Celebrated-Challenge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$986

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

189

Trades

13,902

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$63

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 19:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

100% 71% +$986

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	-9,648	-$19	0¢	$-29	-$10	05-19 14:35
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?	Yes	+1,555	-$23	1¢	$14	+$37	10-19 09:07
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?	Yes	-6,695	-$8	0¢	$-13	-$6	07-31 08:29
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	+4,420	$13	0¢	$7	-$7	10-29 17:38
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	Yes	+23	$5	2¢	$0	-$4	06-22 20:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+0	-$4	1¢	$0	+$4	10-27 07:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in january 763	140	$546	6,006	4,210	+1,796	No	-$3	02-13 13:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	57	$412	4,438	4,438	+0	No	-$18	06-29 15:38
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	91	$340	15,116	15,116	+0	Yes	+$19	03-18 11:46
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	342	$331	23,242	25,242	-2,000	No	+$91	06-05 16:48
will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 241	697	$316	17,093	17,093	+0	No	+$61	04-05 20:26
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	47	$305	2,308	2,308	+0	No	+$6	05-08 04:18
Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?	65	$301	2,531	2,529	+2	No	+$21	05-08 07:05
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?	88	$286	2,947	2,947	+0	No	+$32	08-12 06:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	114	$286	9,080	9,080	+0	open	—	10-06 10:20
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	39	$277	5,290	5,290	+0	No	+$6	07-08 08:17
bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	60	$272	6,003	6,003	+0	No	+$8	03-13 13:33
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?	116	$237	12,434	11,818	+615	No	+$36	07-13 19:14
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	24	$228	3,506	3,381	+126	Yes	+$9	04-09 18:24
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?	52	$213	10,000	8,445	+1,555	open	—	10-19 09:07
will germany gdp growth in q4 2025 be above 0pt4	2	$207	123	123	+0	Yes	+$11	01-30 09:50
will annual inflation increase by 3pt0 in march	133	$202	8,123	5,634	+2,489	No	+$10	04-10 11:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	50	$180	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	10-27 07:17
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	28	$175	3,521	3,521	+0	Yes	-$2	06-04 11:34
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	36	$162	1,361	1,309	+51	Yes	+$4	04-29 21:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	15	$161	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$5	06-24 06:26
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	50	$160	2,994	2,994	+0	No	-$3	06-04 11:34
Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?	70	$160	3,650	3,650	+0	No	+$36	08-10 15:15
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	11	$158	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	10-08 14:10
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?	100	$156	4,692	4,692	+0	No	+$27	08-10 10:47
will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in february 694 291 362 384	158	$149	5,983	5,963	+20	No	+$30	03-09 07:03
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	53	$145	1,980	1,980	+0	Yes	-$18	04-23 09:06
will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in february 798 981 162 343	54	$143	2,728	2,728	+0	No	-$5	03-11 05:37
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt5 in march	153	$142	6,337	7,729	-1,392	No	+$33	04-10 11:46
will annual inflation increase by 2pt9 in march	279	$140	6,527	6,527	+0	No	+$32	04-10 00:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	47	$138	5,860	5,860	+0	No	-$6	09-03 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:11:00	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in October?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0xd932f6…
10-29 19:10:58	Will annual inflation be 3.2% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x8baea6…
10-29 19:10:58	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x05da3f…
10-29 17:38:08	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x7fbb6a…
10-29 17:32:47	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x72b223…
10-29 16:09:17	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in October?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xdea7a9…
10-29 16:09:17	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x58eb1b…
10-29 12:33:16	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x51a41b…
10-29 07:53:38	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xeff2bc…
10-29 07:53:38	Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5180c1…
10-29 07:53:37	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8bb6e3…
10-29 07:53:37	Will annual inflation be 3.2% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x7c6cf4…
10-29 07:53:37	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x68c995…
10-29 07:24:50	Will annual inflation be 3.2% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbc4d65…
10-29 07:24:50	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb9de67…
10-29 07:24:50	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xaf7f32…
10-29 07:24:50	Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa2c2d5…
10-29 07:24:50	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x241dbe…
10-28 22:54:59	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x025c42…
10-28 20:35:56	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xad5b52…
10-28 16:12:32	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xafa1e3…
10-28 16:10:52	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xf7c104…
10-28 15:21:47	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xc26733…
10-28 15:21:47	Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x65d2ce…
10-28 15:21:47	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x4d8f67…
10-28 15:21:07	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd1c1a9…
10-28 15:21:07	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x33165b…
10-28 15:20:17	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf1b043…
10-28 15:20:17	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x104305…
10-28 13:47:38	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	5,100	0¢	$5	0xd8f751…
10-28 13:46:17	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	3,762	0¢	$4	0x117aa7…
10-28 12:31:49	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xba3766…
10-28 06:13:07	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xf5e253…
10-28 04:54:59	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xba4198…
10-28 01:28:42	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xdee099…
10-28 00:13:42	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x027d6b…
10-28 00:10:48	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x57a6aa…
10-27 15:46:23	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in October?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xe9a2fc…
10-27 10:39:11	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xcdb6f0…
10-27 10:39:11	Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbd21db…
10-27 10:39:11	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xaff800…
10-27 10:39:11	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5efff9…
10-27 10:39:11	Will annual inflation be 3.2% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x57f8be…
10-27 07:17:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,037	2¢	$31	0x8bb455…
10-27 05:21:33	Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xd4ab12…
10-26 20:34:48	Will annual inflation be 3.2% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xcad654…
10-26 18:18:11	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x9e6635…
10-26 17:38:39	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x4a28db…
10-26 17:19:51	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xeec1fd…
10-26 17:08:08	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in October?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x25101e…
10-26 17:08:06	Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xf51c21…
10-26 16:53:30	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xfd12a0…
10-26 16:53:30	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in October?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcf5d90…
10-26 16:53:30	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x92b2e4…
10-26 16:53:30	Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x2c7b3a…
10-26 16:53:30	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x1e89ca…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfd6825…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xeb09e0…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xead0b6…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xccfd58…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xc34946…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xb65ce6…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb246fa…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xad62d2…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa97d05…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x9c4468…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x577c06…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x347342…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x3095e1…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x20b08b…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x072088…
10-26 16:52:39	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfc2967…
10-26 16:52:39	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xb6ecec…
10-26 16:52:39	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0xac76a6…
10-26 16:52:39	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x577253…
10-26 16:52:39	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0x4554b0…
10-26 16:52:39	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x40a068…
10-26 16:52:39	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x0300e9…
10-26 16:52:38	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0xd632fd…
10-26 16:52:38	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa1e5c3…
10-26 16:52:38	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0x810148…
10-26 16:52:38	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x776f3b…
10-26 16:52:38	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x72bc66…
10-26 16:52:38	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x6e8de4…
10-26 16:52:38	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x65d232…
10-26 16:52:38	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5ea382…
10-26 16:52:38	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x3eadbf…
10-26 13:24:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$5	0x82f585…
10-26 12:20:45	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in October?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x57ab38…
10-26 12:20:45	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x55806e…
10-26 12:20:45	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x13f0ca…
10-26 12:20:45	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0c4447…
10-26 12:20:26	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x97e26c…
10-26 12:20:26	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x916b52…
10-26 12:20:26	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x361a47…
10-26 12:20:26	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2eb2f4…
10-26 12:20:26	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x18ccc0…
10-26 12:01:41	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xa8c117…
10-26 12:01:41	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in October?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x1b8f36…
10-26 10:23:33	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x60751c…