25 23:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 23:45:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	SELL	133	33¢	$44	0x92181a…
07-21 22:45:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x0300d1…
07-21 22:38:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	967	1¢	$9	0x26cd4f…
07-21 22:31:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	1,033	1¢	$9	0x0f877c…
07-21 22:30:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xf43e59…
07-21 22:30:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xf1c9a5…
07-21 21:09:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	SELL	111	48¢	$53	0xdf24e5…
07-21 21:08:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	SELL	138	38¢	$52	0xd94c81…
07-21 21:04:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	SELL	355	42¢	$149	0x05f2d0…
07-21 18:27:43	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$15	0x5bbfb7…
07-21 18:21:18	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0xa31406…
07-21 18:00:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	101	69¢	$70	0x7dded7…
07-21 17:50:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	94	60¢	$57	0x0ee68f…
07-21 17:29:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x62e073…
07-21 16:40:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x1f8bcc…
07-21 16:21:12	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	103	60¢	$62	0x5e0491…
07-21 15:30:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	63	60¢	$38	0xf1dec3…
07-21 15:00:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb25902…
07-21 14:18:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	29	60¢	$17	0xa6e13a…
07-21 13:38:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x787dfc…
07-21 10:51:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x9d5bcf…
07-21 10:50:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x60aba0…
07-21 01:33:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	320	33¢	$106	0x44841f…
07-21 01:30:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	136	4¢	$5	0xd510e6…
07-21 01:14:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xb5047b…
07-20 23:51:39	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	860	44¢	$379	0xa062bf…
07-20 22:24:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xcfafe0…
07-20 21:38:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	56	70¢	$39	0xdaa20f…
07-20 20:22:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 28 20260708212322953	Yes	BUY	67	38¢	$25	0x64460e…
07-20 19:59:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	75	58¢	$44	0x72daf0…
07-20 19:58:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	23	61¢	$14	0xe706fc…
07-20 19:57:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	67	64¢	$43	0x48886d…
07-20 19:34:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	108	32¢	$35	0xc5bfc4…
07-20 19:29:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	216	31¢	$67	0x14ed3c…
07-20 19:28:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	132	68¢	$90	0x656376…
07-20 19:26:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xdc42cb…
07-20 19:26:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x86800e…
07-20 19:00:51	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	454	35¢	$157	0xf5e1cd…
07-20 19:00:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	92	48¢	$44	0x1141b5…
07-20 16:39:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xb8575b…
07-20 16:39:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xb8744b…
07-20 16:07:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	93	44¢	$41	0xe52d0f…
07-20 15:44:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0xc2f5b0…
07-20 15:38:58	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	423	26¢	$110	0x144f16…
07-20 15:36:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x184532…
07-20 15:35:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x077545…
07-20 15:27:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$69	0x24eb9a…
07-20 15:10:25	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	200	62¢	$123	0x953eea…
07-20 14:59:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x410dd5…
07-20 14:58:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0x6afa27…
07-20 14:58:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0xea9ab0…
07-20 14:58:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0x6ccddd…
07-20 14:40:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x33dd4e…
07-20 14:38:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	BUY	93	34¢	$32	0xf34a68…
07-20 14:37:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x67204a…
07-20 14:37:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	125	74¢	$92	0xd40120…
07-20 14:35:12	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x5ce4e7…
07-20 14:34:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xc3838a…
07-20 14:34:21	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xdd0728…
07-20 14:34:01	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	860	35¢	$300	0x159cf3…
07-20 14:33:43	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	797	44¢	$350	0x708adf…
07-20 14:32:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x82190d…
07-20 14:18:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x9676d1…
07-20 14:15:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x74b4d0…
07-20 14:14:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0x63840f…
07-20 14:14:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	BUY	177	34¢	$60	0xec6947…
07-20 14:14:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	125	60¢	$75	0x41b860…
07-20 13:47:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x075507…
07-20 13:46:57	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xd48ee6…
07-20 13:46:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	215	31¢	$66	0x983f08…
07-20 13:45:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	320	31¢	$100	0xf1be51…
07-20 13:45:33	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0xd0eca6…
07-20 13:45:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	108	56¢	$61	0xc35d24…
07-20 13:22:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x7c8ff8…
07-20 13:20:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xcdf228…
07-20 12:44:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xf76c30…
07-20 12:44:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	204	16¢	$33	0x3b0ad7…
07-20 12:42:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x855bd1…
07-20 08:53:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x98b430…
07-20 08:53:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0x4e4f13…
07-20 08:53:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	49	37¢	$18	0xfb17ea…
07-20 08:53:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x8036f4…
07-19 21:23:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x65bee5…
07-19 17:05:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x501c6a…
07-19 17:04:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x8d7bef…
07-19 17:04:37	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	BUY	887	1¢	$10	0x1644e3…
07-19 11:31:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	SELL	200	4¢	$9	0x373196…
07-19 04:54:45	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x94f904…
07-19 03:48:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xc796b7…
07-19 02:16:16	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	BUY	1,166	2¢	$20	0x9ba627…
07-19 02:13:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	BUY	1,198	2¢	$20	0xd87f4d…
07-19 02:02:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x22a854…
07-19 02:00:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	SELL	200	41¢	$81	0xa90135…
07-19 01:56:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	SELL	32	43¢	$14	0x35ad16…
07-19 01:55:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	SELL	26	44¢	$11	0xc7b7f5…
07-18 23:04:48	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9d938d…
07-18 22:53:37	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	195	35¢	$68	0xa089e7…
07-18 19:02:19	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x609ef3…
07-18 19:01:48	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x287a97…
07-18 19:01:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x1a4412…