Realized P&L
+$842
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
90.7%
Resolved
425
Trades
1,212
lifetime
Volume
$23.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.69K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-26 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
76% 82% +$1,036
Politics
16% 75% -$201
Sports
6% 100% +$6
Tech
2% 83% +$1
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% 80% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +315 $314 100¢ $314 +$1 10-15 08:08
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +190 $148 100¢ $190 +$43 10-26 21:00
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +170 $170 100¢ $170 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +149 $140 96¢ $143 +$3 10-14 10:42
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +123 $122 100¢ $123 +$1 10-26 13:09
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026? No +89 $89 100¢ $89 $0 10-16 23:57
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +90 $83 90¢ $81 -$2 10-13 22:44
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No +62 $61 99¢ $61 $0 10-07 21:56
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +61 $61 100¢ $61 +$0 10-26 22:50
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +58 $52 100¢ $58 +$5 10-26 21:47
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +43 $41 97¢ $42 +$1 10-18 05:39
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 99¢ $34 +$0 10-15 16:09
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +31 $31 98¢ $30 -$1 10-14 10:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +29 $28 96¢ $28 $0 10-14 10:42
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +26 $26 99¢ $26 $0 10-18 22:46
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +26 $24 87¢ $23 -$2 10-11 00:02
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +24 $20 84¢ $20 +$0 10-26 17:42
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +21 $20 92¢ $20 $0 10-26 03:32
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +165 $19 12¢ $19 $0 10-09 01:23
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 $0 10-14 05:09
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 $0 10-17 23:01
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +18 $17 95¢ $17 $0 10-22 03:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +22 $16 75¢ $17 +$1 10-08 05:35
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-19 14:04
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 $0 10-07 04:32
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 $0 10-26 18:16
Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 10-19 13:17
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? No +12 $12 99¢ $12 $0 10-15 15:41
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +11 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-20 21:12
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$0 10-17 05:54