Colorless-Research — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$373

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

142

Trades

240

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 08-27 20:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

88% 39% -$309

Politics

5% 40% +$49

Crypto

4% 50% -$138

Sports

3% 30% +$26

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+4	$3	8¢	$0	-$3	08-14 15:50
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		+5	$6	8¢	$0	-$5	08-27 20:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$711	411	411	+0	Yes	+$111	07-07 18:06
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	2	$685	392	392	+0	Yes	+$85	07-02 20:29
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	4	$592	577	577	+0	cancelled	-$8	07-12 21:56
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	2	$438	238	238	+0	No	+$38	07-07 01:59
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	2	$411	985	985	+0	Yes	-$377	07-07 22:34
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$356	223	223	+0	Yes	+$90	07-10 21:01
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	2	$307	207	207	+0	Yes	+$107	06-13 03:54
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	2	$296	196	196	+0	Yes	+$96	07-06 21:10
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$295	196	196	+0	No	+$95	05-15 05:39
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$285	185	185	+0	Yes	+$85	07-04 19:06
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	6	$280	428	428	+0	Switzerland	+$47	07-07 22:49
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	4	$273	260	260	+0	Natus Vincere	+$13	05-16 20:25
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$273	173	173	+0	BetBoom Team	+$73	05-15 17:17
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$229	129	129	+0	Yes	+$29	07-06 21:12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	3	$226	234	189	+45	Team Falcons	-$14	05-15 19:49
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	2	$206	196	196	+0	ThunderTalk Gaming	+$6	05-16 11:43
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$203	125	125	+0	Yes	+$46	07-09 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$203	105	105	+0	Up	+$3	05-15 05:44
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	1	$200	346	0	+346	No	-$200	07-10 21:01
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	1	$200	290	0	+290	Yes	+$90	07-04 00:50
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 extra time	1	$200	286	0	+286	Yes	-$200	07-07 02:08
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$198	276	276	+0	No	-$2	05-15 05:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$182	5,492	5,492	+0	No	-$18	05-15 14:03
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	3	$138	233	233	+0	No	-$62	06-26 03:57
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	8	$137	381	376	+4	open	—	08-14 15:50
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	2	$135	85	85	+0	Yes	+$35	06-28 21:22
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	2	$130	103	103	+0	Yes	+$70	07-11 23:00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	2	$129	79	79	+0	Yes	+$29	06-21 05:38
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	4	$128	243	243	+0	No	+$12	07-11 21:46
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$126	139	139	+0	Tundra Esports	+$26	05-16 12:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 20:51:04	will trump say elon or musk during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4840c5…
08-27 20:49:43	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x2bbe80…
08-16 08:13:58	dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16	LGD Gaming	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9e60ac…
08-16 08:12:30	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xa885df…
08-14 20:48:48	mlb stl chc 2026 08 14	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x619919…
08-14 19:24:43	Will Club Alianza Lima vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x433c5d…
08-14 19:09:39	mlb stl chc 2026 08 14	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf42260…
08-14 18:49:43	lol gx vit 2026 08 14	GIANTX	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x26f50d…
08-14 18:35:21	cs2 b8 vit 2026 08 14	B8	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x87aedc…
08-14 15:52:07	cs2 b8 vit 2026 08 14	B8	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x645072…
08-14 15:50:58	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xffa9db…
08-14 06:55:04	dota2 tr7 og 2026 08 14	OG	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7a96b5…
08-14 06:53:43	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0x4c9969…
08-14 06:53:24	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x6d10d0…
08-13 07:33:06	dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 08 13	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2ae6eb…
08-13 07:18:06	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x54d128…
08-12 07:13:16	lol bro1 hle 2026 08 12	HANJIN BRION Challengers	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xa0c03a…
08-12 07:12:27	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	Yes	SELL	44	11¢	$5	0xcae8f3…
08-09 23:51:54	Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. Racing Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x5fb727…
08-09 18:29:57	Will FC Porto vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x4e9ca7…
08-09 18:25:45	wta samsono rybakin 2026 08 09	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x2f99e8…
08-09 18:24:58	Exact Score: CD Garcilaso 1 - 0 CD Moquegua?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x416917…
08-09 18:21:46	mlb oak bos 2026 08 09	Athletics	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe3facb…
08-09 17:37:24	Will Kristiansund BK vs. Molde FK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x26a9a1…
08-09 17:36:43	crichundredw lon bir 2026 08 09	Birmingham Phoenix	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0549fd…
08-09 16:59:39	val th1 ff3 2026 08 09	Fire Flux Esports	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x14304a…
08-09 16:18:00	Will Mansfield Town FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x942066…
08-09 16:14:48	Will Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x9a422b…
08-09 16:12:37	val th1 ff3 2026 08 09	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x54fa5f…
08-09 16:02:58	lol th g2 2026 08 09	Team Heretics	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x3740e8…
08-09 15:40:57	cs2 100t bcg 2026 08 09	100 Thieves	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x88db84…
08-09 14:37:00	Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x20f6f9…
08-09 14:26:33	cs2 100t bcg 2026 08 09	100 Thieves	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xda7d23…
08-09 14:25:22	cs2 1win tl1 2026 08 09	1WIN	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfabdb1…
08-09 10:28:01	cs2 1win tl1 2026 08 09	1WIN	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0be5ab…
08-09 10:27:10	lol tt tes 2026 08 09	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd44a7f…
08-09 10:26:19	itf ahouda artnak 2026 08 09	Walid Ahouda	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x004365…
08-09 06:13:57	itf ahouda artnak 2026 08 09	Walid Ahouda	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x622c21…
08-09 06:13:04	itf jan arystan 2026 08 09	Su Jeong Jang	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xe1eebc…
08-09 06:06:46	Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdbd575…
08-09 06:06:39	Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0xd277bc…
08-09 00:04:18	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xa0f7ec…
08-09 00:03:15	Will Coritiba FBC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xe041ea…
08-09 00:00:42	lol sen sr 2026 08 08	Shopify Rebellion	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xd858a4…
08-08 20:55:00	ufc dar3 yad 2026 08 08	Darren Elkins	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb7a8e9…
08-08 20:54:07	ufc man15 rmiran 2026 08 08	Richie Miranda	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1c0af3…
08-08 20:52:39	lol c9 dsg 2026 08 08	Disguised	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x55b4b8…
08-08 20:51:58	mlb atl nyy 2026 08 08	Atlanta Braves	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf30eef…
08-08 14:10:36	Will Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xca162f…
08-08 14:09:03	Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x195930…
08-08 11:31:58	Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x2ba04b…
08-08 07:35:33	lol wb lng 2026 08 08	LNG Esports	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x10cd24…
08-07 20:56:16	dota2 pckcp lynx 2026 08 07	Team Lynx	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x10b8e3…
08-07 20:55:12	wnba atl wsh 2026 08 07	Washington Mystics	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x33936f…
08-07 20:53:51	mlb oak bos 2026 08 07	Athletics	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4c17f9…
08-07 15:31:06	lol shft gx 2026 08 07	Shifters	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xca3e7a…
08-07 07:19:01	lol hle drxc 2026 08 07	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x490f55…
08-07 07:15:31	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xc9f1e3…
08-07 07:14:51	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	Yes	SELL	78	42¢	$33	0xda2bdd…
08-06 20:51:57	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	Yes	BUY	78	62¢	$49	0x72ee06…
08-06 20:48:53	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	58	18¢	$10	0x45f6bc…
08-06 20:48:42	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	446	9¢	$40	0x3eee8b…
08-05 20:55:06	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	No	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x8c4a69…
08-05 20:54:06	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xa3ee91…
08-05 20:53:14	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	285	18¢	$50	0xa6e829…
08-02 07:46:09	lol tt we 2026 08 02 game2	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7fa85a…
08-02 00:29:38	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0xdad279…
08-02 00:22:11	mlb nyy chc 2026 08 01	New York Yankees	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbe7db2…
08-02 00:17:08	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	267	19¢	$50	0x0ed2e0…
07-31 23:34:24	Will FC Cajamarca vs. CS Huancayo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x971ac1…
07-31 23:23:50	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x2f05ef…
07-31 23:21:57	Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x57d973…
07-31 20:54:35	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4e2997…
07-30 20:54:15	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x71e99b…
07-30 20:47:12	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x60b3ee…
07-27 16:07:55	Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xc805b5…
07-27 16:04:33	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	113	18¢	$20	0xb18e26…
07-19 14:38:28	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x97107d…
07-14 20:55:08	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xda5360…
07-14 20:20:41	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	300	10¢	$32	0xb78d18…
07-12 21:57:16	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0x6e7b34…
07-12 21:56:20	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	192	50¢	$96	0xdd8b4a…
07-12 03:05:14	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	240	41¢	$98	0x08ed66…
07-11 23:00:55	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	103	98¢	$100	0xadfc3f…
07-11 21:46:58	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x862792…
07-11 21:46:11	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	76	44¢	$34	0xa5c3bb…
07-10 21:03:31	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	76	23¢	$18	0xf58431…
07-10 21:01:56	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	346	58¢	$200	0xd310ca…
07-10 21:01:02	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	223	100¢	$223	0x166c53…
07-09 22:11:43	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	223	59¢	$133	0xdccf4a…
07-09 22:04:05	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x7cfad1…
07-07 22:53:23	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	125	63¢	$79	0x73e267…
07-07 22:49:56	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	SELL	250	14¢	$35	0x15dd39…
07-07 22:48:58	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x989457…
07-07 22:47:47	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	102	74¢	$76	0x72a3d7…
07-07 22:47:02	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x51251d…
07-07 22:44:08	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	76	69¢	$53	0xe533c5…
07-07 22:41:13	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	76	48¢	$37	0x728b2f…
07-07 22:36:55	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	156	13¢	$20	0x22c28c…
07-07 22:34:53	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	No	SELL	985	2¢	$17	0xe5db1f…