Naive-Cartload — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$191

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

2,516 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$999

$44.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 11-11 18:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 67% -$41

Other

2% 64% -$236

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$300	339	0	+339	Up	+$39	05-04 12:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	05-11 18:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$300	356	0	+356	Down	+$56	05-07 15:29
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$300	312	0	+312	Up	+$12	05-10 15:23
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$300	355	0	+355	Down	+$55	05-08 06:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	05-21 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$227	244	0	+244	Down	-$15	05-28 14:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$220	232	0	+232	Up	+$12	05-06 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$220	225	0	+225	Up	+$5	05-20 05:34
es2 alb gra 2026 04 19 alb	2	$208	109	109	+0	Yes	+$10	04-19 18:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$205	216	0	+216	Down	+$2	05-07 06:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$201	205	0	+205	Up	+$4	05-21 10:34
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$200	232	0	+232	Down	-$200	05-06 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$200	206	0	+206	Down	+$6	05-07 15:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$200	255	0	+255	Up	+$55	05-01 17:06
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-15 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	-$200	05-15 16:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$200	205	0	+205	Down	+$5	05-11 13:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-11 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$200	218	0	+218	Up	+$18	05-04 14:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$200	203	0	+203	Up	+$3	05-02 05:24
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$200	216	0	+216	Up	+$16	05-12 14:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 12:15 UTC	1	$177	183	0	+183	Up	+$5	04-20 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$170	261	0	+261	Up	+$90	05-01 06:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$170	186	0	+186	Up	+$16	05-15 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$160	189	0	+189	Up	+$29	05-20 04:46
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$150	155	0	+155	Down	+$5	05-22 04:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 15:15 UTC	1	$146	147	0	+147	Up	+$1	04-19 15:18
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$145	164	0	+164	Up	+$19	05-10 15:13
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 16:25 UTC	1	$144	151	0	+151	Down	-$144	04-19 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 18:38:19	Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes	Dartmouth Big Green	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x956f82…
11-11 18:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb8a1e0…
11-11 18:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0x3ce1b4…
11-11 17:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x4cd269…
11-11 17:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	160	69¢	$110	0xbcdbd7…
11-11 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	222	36¢	$80	0x85b029…
11-11 07:45:31	Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Rwanda Women	Uganda Women	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xf2a871…
11-11 06:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x121246…
11-11 06:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x079794…
11-10 20:17:51	Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-11-10?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x864b55…
11-10 17:44:25	Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-11-10?	Yes	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xd1c50b…
11-10 17:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xaa1608…
11-10 14:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x6e95a0…
11-10 14:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb8c4e1…
11-10 14:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8dd003…
11-10 14:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x33c120…
11-10 13:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xefc788…
11-10 13:26:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xffebe1…
11-10 13:26:06	W15 Monastir: Milla Sequeira vs Lya Fernandez	Lya Fernandez	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6aaf45…
11-10 09:00:54	W15 Monastir: Milla Sequeira vs Lya Fernandez	Lya Fernandez	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x75a946…
11-09 19:31:57	Will ASD Pineto Calcio win on 2026-11-09?	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xc109e2…
11-09 18:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x2c4d50…
11-09 18:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x803a44…
11-09 18:06:15	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xb56740…
11-09 17:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x8dd24d…
11-09 17:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc7fb7f…
11-09 15:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0x40b0e0…
11-09 14:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x393e51…
11-09 14:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xc1f6ae…
11-09 14:32:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xabfb6a…
11-09 14:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x823f37…
11-09 14:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0173fa…
11-09 14:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x296c8b…
11-09 14:11:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x0f6716…
11-09 14:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc53a78…
11-09 04:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x461519…
11-09 04:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfa321e…
11-09 04:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa3f5da…
11-09 04:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x989f82…
11-08 18:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcf299d…
11-08 18:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x6fb56d…
11-08 18:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x711e95…
11-08 17:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xef8fe8…
11-08 17:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4c655f…
11-08 16:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbfc5b1…
11-08 16:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xb9eacd…
11-08 16:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x01e375…
11-08 14:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x75dd75…
11-08 14:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x69a30e…
11-08 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x98845e…
11-08 13:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5543e1…
11-08 13:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x94b938…
11-08 13:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc02bf7…
11-08 13:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd559ae…
11-08 13:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x334409…
11-08 13:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5c8bc5…
11-08 13:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xa7292c…
11-08 13:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xaf1362…
11-08 13:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc27240…
11-08 13:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x0c1381…
11-08 12:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xab13a5…
11-08 12:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xeab3bd…
11-08 11:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7ecbb9…
11-08 11:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xaf9d09…
11-08 11:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa2b660…
11-08 11:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x71d9dd…
11-08 09:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8e89a8…
11-08 09:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xc4b9d6…
11-08 08:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3ce882…
11-08 06:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdb7278…
11-08 06:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x8d6cae…
11-08 06:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8ac776…
11-07 23:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x918114…
11-07 23:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xc1a11f…
11-07 23:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3aad0b…
11-07 17:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x5eb9e1…
11-07 16:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4a743a…
11-07 16:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x98e138…
11-07 14:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xb453ad…
11-07 10:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1e3414…
11-07 10:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb960f8…
11-07 09:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xdf1400…
11-07 09:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x512de1…
11-07 09:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3b188a…
11-07 07:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x50dd66…
11-07 05:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x28bdfa…
11-07 04:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7e23c3…
11-07 00:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x32478c…
06-14 12:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0xf4e863…
06-14 12:10:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x4d3e74…
06-14 12:01:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x492e62…
06-14 11:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x29f026…
06-14 11:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5f4386…
06-14 11:36:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x51e353…
06-14 11:31:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd8340e…
06-14 10:43:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x330f3e…
06-14 10:17:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5b7439…
06-09 14:33:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x296e4b…
06-09 14:24:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xa40cb4…
06-09 13:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x4920e4…