Stable-Carbon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$202

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

172

Trades

871

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-27

last 10-11 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

55% 51% -$257

Politics

30% 71% +$65

Sports

12% 60% +$1

Crypto

3% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	23	$698	432	332	+100	No	+$41	06-23 06:35
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843 464	17	$451	293	234	+60	Yes	-$7	06-23 14:21
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$401	209	209	+0	No	+$1	06-17 23:54
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$400	204	204	+0	No	+$0	06-17 04:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	15	$375	236	196	+40	Yes	+$17	06-21 08:01
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	12	$362	188	188	+0	No	+$4	06-27 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 28?	33	$330	333	0	+333	No	+$3	05-28 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?	12	$282	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-18 00:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?	11	$276	200	200	+0	Yes	-$8	06-22 00:59
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	8	$261	144	124	+20	Yes	+$1	06-04 08:53
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$259	135	135	+0	open	—	10-11 09:54
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	8	$236	121	121	+0	No	-$3	07-03 01:19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?	6	$216	150	150	+0	No	-$13	06-20 02:13
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$201	102	102	+0	No	+$1	06-29 12:55
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	6	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-07 00:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	7	$199	101	101	+0	No	+$0	06-19 14:57
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$199	102	102	+0	No	-$1	06-26 06:05
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	6	$179	103	82	+20	No	$0	07-26 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 26?	6	$162	100	100	+0	No	+$6	06-26 06:44
israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	8	$160	102	62	+40	No	+$1	07-05 17:15
us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	6	$160	82	82	+0	No	$0	06-16 01:03
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	3	$158	177	177	+0	Yes	+$139	05-27 13:37
untitled market 1 20260627173541502	4	$121	62	62	+0	No	+$2	07-10 11:24
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	4	$121	61	61	+0	No	+$1	08-24 08:23
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 98	5	$119	61	61	+0	No	-$1	06-16 03:43
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026	4	$119	61	61	+0	Yes	-$1	06-04 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?	46	$117	1,393	1,372	+21	No	-$74	05-31 03:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	24	$94	66	53	+13	Yes	+$7	05-29 05:50
iran closes its airspace by june 8	3	$86	57	57	+0	Yes	+$6	06-07 20:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?	6	$84	82	82	+0	Yes	+$73	06-01 10:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 09:54:03	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	135	96¢	$129	0x4ba222…
09-24 08:45:12	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	135	97¢	$130	0x81b091…
09-18 11:19:40	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	Yes	SELL	27	12¢	$3	0xde3842…
08-24 08:23:39	Israeli forces enter Tyre by August 31?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x4c575f…
08-24 08:23:31	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by August 31?	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x15c0d7…
08-24 08:23:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x7831db…
08-24 08:23:13	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0xade363…
08-19 16:59:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x955e42…
08-19 16:40:31	israeli forces enter nabatieh by august 31	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa922df…
08-19 16:38:46	israeli forces enter tyre by august 31	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5c2eab…
08-19 16:18:13	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8c2ea4…
08-11 14:23:31	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x95ff0c…
08-10 07:30:37	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7f75db…
07-31 13:08:21	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xece044…
07-28 14:04:07	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xe285d1…
07-26 06:19:00	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2819c6…
07-25 08:26:30	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260706181027670	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x54116b…
07-25 08:22:13	israeli forces enter choukine by july 31	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe9b1bb…
07-25 07:37:33	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260720155040248	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x9965c1…
07-24 06:49:40	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xb1c8f7…
07-23 15:11:31	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	33¢	$19	0x5cf60e…
07-23 13:54:03	Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd05abb…
07-23 07:03:24	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfadd4e…
07-22 21:29:52	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x622ffa…
07-22 21:21:42	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0x7736d9…
07-22 12:41:42	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260720155040248	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9f4e43…
07-21 14:32:42	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x282eda…
07-21 12:23:45	Israeli forces enter Tyre by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6debd0…
07-21 12:23:36	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xfd202f…
07-21 12:23:12	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?	No	SELL	82	96¢	$79	0xf01c39…
07-21 08:58:03	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0xa7bfc9…
07-20 14:50:52	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa832d2…
07-20 10:13:42	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x5c30e9…
07-20 09:15:54	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x22e05c…
07-19 19:20:04	Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	28¢	$19	0x6f8110…
07-18 16:55:04	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5feb22…
07-18 16:51:40	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xeea78d…
07-18 16:51:12	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0272ef…
07-18 16:11:18	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x74ee42…
07-15 17:49:50	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x027c34…
07-15 05:39:17	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xe741f3…
07-15 05:38:07	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x87d621…
07-14 09:33:02	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 13 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0a0e97…
07-14 08:18:20	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x203ebc…
07-13 08:08:14	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x67aceb…
07-12 13:25:46	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0x58074e…
07-11 09:25:43	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xa15321…
07-11 00:16:14	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	No	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xca5783…
07-10 11:24:22	untitled market 1 20260627173541502	No	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0xe4d860…
07-08 11:33:20	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	No	SELL	76	11¢	$8	0x8ff928…
07-07 23:41:41	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x1f8caa…
07-07 23:04:10	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	No	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xa50c2b…
07-07 21:33:52	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x2e0b6e…
07-07 21:30:46	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x9b085b…
07-07 20:37:17	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x754ec9…
07-07 10:19:50	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x1599ce…
07-07 06:06:37	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xf17c3b…
07-06 22:48:44	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x20bcbb…
07-06 19:29:16	Will White House post 80-99 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8dba79…
07-06 19:27:41	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe5b8a2…
07-06 18:49:32	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x7a88cb…
07-06 18:45:47	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884	No	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x7c6493…
07-06 17:45:47	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884	No	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x74a4e0…
07-06 17:29:29	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884	No	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x90fd17…
07-06 16:34:23	untitled market 1 20260627173541502	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8b34e0…
07-06 16:29:55	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x1b4d36…
07-05 17:15:50	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0856b0…
07-04 17:45:07	untitled market 1 20260627173541502	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xeb5d3c…
07-04 13:58:10	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9103ae…
07-04 13:47:10	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x01f8f3…
07-04 13:25:41	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x26b03d…
07-04 07:54:11	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8da3fa…
07-04 07:44:08	untitled market 1 20260627173541502	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc7919e…
07-03 13:57:16	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884	No	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0xcfdcdb…
07-03 01:19:35	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x24ffe9…
07-02 13:09:32	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885	No	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0xe3e5e1…
07-02 06:27:37	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x52c8dc…
06-29 12:55:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa43db7…
06-29 12:55:14	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$101	0xf1ec74…
06-28 18:25:11	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x20aab3…
06-28 18:21:37	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc1fe8c…
06-28 03:25:35	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x390751…
06-28 02:22:44	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x62ecc5…
06-28 02:22:38	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xecbba5…
06-28 02:21:52	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x62760f…
06-28 02:21:43	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	144	1¢	$1	0xb3822b…
06-28 02:12:23	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x860509…
06-28 02:12:17	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xbd5bb7…
06-28 02:12:10	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0xaadaa5…
06-27 11:34:38	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xe20858…
06-27 11:34:32	Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x152119…
06-27 11:34:19	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xfca29d…
06-27 11:33:37	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x79c856…
06-27 11:31:34	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9b6cda…
06-27 11:29:14	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	147	98¢	$143	0xe0fa0c…
06-26 20:10:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb96c8d…
06-26 18:16:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa191b2…
06-26 18:10:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xb26b85…
06-26 18:06:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xfc5edb…
06-26 18:05:40	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbdf44d…