Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$331

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 10-14 10:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

58% 71% +$4

Crypto

24% 79% -$9

Other

14% 82% $0

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	-6	-$5	97¢	$-5	$0	10-14 10:27
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	+4	$3	43¢	$2	-$1	04-29 17:00
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	+2	$1	34¢	$1	$0	04-29 17:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	6	$23	14	14	+0	Yes	+$5	04-05 16:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	5	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	03-12 05:44
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	2	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$1	03-10 13:08
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	3	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	03-18 07:42
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$11	12	6	+6	No	-$1	03-09 15:02
military action against iran ends by march 27 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-19 05:32
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-06 11:08
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	4	$10	13	0	+13	No	+$3	03-22 05:27
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	03-21 15:43
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$9	1,070	3	+1,067	Yes	-$3	04-06 17:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	03-24 12:07
will solana dip to 65 on march 11	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	03-11 12:42
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	7	$7	349	0	+349	Yes	-$7	03-08 14:03
military action against iran ends by march 22 2026	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	03-19 05:32
will bnb reach 900 in march	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	03-10 13:03
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	2	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$1	03-06 08:23
solana above 100 on march 17	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-17 13:10
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	10-14 10:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-05 16:42
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-02 07:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	06-12 20:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	04-19 15:22
solana above 70 on march 13	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-13 05:36
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	4	$5	7	0	+7	No	+$2	03-08 10:07
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 3 9	2	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	-$5	03-02 13:07
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-06 16:01
Another crypto hack over $100m by April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-25 17:19
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-16 04:10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-02 07:13
solana above 80 on march 10	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-10 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 10:27:46	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x114975…
06-12 20:08:34	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x372f0d…
06-12 20:08:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x856373…
05-06 16:01:10	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x69c0a2…
05-06 16:00:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x936754…
05-06 16:00:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb9827b…
04-29 17:01:00	Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3da12e…
04-29 17:00:46	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x4fe6e3…
04-25 17:19:58	Another crypto hack over $100m by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x055ffd…
04-19 15:22:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc76b9b…
04-19 15:21:36	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x11bab5…
04-19 15:20:48	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x74ab8c…
04-16 17:05:16	will trump dance during tpusa event on april 17	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x579280…
04-15 17:35:18	ethereum above 2200 on april 16	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb1e4fc…
04-11 17:15:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x41fb37…
04-11 17:15:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x612d9d…
04-08 17:02:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x2c35f6…
04-08 17:01:47	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x2bedb2…
04-06 17:20:05	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x84704a…
04-05 16:01:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbe6c06…
04-05 16:01:01	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf41808…
04-05 12:47:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xa3e2e4…
04-05 12:27:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xd49253…
03-29 07:41:26	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa650a4…
03-28 17:28:59	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe68274…
03-28 17:23:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf2fbb2…
03-28 17:23:23	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xdb51b2…
03-24 12:07:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xde4feb…
03-24 11:55:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x664b22…
03-24 11:53:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x38336e…
03-24 11:51:39	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x911ae4…
03-22 05:28:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xac5370…
03-22 05:27:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa8fdc9…
03-22 05:16:07	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf3cc7c…
03-22 04:55:51	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x958bdb…
03-22 04:49:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa213c0…
03-22 04:49:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xbdf082…
03-22 04:43:33	will trump post nato on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xab69aa…
03-21 15:46:31	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x233b1b…
03-21 15:43:55	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x557e21…
03-19 13:27:27	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 642	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x00ebb5…
03-19 13:25:59	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 642	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd555a6…
03-19 13:25:19	will starmer say iran 3 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x5c4c07…
03-19 05:32:17	military action against iran ends by march 22 2026	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x4ec3df…
03-19 05:32:05	military action against iran ends by march 27 2026	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xaff9a3…
03-19 05:21:17	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x8494af…
03-19 05:20:37	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x96a3b9…
03-19 05:17:11	will trump say too big to rig this week march 22	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1a8138…
03-19 05:12:07	will trump say toyota during events with japanese pm	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0549e3…
03-19 05:08:11	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x667ea1…
03-18 07:42:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x604ed7…
03-18 07:42:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x113d9a…
03-18 05:31:07	military action against iran ends by march 27 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xed3208…
03-18 05:30:43	military action against iran ends by march 22 2026	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x87d0d8…
03-18 05:29:19	will leavitt say threat during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbd9005…
03-18 05:26:01	will leavitt say threat during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xed91f2…
03-17 13:17:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x72366a…
03-17 13:10:01	solana above 100 on march 17	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x992f67…
03-17 13:04:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xb66de9…
03-17 13:03:43	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb47310…
03-15 05:54:45	will solana dip to 65 on march 15	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe65922…
03-15 05:54:15	will solana reach 110 on march 15	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa6e430…
03-15 05:52:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xcb4398…
03-15 05:52:11	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xb95c36…
03-13 05:38:51	will solana dip to 75 on march 13	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe52a8f…
03-13 05:36:37	solana above 70 on march 13	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e10cd…
03-12 06:08:43	will solana reach 85 on march 12	No	SELL	309	0¢	$0	0x29adea…
03-12 05:58:51	will solana reach 85 on march 12	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xd2874f…
03-12 05:57:11	will solana reach 85 on march 12	No	BUY	166	1¢	$1	0xae7ac1…
03-12 05:44:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x73ba3f…
03-11 12:42:21	will solana dip to 65 on march 11	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4caafb…
03-11 06:25:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x92fe18…
03-11 05:25:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x8ab4e7…
03-11 05:21:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x31b3a8…
03-10 19:13:19	will arsenal reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x04f232…
03-10 19:00:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc7293c…
03-10 18:56:57	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xeab7ea…
03-10 13:08:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x29d7a9…
03-10 13:03:27	will bnb reach 900 in march	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe056c6…
03-10 05:12:17	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe76bd6…
03-10 05:09:45	solana above 80 on march 10	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5c8348…
03-10 05:07:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xbdefd8…
03-10 05:03:21	elon musk of tweets march 10 10 19	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfd5bdf…
03-09 15:02:43	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe8f004…
03-09 14:50:35	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0x9ce0e0…
03-09 04:37:09	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x920cbe…
03-08 14:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	No	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x6b4ed2…
03-08 10:07:47	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa01075…
03-08 07:28:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x53a4dd…
03-08 06:26:53	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe439d3…
03-07 17:11:37	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6b9f58…
03-07 16:59:13	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8f0b90…
03-07 09:29:47	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1f277b…
03-07 09:23:11	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3e237f…
03-07 08:37:37	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x39fcb6…
03-07 08:37:17	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xad35d1…
03-06 18:05:57	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	No	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x5b0a72…
03-06 12:56:55	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb1af5f…
03-06 11:27:35	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x9f09f5…
03-06 11:12:59	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa69a06…