Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.26K

Unrealized P&L

+$280

Hit rate

37.8%

Resolved

Trades

304

lifetime

Volume

$45.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

$995

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-09

last 10-22 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

38% 56% +$66

Politics

35% 33% -$1,371

Sports

24% 19% -$984

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% 100% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+627	$372	92¢	$580	+$207	10-19 17:37
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	+604	$399	68¢	$414	+$15	10-22 13:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+1	-$57	96¢	$1	+$58	10-02 13:29
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	88¢	$0	+$0	10-02 10:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	24	$2.2K	2,733	2,733	+0	No	-$222	10-08 01:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	12	$1.9K	1,163	1,163	+0	open	—	10-13 16:30
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	7	$1.4K	980	980	-0	Yes	+$98	09-20 21:42
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	7	$1.4K	922	922	+0	Yes	+$95	10-06 09:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	8	$1.4K	990	989	+1	open	—	10-02 13:29
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	5	$1.3K	760	760	+0	open	—	09-29 15:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	6	$1.2K	709	709	+0	open	—	09-18 16:07
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	5	$1.1K	774	774	+0	Yes	+$172	10-20 08:27
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	11	$1.0K	1,216	1,216	-0	Yes	-$8	09-29 15:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	16	$1.0K	1,074	448	+627	open	—	10-19 17:37
Seahawks vs. Broncos	3	$955	1,118	1,118	+0	Broncos	+$7	10-15 20:27
Bills vs. Raiders	3	$935	688	688	+0	Bills	-$14	10-17 13:29
mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	2	$864	764	764	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	-$84	10-15 01:42
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$863	735	418	+317	Yes	-$265	10-02 11:51
nfl car phi 2026 10 18	3	$786	786	786	+0	Panthers	-$16	10-15 04:33
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal	3	$742	928	928	+0	Sonay Kartal	-$204	10-15 10:23
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$732	787	787	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	-$197	10-16 02:26
Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	4	$710	688	688	+0	Middle Tennessee	-$46	10-13 23:37
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	5	$707	562	420	+143	No	-$137	09-30 16:56
Steelers vs. Buccaneers	5	$675	982	572	+410	Steelers	-$195	10-18 13:29
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	5	$656	381	381	+0	open	—	10-04 11:55
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	3	$650	367	367	+0	Yes	+$63	09-20 17:20
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	3	$642	403	403	+0	No	+$145	09-20 17:37
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	4	$636	403	403	+0	No	+$145	09-20 17:20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	3	$634	610	610	+0	open	—	09-15 14:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	4	$634	358	358	-0	Yes	+$25	09-13 21:58
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	5	$633	469	469	+0	open	—	09-22 13:21
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	5	$633	433	433	+0	open	—	09-15 22:56
will the next claude opus model be released by september 30 2026	3	$617	366	366	+0	Yes	+$31	09-15 14:26
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$616	587	587	+0	open	—	09-13 13:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 14:24:33	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	423	62¢	$262	0x9b7307…
10-22 14:18:41	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xe7ce29…
10-22 14:12:32	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x0c7891…
10-22 14:06:33	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0x810607…
10-22 13:32:27	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	356	65¢	$232	0x5ed6c2…
10-22 13:22:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0x0cca37…
10-22 13:16:29	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	578	66¢	$382	0xb3fe94…
10-20 20:00:39	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	342	31¢	$106	0xe42f78…
10-20 14:35:21	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	SELL	377	45¢	$170	0x5fa7d4…
10-20 08:27:23	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	SELL	774	79¢	$612	0xf819c9…
10-19 17:37:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xae7a9d…
10-19 17:31:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0ad266…
10-19 17:31:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	353	67¢	$236	0x8e3bea…
10-19 17:25:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	27	76¢	$21	0xd91809…
10-19 17:25:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x8e8e71…
10-19 17:25:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xc0cbff…
10-19 17:25:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x479c98…
10-19 17:25:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x3ac7e2…
10-19 17:19:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	123	64¢	$79	0x9dd556…
10-19 17:12:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2a7bf2…
10-19 17:12:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xe8e4aa…
10-19 17:06:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0x29160a…
10-19 09:32:35	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	342	49¢	$168	0x5c6988…
10-19 01:46:18	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd389b8…
10-19 01:31:24	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	371	46¢	$171	0x0b78a3…
10-18 13:29:27	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x974b34…
10-18 02:22:35	Almaty Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adam Walton	SELL	393	42¢	$165	0x0845a0…
10-17 18:34:20	Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	377	48¢	$181	0xf62a2d…
10-17 14:22:30	atp walton basilas 2026 10 18	Adam Walton	BUY	93	46¢	$43	0xfde018…
10-17 14:16:35	atp walton basilas 2026 10 18	Adam Walton	BUY	300	46¢	$138	0xadbead…
10-17 13:29:27	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	SELL	688	67¢	$461	0xeda17a…
10-16 13:30:36	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	398	45¢	$179	0xa19e10…
10-16 07:03:31	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	349	57¢	$199	0x27f0aa…
10-16 07:03:31	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	266	57¢	$151	0x1c63f4…
10-16 06:56:33	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	150	56¢	$84	0xafe72e…
10-16 06:48:34	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x1edb71…
10-16 02:26:22	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	787	34¢	$267	0x458e4a…
10-15 20:27:33	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	SELL	1,118	43¢	$481	0x28a324…
10-15 10:23:28	Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	928	29¢	$269	0xd92a4e…
10-15 09:58:22	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xb1b813…
10-15 09:30:41	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	424	53¢	$225	0xe86be8…
10-15 05:28:31	Saints vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	326	49¢	$160	0xff19ce…
10-15 04:33:22	nfl car phi 2026 10 18	Eagles	SELL	786	49¢	$385	0x72cfc8…
10-15 03:35:35	mlb mil lad 2026 10 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	787	59¢	$464	0x5659d3…
10-15 01:42:19	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	764	51¢	$390	0x2c53af…
10-15 00:57:23	nhl mon wsh 2026 10 14	Canadiens	SELL	457	28¢	$128	0x9f92a0…
10-14 22:20:28	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	764	62¢	$474	0xd65d72…
10-14 20:24:30	nhl mon wsh 2026 10 14	Canadiens	BUY	70	48¢	$33	0x4a34cb…
10-14 18:27:34	nfl sea den 2026 10 16	Broncos	BUY	509	44¢	$224	0x61421f…
10-14 16:08:40	wta paolini kartal 2026 10 14	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	64	50¢	$32	0x517750…
10-14 16:03:36	wta paolini kartal 2026 10 14	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	864	51¢	$441	0x5197af…
10-14 15:46:21	Saints vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	107	49¢	$53	0x8e250b…
10-14 15:46:07	nfl car phi 2026 10 18	Eagles	BUY	321	51¢	$164	0xf2f6e6…
10-14 15:45:55	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	343	69¢	$236	0xa8a512…
10-14 15:25:37	nfl car phi 2026 10 18	Eagles	BUY	465	51¢	$237	0x45964b…
10-14 12:02:44	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	440	54¢	$237	0x36b975…
10-14 03:12:28	Canadiens vs. Capitals	Canadiens	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x455b8c…
10-14 03:05:43	Canadiens vs. Capitals	Canadiens	BUY	368	46¢	$169	0xb88433…
10-14 00:47:31	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	435	55¢	$238	0x611628…
10-14 00:35:51	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	345	69¢	$238	0x71259f…
10-13 23:37:31	Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	Delaware	SELL	354	41¢	$145	0x8c365e…
10-13 22:23:24	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	79¢	$39	0x0b8a3e…
10-13 16:30:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	29	85¢	$25	0x1ac9ae…
10-13 13:33:35	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	SELL	572	42¢	$240	0x3df671…
10-13 13:31:50	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	435	56¢	$244	0xd1ec6c…
10-13 06:50:29	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	SELL	424	31¢	$131	0xe3e403…
10-13 02:05:27	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	426	59¢	$251	0x14dacb…
10-13 00:23:36	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	SELL	444	61¢	$271	0x277569…
10-12 23:34:41	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	538	29¢	$156	0x748dc6…
10-12 21:25:36	Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	Delaware	BUY	354	53¢	$188	0xf2aa9e…
10-12 14:11:56	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	609	41¢	$250	0x9b053e…
10-12 14:05:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	424	59¢	$250	0x3944c9…
10-12 09:38:28	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	443	44¢	$195	0x5d292b…
10-12 09:37:05	Saints vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	511	49¢	$251	0x687d98…
10-12 09:31:53	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	129	43¢	$56	0x1da2d7…
10-12 06:45:35	Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	Delaware	SELL	333	56¢	$187	0x19f077…
10-12 03:34:47	Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Mia Pohankova	Iva Jovic	BUY	492	51¢	$251	0xf4e175…
10-12 03:29:38	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	493	51¢	$251	0x95bf05…
10-12 01:54:33	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	518	34¢	$176	0xa129f7…
10-11 22:26:47	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	52¢	$41	0xf770fa…
10-11 22:26:33	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	SELL	300	26¢	$78	0xfaf76e…
10-11 22:20:48	Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	Delaware	BUY	333	57¢	$190	0x9ad874…
10-11 19:52:25	Browns vs. Jets	Jets	SELL	361	65¢	$235	0x64ea1e…
10-11 18:52:30	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6dfd45…
10-11 18:05:46	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	513	50¢	$257	0xbcbe1f…
10-11 17:20:27	Colts vs. Steelers	Colts	SELL	448	37¢	$166	0x17bc71…
10-11 17:12:28	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x92acc0…
10-11 16:31:31	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0x6e64f0…
10-11 14:33:37	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	420	61¢	$257	0x5cbbfd…
10-11 01:25:38	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto	Alex de Minaur	BUY	367	70¢	$257	0xbf60cc…
10-11 01:03:04	Colts vs. Steelers	Colts	BUY	448	43¢	$193	0x159b48…
10-11 00:34:28	Minnesota vs. Purdue	Minnesota	SELL	362	34¢	$123	0x2955db…
10-10 20:34:43	Oilers vs. Sharks	Sharks	SELL	505	27¢	$136	0x48857e…
10-10 20:10:46	Tulsa vs. Navy	Navy	SELL	357	26¢	$93	0xa31d3f…
10-10 19:58:33	UConn vs. Temple	Temple	SELL	219	48¢	$105	0x345c80…
10-10 18:02:30	Utah Tech vs. Portland State	Portland State	BUY	351	59¢	$207	0xaf9815…
10-10 16:44:09	Tulsa vs. Navy	Navy	BUY	357	58¢	$207	0x435479…
10-10 16:37:58	UConn vs. Temple	Temple	BUY	219	63¢	$138	0x669d21…
10-10 16:31:49	Oilers vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	505	41¢	$207	0x09ee8b…
10-10 06:28:39	Browns vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	361	57¢	$206	0x75bed7…