Aware-Extension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.79K

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

3,295

Trades

35,091

lifetime

Volume

$195.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-04 19:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

54% 42% -$921

Crypto

31% 46% -$478

Politics

13% 36% -$184

Sports

2% 12% -$144

Pop-Culture

0% 23% -$41

Tech

0% 30% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		+0	-$16	95¢	$0	+$17	05-01 06:47
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes		+0	-$1	4¢	$0	+$1	05-01 06:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	223	$2.7K	3,068	2,347	+721	Yes	-$98	02-08 02:06
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	49	$1.8K	1,426	1,271	+156	No	-$133	02-07 20:23
Will Netflix dip to $70 in April?	9	$1.6K	867	867	+0	No	-$40	03-26 21:23
military action against iran ends by june 30 2026	14	$1.4K	772	772	+0	Yes	-$25	04-12 20:22
2026 us senate election republican odds over 80 by march 31	8	$1.3K	1,242	61	+1,181	No	+$13	03-30 12:11
will coinbase run an ad during super bowl lx	132	$1.2K	1,443	912	+530	Yes	-$31	02-09 00:03
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	122	$1.2K	1,207	1,064	+143	No	-$60	01-30 18:53
will israel strike lebanon on february 4 2026	147	$1.1K	1,200	1,128	+72	No	+$22	02-04 19:22
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 460 479	50	$1.1K	963	938	+24	No	-$2	01-24 20:29
will ethena dip to 0pt08 in march	5	$1.1K	611	611	+0	No	-$113	03-22 18:34
will tisza win at least 120 seats	25	$1.1K	705	698	+7	Yes	+$33	04-12 19:00
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 65 89	46	$1.0K	962	879	+83	Yes	-$2	01-28 14:44
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	9	$988	1,386	58	+1,328	No	+$24	04-23 08:18
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	47	$979	1,045	1,010	+36	No	+$16	02-05 22:04
will ndx dip to 20250 in march	16	$978	591	424	+167	No	+$11	03-30 17:53
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	15	$967	603	598	+5	Yes	+$20	04-07 01:06
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	14	$954	900	900	+0	No	+$5	03-29 11:50
will nflx dip to 95 by april 13 2026	4	$944	603	596	+7	No	+$102	04-17 15:59
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	55	$941	1,081	1,093	-13	No	+$7	01-30 12:26
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	5	$891	451	451	+0	No	+$1	03-29 12:02
will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	56	$885	993	993	+0	No	-$671	04-27 16:59
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	68	$862	845	816	+30	Yes	-$4	02-06 16:05
will israel strike lebanon on february 1 2026	119	$861	779	717	+63	Yes	-$9	02-01 13:20
penguin listed on binance by march 31	117	$855	988	875	+113	No	-$21	03-18 01:34
will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	99	$854	891	832	+60	No	+$29	01-29 05:18
will silver si hit low 70 by end of february 712 779 958 335 231 549 229 331	77	$849	1,059	694	+364	No	+$40	02-13 20:16
will zelenskyy attend the world economic forum	19	$839	684	416	+268	Yes	+$96	01-22 06:23
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	3	$837	447	447	+0	Yes	+$30	04-07 23:14
will israel strike gaza on february 1 2026	120	$826	951	791	+160	No	-$4	02-02 03:20
will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	3	$786	401	394	+7	No	$0	03-26 10:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 19:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x0089fe…
10-04 19:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7d7445…
10-04 19:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x1563e3…
10-04 19:06:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xae1fa4…
10-04 18:38:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xe956ba…
10-04 18:37:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb6bf94…
10-04 16:50:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xdbdbc6…
10-04 16:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x562765…
10-04 07:30:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x4e9e63…
10-04 07:30:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x839ca5…
10-04 06:05:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x4713c2…
10-04 06:05:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8870f7…
10-04 04:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xd31391…
10-04 04:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6e4806…
10-04 01:40:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x062061…
10-04 00:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xcabdac…
10-04 00:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xa88319…
10-04 00:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x60afa8…
10-04 00:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x36e5cd…
10-03 23:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xd4e867…
10-03 23:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x136ec9…
10-03 23:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x5a23ad…
10-03 23:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x35674a…
10-03 23:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x7ae816…
10-03 23:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x481aea…
10-03 22:32:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xb4f510…
10-03 22:32:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb81cb5…
10-03 22:31:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xe5d0c8…
10-03 22:30:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa98b43…
10-03 21:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x20e9b6…
10-03 21:45:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x65b4f8…
10-03 21:41:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xef291e…
10-03 21:40:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf7d21c…
10-03 21:30:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x3e03cd…
10-03 21:30:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x435ebc…
10-03 21:22:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x848932…
10-03 21:22:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xda7d55…
10-03 21:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xb255a6…
10-03 21:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbca70f…
10-03 20:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x3e65fd…
10-03 20:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0dc12f…
10-03 20:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x004cb6…
10-03 20:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xe5c129…
10-03 20:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x535475…
10-03 20:16:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x46dcdc…
10-03 20:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcafb7d…
10-03 20:06:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x924307…
10-03 20:05:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe2df4e…
10-03 19:31:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xe01f1b…
10-03 19:31:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x17fcdb…
10-03 19:18:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x876b13…
10-03 19:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x38a717…
10-03 19:15:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x783420…
10-03 19:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe4fde3…
10-03 19:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xddca8b…
10-03 19:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc2c9c9…
10-03 19:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x8fafed…
10-03 19:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xe5943c…
10-03 19:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x9053ef…
10-03 19:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6c9170…
10-03 19:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x4825a5…
10-03 19:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4db536…
10-03 18:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x1a74d2…
10-03 18:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x98da7a…
10-03 18:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x2181b3…
10-03 18:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd3ce3f…
10-03 18:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x7b91f2…
10-03 18:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xfc43f9…
10-03 18:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x2cb15e…
10-03 18:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0x98485d…
10-03 18:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x32da5d…
10-03 18:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5956fc…
10-03 18:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x87cdaa…
10-03 18:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf75c25…
10-03 18:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x022bd3…
10-03 18:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xa11fb5…
10-03 18:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x43dc4c…
10-03 18:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xfd2cab…
10-03 17:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xe7a752…
10-03 17:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x05e0c3…
10-03 17:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xba0ce4…
10-03 17:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x1d87ee…
10-03 17:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xb1224e…
10-03 17:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7b60aa…
10-03 17:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x0dd8a2…
10-03 17:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xf4d20e…
10-03 17:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x543851…
10-03 16:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x3dc3dc…
10-03 16:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x45d6f2…
10-03 16:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xeabff8…
10-03 16:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x69bb27…
10-03 16:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xeb3459…
10-03 16:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9e45c2…
10-03 16:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x37d2c4…
10-03 16:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x4c4e93…
10-03 15:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:50 UTC	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xa7dc25…
10-03 15:51:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xec6175…
10-03 15:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xfd32ed…
10-03 15:50:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x077801…
10-03 15:06:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x585fd7…