Physical-Marketer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$234

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

2,994

Trades

31,990

lifetime

Volume

$134.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-27 02:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 245 days

Categories

Other

56% 33% +$1,626

Crypto

40% 66% -$336

Politics

3% 25% -$544

Sports

1% 46% -$477

Tech

0% 0% -$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+20	$5	18¢	$4	-$2	07-31 22:53
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+200	$14	2¢	$3	-$10	10-27 02:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+3	$2	34¢	$1	-$1	07-08 21:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	+8	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	09-12 04:21
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+10	$2	4¢	$0	-$1	09-07 20:44
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	+7	$3	4¢	$0	-$2	09-17 05:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	47	$7.4K	7,350	7,450	-100	Yes	+$6,479	03-10 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 09:25 UTC	204	$1.8K	1,884	841	+1,043	Down	-$67	02-17 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 09:55 UTC	203	$1.5K	1,330	728	+602	Down	-$5	02-17 10:00
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	123	$1.4K	7,599	7,650	-51	No	-$915	04-17 17:27
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	10	$1.2K	962	962	+0	Yes	+$696	03-20 16:21
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	42	$1.2K	4,961	5,031	-70	Yes	-$115	04-14 15:57
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	25	$1.2K	993	993	+0	Yes	+$745	03-18 15:09
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	62	$1.1K	12,339	5,883	+6,456	No	-$896	03-10 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 09:15 UTC	177	$1.0K	2,531	0	+2,531	Down	+$95	02-17 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?	6	$1.0K	538	538	+0	Yes	+$38	06-03 09:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 09:20 UTC	206	$995	1,998	0	+1,998	Down	-$70	02-17 09:23
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	26	$935	800	800	+0	Yes	+$359	04-17 14:24
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	57	$914	1,209	528	+681	No	+$72	02-13 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 16:45 UTC	324	$906	3,971	0	+3,971	Down	-$20	02-11 17:01
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	19	$870	684	684	+0	Yes	-$130	02-20 11:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 14:15 UTC	230	$854	753	438	+315	Down	+$26	02-12 14:32
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	47	$807	6,500	6,242	+258	Yes	-$80	04-22 16:02
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	74	$806	3,890	890	+3,000	Yes	+$286	02-13 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 10:00 UTC	183	$804	1,623	0	+1,623	Down	-$143	02-17 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 10:10 UTC	100	$798	866	396	+470	Down	-$9	02-17 10:15
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	39	$784	1,008	691	+317	No	-$216	02-20 11:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 18:30 UTC	180	$772	644	389	+255	Up	+$2	02-11 18:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	40	$763	837	573	+263	Yes	-$437	02-28 07:31
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	74	$753	4,212	4,206	+5	No	+$398	04-14 16:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 18:00 UTC	133	$714	568	360	+208	Down	+$8	02-11 18:15
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	21	$705	5,250	550	+4,700	Yes	+$63	03-06 16:51
bitcoin up or down february 11 9pm et	235	$664	536	338	+198	Down	+$12	02-12 03:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 13:00 UTC	584	$642	1,735	0	+1,735	Down	-$246	02-12 13:12
bitcoin up or down february 11 10pm et	221	$633	544	315	+229	Up	-$3	02-12 04:19
bitcoin up or down february 11 11am et	144	$624	549	331	+219	Down	+$11	02-11 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:06:41	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	3¢	$3	0x023ba9…
10-27 01:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xd5339b…
10-27 01:58:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8f12c5…
10-26 16:24:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	259	1¢	$2	0xa27adf…
10-26 16:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x990b75…
10-26 16:21:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa29a45…
10-26 16:20:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x0b6003…
10-26 16:20:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xd581fe…
10-26 06:08:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x85321e…
10-26 05:58:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	283	0¢	$1	0x3f5245…
10-26 05:43:38	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x122268…
10-26 05:42:59	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	0¢	$0	0x4b3e74…
10-26 02:34:47	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x163391…
10-26 00:52:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	4¢	$8	0xcf2532…
10-26 00:49:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x02b522…
10-25 02:36:32	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x0d4dc6…
10-25 02:36:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb1cf05…
10-25 02:33:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x13f486…
10-25 02:33:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa1737e…
10-25 02:33:05	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe9887c…
10-25 02:31:35	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x880df2…
10-25 02:31:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xa109e3…
10-25 02:31:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xbe660d…
10-24 11:00:53	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0x69ef92…
10-24 10:59:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x479ebd…
10-24 06:55:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x03cc94…
10-24 06:43:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x7e493e…
10-24 06:43:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x695020…
10-24 06:43:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x77e8dc…
10-24 06:28:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf344a3…
10-23 15:39:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	406	0¢	$1	0x72c8be…
10-23 15:04:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xf04f30…
10-23 14:16:53	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x1fd24b…
10-23 14:07:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x5f0c8c…
10-23 14:05:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x99200d…
10-23 14:02:53	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x1a8479…
10-23 13:55:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0xfd2371…
10-23 13:55:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xa16847…
10-23 13:08:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x92e748…
10-23 13:06:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xf88158…
10-23 13:03:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xc89f1f…
10-23 13:03:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x0515d7…
10-23 13:03:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xa3e84e…
10-23 13:03:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x220fc1…
10-23 13:02:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2e3c01…
10-23 13:02:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x2225eb…
10-23 13:02:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x8b0392…
10-23 12:59:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$5	0x799df7…
10-23 03:54:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	4¢	$4	0x31d84e…
10-23 03:54:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x790517…
10-23 01:24:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	471	1¢	$3	0x30ad15…
10-22 23:00:41	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	2¢	$3	0x624c18…
10-22 23:00:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x5bd16c…
10-22 22:35:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$5	0x158225…
10-22 20:51:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$25	0x519589…
10-22 17:42:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	4¢	$10	0xd91057…
10-22 17:41:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$2	0x2d9a0b…
10-22 04:03:59	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	145	0¢	$0	0xce7f68…
10-22 04:01:59	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	238	0¢	$1	0xff61a0…
10-22 04:00:48	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0xf7a177…
10-22 03:56:21	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa8b48a…
10-22 03:54:02	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x619af9…
10-22 03:51:14	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x6cdc2c…
10-22 03:12:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$20	0xeb02ee…
10-22 02:59:21	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x2bf92c…
10-22 02:50:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xe04ed9…
10-22 02:50:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x6ad82a…
10-22 02:49:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x30114c…
10-22 02:31:33	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x3b8d65…
10-22 02:20:15	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xa92cd5…
10-22 02:01:38	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0xbc598e…
10-22 01:12:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x73b5be…
10-22 01:11:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xb70560…
10-22 01:08:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x172bbb…
10-22 01:07:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x01ec83…
10-22 01:06:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc6570b…
10-22 01:05:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x796e19…
10-22 01:04:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3fd559…
10-22 01:03:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3b267e…
10-22 01:01:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2bb37e…
10-22 01:00:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x163bfa…
10-22 00:59:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x8cc459…
10-22 00:58:26	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,300	1¢	$7	0x2f6eda…
10-22 00:58:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x4fc625…
10-22 00:56:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x49aabf…
10-22 00:55:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xdb5db1…
10-22 00:54:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x4b9a2b…
10-22 00:53:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7cfa15…
10-22 00:52:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x4bfa94…
10-22 00:52:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x38d3c2…
10-22 00:51:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xb4fe77…
10-22 00:51:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x9711bd…
10-22 00:51:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x986019…
10-22 00:50:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xd368dc…
10-22 00:50:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x027e8b…
10-22 00:50:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x465381…
10-22 00:50:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xbd2652…
10-22 00:50:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xa56a62…
10-22 00:49:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x234922…
10-22 00:48:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x2f6287…