Hollow-Illiteracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$236

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

158

236 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.30K

$5.46K lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 11-12 16:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

73% 44% -$206

Politics

27% 58% -$374

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on November 12?	Yes		+40	$9	52¢	$21	+$11	11-12 14:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	2	$349	361	361	+0	No	-$9	01-29 06:34
us forces enter iran by march 7	4	$292	185	185	+0	No	+$23	03-06 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	4	$292	230	153	+78	No	+$3	10-07 20:28
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 8?	2	$271	146	146	+0	No	+$18	10-08 11:43
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$219	273	0	+273	Yes	-$219	02-27 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 8?	3	$217	119	119	+0	Yes	+$17	10-08 18:58
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 7?	2	$215	128	128	+0	No	+$41	10-07 15:29
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$214	118	118	+0	No	+$16	02-02 11:13
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on October 9?	7	$183	211	211	+0	Yes	-$116	10-09 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 22?	2	$168	102	102	+0	No	+$34	10-22 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6?	8	$168	128	128	+0	Yes	+$43	10-06 20:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$156	144	144	+0	No	-$16	04-25 17:47
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	2	$153	185	185	+0	No	-$117	10-04 21:20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	3	$116	68	68	+0	Yes	+$15	10-27 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 12?	2	$111	107	107	+0	Yes	+$83	10-12 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 28?	5	$105	56	56	+0	Yes	+$5	10-28 13:01
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$101	130	0	+130	No	+$29	02-20 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?	2	$87	206	0	+206	No	-$87	10-12 13:21
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	2	$85	52	52	+0	Yes	+$5	11-05 17:42
will iran strike oman again in march	3	$82	58	58	+0	No	+$20	03-21 19:08
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$79	45	45	+0	Yes	+$11	11-04 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	3	$79	142	0	+142	No	-$79	10-09 19:40
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$78	103	0	+103	Yes	+$25	03-09 17:57
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 26?	2	$70	40	40	+0	No	+$10	10-26 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 5?	7	$60	46	46	+0	Yes	+$31	11-05 13:01
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	2	$59	34	34	+0	No	+$0	02-10 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 3?	3	$55	30	30	+0	Yes	+$5	11-03 19:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$55	345	345	+0	Yes	-$54	03-01 18:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$53	62	62	+0	No	-$28	05-10 19:09
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 5?	2	$53	34	34	+0	Yes	+$11	10-05 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 16:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	35	58¢	$20	0x89fcb2…
11-12 14:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0xca6351…
11-12 14:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x3e05b9…
11-12 13:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x40dc11…
11-12 05:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x8280f0…
11-10 09:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x07c795…
11-10 07:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x47fe26…
11-10 05:57:07	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x6f5f5a…
11-10 05:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0x73b3da…
11-06 15:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xef090a…
11-06 15:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x1dcf5f…
11-06 05:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0xb1fb3f…
11-06 03:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x22cc8d…
11-06 03:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0xc103c3…
11-05 17:42:25	Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	52	87¢	$45	0x01e06d…
11-05 17:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xf7f759…
11-05 15:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x2a54e8…
11-05 13:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xa4c31f…
11-05 13:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x2a2c78…
11-05 13:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xd71db3…
11-05 13:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x38cbd5…
11-05 07:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x6c80d2…
11-05 07:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd439ea…
11-05 07:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x8dc294…
11-04 23:07:09	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf62204…
11-04 18:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x0375e1…
11-04 17:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x4e5e27…
11-04 15:59:34	Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xdc8149…
11-04 15:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc861fd…
11-04 15:54:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xd4dfca…
11-04 15:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xd75adc…
11-04 15:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x834656…
11-04 05:31:37	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xc2e2cc…
11-03 23:29:34	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x134d7a…
11-03 19:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xa2283d…
11-03 19:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf6788f…
11-03 17:23:01	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xbdb448…
11-03 17:22:10	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	36	75¢	$27	0xffaf1a…
11-03 17:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xc77e1f…
11-03 17:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x58ac7a…
11-03 16:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x2b0266…
11-03 16:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x767bc0…
11-03 16:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x6dcf21…
11-03 11:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x387427…
11-03 11:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xa5d39e…
11-03 09:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8af0d6…
11-03 08:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x9ecf4a…
11-01 11:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x0179bc…
11-01 11:21:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xdb0969…
10-29 17:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x28d2b7…
10-29 10:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0x02bfc5…
10-29 10:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	46	39¢	$18	0x5f2c0b…
10-29 09:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	46	25¢	$11	0xe6914e…
10-28 17:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xdf3d7a…
10-28 13:24:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xe6f526…
10-28 13:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x482a93…
10-28 13:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x0f8cbf…
10-28 13:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x995e55…
10-28 13:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xce66b9…
10-28 13:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbf1028…
10-28 11:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x24eebc…
10-28 02:42:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xdad766…
10-28 02:41:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x1de289…
10-27 20:12:30	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x8235d8…
10-27 14:51:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x2adb51…
10-27 13:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x654e3b…
10-27 12:52:02	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x9e57b0…
10-27 11:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	68	96¢	$65	0xba2abc…
10-27 11:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x10d188…
10-27 10:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xc7ae07…
10-27 07:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd0c958…
10-26 13:42:51	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x484f0f…
10-26 13:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x94bbfe…
10-26 13:41:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0x3579f6…
10-26 10:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xfa9c74…
10-26 10:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 26?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x8c3ccf…
10-26 07:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 26?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x33094a…
10-25 16:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0xd28115…
10-25 14:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xcd2086…
10-25 08:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xd884bd…
10-25 08:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x30d34a…
10-24 07:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	49	42¢	$21	0xa4cd85…
10-23 12:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x20dfca…
10-23 11:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x8e80f3…
10-23 09:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc875e2…
10-23 09:47:08	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0x437fd4…
10-23 07:51:20	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xaa5837…
10-23 07:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xf84abf…
10-22 19:58:11	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd14e08…
10-22 18:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 22?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$101	0x9d6aff…
10-22 09:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x457777…
10-22 05:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 22?	No	BUY	102	66¢	$67	0x59afa0…
10-19 07:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x7e0fd8…
10-17 17:00:44	highest temperature in moscow on october 18 2026 16c	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x7efa87…
10-13 09:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	52	12¢	$6	0x3dac40…
10-12 20:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xcf1598…
10-12 19:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	43	32¢	$14	0xa58ee5…
10-12 17:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	43	33¢	$14	0xafbf89…
10-12 13:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x114c04…
10-12 12:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	106	81¢	$86	0x25a4e0…