Naive-Cartload — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$66

Unrealized P&L

-$46

Hit rate

81.5%

Resolved (90d)

107

Trades (90d)

128

2,556 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.46K

$45.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-18

last 11-15 05:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 67% -$152

Other

2% 63% -$251

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Renofa Yamaguchi win on 2026-11-15?	Yes		+64	$50	6¢	$4	-$46	11-15 05:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$300	339	0	+339	Up	+$39	05-04 12:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	05-11 18:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$300	356	0	+356	Down	+$56	05-07 15:29
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$300	312	0	+312	Up	+$12	05-10 15:23
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$300	355	0	+355	Down	+$55	05-08 06:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	05-21 04:24
Sopo: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia	3	$245	136	136	+0	Elizabeth Mandlik	+$25	11-12 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$227	244	0	+244	Down	-$15	05-28 14:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$220	232	0	+232	Up	+$12	05-06 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$220	225	0	+225	Up	+$5	05-20 05:34
es2 alb gra 2026 04 19 alb	2	$208	109	109	+0	Yes	+$10	04-19 18:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$205	216	0	+216	Down	+$2	05-07 06:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$201	205	0	+205	Up	+$4	05-21 10:34
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$200	232	0	+232	Down	-$200	05-06 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$200	206	0	+206	Down	+$6	05-07 15:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$200	255	0	+255	Up	+$55	05-01 17:06
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-15 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	-$200	05-15 16:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$200	205	0	+205	Down	+$5	05-11 13:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-11 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$200	218	0	+218	Up	+$18	05-04 14:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$200	203	0	+203	Up	+$3	05-02 05:24
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$200	216	0	+216	Up	+$16	05-12 14:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 12:15 UTC	1	$177	183	0	+183	Up	+$5	04-20 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$170	261	0	+261	Up	+$90	05-01 06:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$170	186	0	+186	Up	+$16	05-15 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$160	189	0	+189	Up	+$29	05-20 04:46
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$150	155	0	+155	Down	+$5	05-22 04:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 15:15 UTC	1	$146	147	0	+147	Up	+$1	04-19 15:18
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$145	164	0	+164	Up	+$19	05-10 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 05:47:01	Will Renofa Yamaguchi win on 2026-11-15?	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x7d0714…
11-15 05:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0xa16330…
11-15 04:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x31bdbd…
11-15 04:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xb271ea…
11-14 10:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x5fb88d…
11-14 09:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xc3a6aa…
11-14 08:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x98b883…
11-14 05:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x561ffc…
11-14 04:25:14	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x4b4e53…
11-14 04:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x2b2b29…
11-14 04:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7b22a4…
11-14 03:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x86fd55…
11-13 18:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x4680ac…
11-13 18:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xea7ff7…
11-13 17:27:10	Will Slovakia win on 2026-11-13?	Yes	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x072754…
11-13 14:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x5ea50b…
11-13 13:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xc71b18…
11-13 13:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf2523f…
11-13 13:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc9ac4c…
11-13 06:19:45	Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren	August Holmgren	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x22ffef…
11-13 00:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xa8ec09…
11-13 00:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	143	49¢	$70	0x36933d…
11-12 23:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	91	88¢	$80	0x3def33…
11-12 17:39:04	Will Cyprus win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x4237e0…
11-12 17:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x8ff996…
11-12 16:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0xd1249a…
11-12 16:50:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0949d4…
11-12 16:45:06	Sopo: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia	Elizabeth Mandlik	SELL	136	100¢	$135	0xea282e…
11-12 15:47:16	Sopo: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia	Elizabeth Mandlik	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x7aa301…
11-12 15:40:19	Sopo: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia	Elizabeth Mandlik	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xed79a3…
11-12 15:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x80f1f4…
11-12 15:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x90e7c0…
11-12 15:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x7f2a38…
11-12 15:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x8836e3…
11-12 14:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xaa10eb…
11-12 13:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x5c3483…
11-12 07:31:55	ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Afghanistan Under-19s vs India Under-19s	India Under-19s	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x5513e2…
11-12 05:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x43dc64…
11-12 05:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf0e2d7…
11-12 04:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x7df314…
11-11 18:38:19	Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes	Dartmouth Big Green	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x956f82…
11-11 18:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb8a1e0…
11-11 18:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0x3ce1b4…
11-11 17:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x4cd269…
11-11 17:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	160	69¢	$110	0xbcdbd7…
11-11 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	222	36¢	$80	0x85b029…
11-11 07:45:31	Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Rwanda Women	Uganda Women	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xf2a871…
11-11 06:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x121246…
11-11 06:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x079794…
11-10 20:17:51	Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-11-10?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x864b55…
11-10 17:44:25	Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-11-10?	Yes	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xd1c50b…
11-10 17:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xaa1608…
11-10 14:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x6e95a0…
11-10 14:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb8c4e1…
11-10 14:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8dd003…
11-10 14:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x33c120…
11-10 13:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xefc788…
11-10 13:26:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xffebe1…
11-10 13:26:06	W15 Monastir: Milla Sequeira vs Lya Fernandez	Lya Fernandez	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6aaf45…
11-10 09:00:54	W15 Monastir: Milla Sequeira vs Lya Fernandez	Lya Fernandez	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x75a946…
11-09 19:31:57	Will ASD Pineto Calcio win on 2026-11-09?	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xc109e2…
11-09 18:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x2c4d50…
11-09 18:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x803a44…
11-09 18:06:15	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xb56740…
11-09 17:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x8dd24d…
11-09 17:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc7fb7f…
11-09 15:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0x40b0e0…
11-09 14:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x393e51…
11-09 14:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xc1f6ae…
11-09 14:32:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xabfb6a…
11-09 14:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x823f37…
11-09 14:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0173fa…
11-09 14:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x296c8b…
11-09 14:11:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x0f6716…
11-09 14:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc53a78…
11-09 04:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x461519…
11-09 04:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfa321e…
11-09 04:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa3f5da…
11-09 04:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x989f82…
11-08 18:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcf299d…
11-08 18:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x6fb56d…
11-08 18:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x711e95…
11-08 17:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xef8fe8…
11-08 17:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4c655f…
11-08 16:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbfc5b1…
11-08 16:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xb9eacd…
11-08 16:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x01e375…
11-08 14:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x75dd75…
11-08 14:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x69a30e…
11-08 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x98845e…
11-08 13:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5543e1…
11-08 13:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x94b938…
11-08 13:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc02bf7…
11-08 13:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd559ae…
11-08 13:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x334409…
11-08 13:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5c8bc5…
11-08 13:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xa7292c…
11-08 13:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xaf1362…
11-08 13:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc27240…
11-08 13:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x0c1381…