Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$143

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

330 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.11K

$48.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

$309

1 position

First seen

2026-09-09

last 11-14 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

39% 61% +$37

Politics

36% 46% -$1,042

Sports

22% 19% -$984

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$25

Tech

1% 100% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No		+499	$320	62¢	$309	-$11	11-14 14:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	24	$2.2K	2,733	2,733	+0	No	-$222	10-08 01:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	12	$1.9K	1,163	1,163	+0	Yes	+$27	10-13 16:30
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	7	$1.4K	980	980	-0	Yes	+$98	09-20 21:42
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	7	$1.4K	922	922	+0	Yes	+$95	10-06 09:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	8	$1.4K	990	989	+1	No	+$58	10-02 13:29
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	5	$1.3K	760	760	+0	No	+$25	09-29 15:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	6	$1.2K	709	709	+0	No	+$24	09-18 16:07
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	5	$1.1K	774	774	+0	Yes	+$172	10-20 08:27
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	11	$1.0K	1,216	1,216	-0	Yes	-$8	09-29 15:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	16	$1.0K	1,074	448	+627	Yes	+$254	10-19 17:37
Seahawks vs. Broncos	3	$955	1,118	1,118	+0	Broncos	+$7	10-15 20:27
Bills vs. Raiders	3	$935	688	688	+0	Bills	-$14	10-17 13:29
mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	2	$864	764	764	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	-$84	10-15 01:42
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$863	735	418	+317	Yes	-$265	10-02 11:51
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	3	$796	604	604	+0	Yes	-$2	10-31 14:16
nfl car phi 2026 10 18	3	$786	786	786	+0	Panthers	-$16	10-15 04:33
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	3	$766	599	599	+0	No	+$0	11-02 20:18
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal	3	$742	928	928	+0	Sonay Kartal	-$204	10-15 10:23
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$732	787	787	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	-$197	10-16 02:26
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	11	$712	861	363	+499	open	—	11-14 14:46
Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	4	$710	688	688	+0	Middle Tennessee	-$46	10-13 23:37
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	5	$707	562	420	+143	No	-$137	09-30 16:56
Steelers vs. Buccaneers	5	$675	982	572	+410	Steelers	-$195	10-18 13:29
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	5	$656	381	381	+0	No	+$30	10-04 11:55
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	3	$650	367	367	+0	Yes	+$63	09-20 17:20
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	3	$642	403	403	+0	No	+$145	09-20 17:37
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	4	$636	403	403	+0	No	+$145	09-20 17:20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	3	$634	610	610	+0	Yes	+$24	09-15 14:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	4	$634	358	358	-0	Yes	+$25	09-13 21:58
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	5	$633	469	469	+0	No	-$5	09-22 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 14:46:37	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	35	61¢	$21	0x682829…
11-14 14:39:20	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x43822a…
11-14 14:31:35	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x8edc7e…
11-14 14:26:20	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	28	63¢	$18	0xc595d7…
11-14 14:12:34	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xb3fbc1…
11-14 14:06:32	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	89	63¢	$56	0x9fbef1…
11-13 14:12:33	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	280	64¢	$179	0xd506e2…
11-12 17:20:24	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	SELL	363	54¢	$196	0x0914dc…
11-12 02:47:18	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xdd0a15…
11-12 02:31:33	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	722	43¢	$311	0xad6330…
11-09 14:43:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0xbfee3d…
11-09 14:18:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	56	56¢	$31	0x85d331…
11-09 14:12:27	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	278	55¢	$153	0xda3115…
11-08 16:18:28	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	685	13¢	$86	0x6da466…
11-02 20:18:24	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	599	64¢	$383	0xe5fa8f…
11-02 13:56:37	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	Yes	BUY	644	59¢	$380	0xc88294…
11-01 13:48:39	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	671	57¢	$382	0xb1bb80…
10-31 14:16:24	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	604	66¢	$397	0x1ee329…
10-31 13:44:31	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	353	64¢	$226	0x8a359e…
10-31 13:15:33	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	246	64¢	$157	0x6d8f13…
10-29 13:46:50	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0xfc4bb9…
10-29 13:30:46	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	95	56¢	$53	0x95be5d…
10-29 13:30:46	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	527	56¢	$295	0x6d1a34…
10-29 13:23:37	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xe24682…
10-28 11:37:37	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	196	62¢	$121	0xce9fc8…
10-28 11:37:35	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x3f2d58…
10-22 14:24:33	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	423	62¢	$262	0x9b7307…
10-22 14:18:41	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xe7ce29…
10-22 14:12:32	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x0c7891…
10-22 14:06:33	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0x810607…
10-22 13:32:27	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	356	65¢	$232	0x5ed6c2…
10-22 13:22:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0x0cca37…
10-22 13:16:29	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	578	66¢	$382	0xb3fe94…
10-20 20:00:39	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	342	31¢	$106	0xe42f78…
10-20 14:35:21	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	SELL	377	45¢	$170	0x5fa7d4…
10-20 08:27:23	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	SELL	774	79¢	$612	0xf819c9…
10-19 17:37:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xae7a9d…
10-19 17:31:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0ad266…
10-19 17:31:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	353	67¢	$236	0x8e3bea…
10-19 17:25:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	27	76¢	$21	0xd91809…
10-19 17:25:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x8e8e71…
10-19 17:25:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xc0cbff…
10-19 17:25:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x479c98…
10-19 17:25:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x3ac7e2…
10-19 17:19:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	123	64¢	$79	0x9dd556…
10-19 17:12:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2a7bf2…
10-19 17:12:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xe8e4aa…
10-19 17:06:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0x29160a…
10-19 09:32:35	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	342	49¢	$168	0x5c6988…
10-19 01:46:18	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd389b8…
10-19 01:31:24	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	371	46¢	$171	0x0b78a3…
10-18 13:29:27	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x974b34…
10-18 02:22:35	Almaty Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adam Walton	SELL	393	42¢	$165	0x0845a0…
10-17 18:34:20	Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	377	48¢	$181	0xf62a2d…
10-17 14:22:30	atp walton basilas 2026 10 18	Adam Walton	BUY	93	46¢	$43	0xfde018…
10-17 14:16:35	atp walton basilas 2026 10 18	Adam Walton	BUY	300	46¢	$138	0xadbead…
10-17 13:29:27	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	SELL	688	67¢	$461	0xeda17a…
10-16 13:30:36	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	398	45¢	$179	0xa19e10…
10-16 07:03:31	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	349	57¢	$199	0x27f0aa…
10-16 07:03:31	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	266	57¢	$151	0x1c63f4…
10-16 06:56:33	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	150	56¢	$84	0xafe72e…
10-16 06:48:34	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x1edb71…
10-16 02:26:22	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	787	34¢	$267	0x458e4a…
10-15 20:27:33	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	SELL	1,118	43¢	$481	0x28a324…
10-15 10:23:28	Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	928	29¢	$269	0xd92a4e…
10-15 09:58:22	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xb1b813…
10-15 09:30:41	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	424	53¢	$225	0xe86be8…
10-15 05:28:31	Saints vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	326	49¢	$160	0xff19ce…
10-15 04:33:22	nfl car phi 2026 10 18	Eagles	SELL	786	49¢	$385	0x72cfc8…
10-15 03:35:35	mlb mil lad 2026 10 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	787	59¢	$464	0x5659d3…
10-15 01:42:19	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	764	51¢	$390	0x2c53af…
10-15 00:57:23	nhl mon wsh 2026 10 14	Canadiens	SELL	457	28¢	$128	0x9f92a0…
10-14 22:20:28	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	764	62¢	$474	0xd65d72…
10-14 20:24:30	nhl mon wsh 2026 10 14	Canadiens	BUY	70	48¢	$33	0x4a34cb…
10-14 18:27:34	nfl sea den 2026 10 16	Broncos	BUY	509	44¢	$224	0x61421f…
10-14 16:08:40	wta paolini kartal 2026 10 14	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	64	50¢	$32	0x517750…
10-14 16:03:36	wta paolini kartal 2026 10 14	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	864	51¢	$441	0x5197af…
10-14 15:46:21	Saints vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	107	49¢	$53	0x8e250b…
10-14 15:46:07	nfl car phi 2026 10 18	Eagles	BUY	321	51¢	$164	0xf2f6e6…
10-14 15:45:55	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	343	69¢	$236	0xa8a512…
10-14 15:25:37	nfl car phi 2026 10 18	Eagles	BUY	465	51¢	$237	0x45964b…
10-14 12:02:44	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	440	54¢	$237	0x36b975…
10-14 03:12:28	Canadiens vs. Capitals	Canadiens	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x455b8c…
10-14 03:05:43	Canadiens vs. Capitals	Canadiens	BUY	368	46¢	$169	0xb88433…
10-14 00:47:31	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	435	55¢	$238	0x611628…
10-14 00:35:51	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	345	69¢	$238	0x71259f…
10-13 23:37:31	Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	Delaware	SELL	354	41¢	$145	0x8c365e…
10-13 22:23:24	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	79¢	$39	0x0b8a3e…
10-13 16:30:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	29	85¢	$25	0x1ac9ae…
10-13 13:33:35	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	SELL	572	42¢	$240	0x3df671…
10-13 13:31:50	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	435	56¢	$244	0xd1ec6c…
10-13 06:50:29	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	SELL	424	31¢	$131	0xe3e403…
10-13 02:05:27	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	426	59¢	$251	0x14dacb…
10-13 00:23:36	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	SELL	444	61¢	$271	0x277569…
10-12 23:34:41	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	538	29¢	$156	0x748dc6…
10-12 21:25:36	Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	Delaware	BUY	354	53¢	$188	0xf2aa9e…
10-12 14:11:56	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	609	41¢	$250	0x9b053e…
10-12 14:05:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	424	59¢	$250	0x3944c9…
10-12 09:38:28	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	443	44¢	$195	0x5d292b…
10-12 09:37:05	Saints vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	511	49¢	$251	0x687d98…