Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Up won
Total volume
$37,933
Trades
3,653
Unique wallets
645
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
79¢
Latest NO mid
21¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-10-04
last 10-04 06:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.0¢
(top1%: 73% YES on $20.8K
vs crowd: 74% YES on $35.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 135 | $14.3K | $4.4K | +$9.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 178 | $8.7K | $3.2K | +$5.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 213 | $3.0K | $1.2K | +$1.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 119 | $711 | $305 | +$406 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 153 | $15.2K | $5.5K | +$9.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 78 | $2.2K | $890 | +$1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 32 | $427 | $67 | +$359 |
| Median | 34 | $386 | $9 | +$377 |
| Below median | 136 | $1.0K | $174 | +$853 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 87 | $2.4K | $171 | +$2.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 78 | $2.5K | $746 | +$1.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 47 | $2.5K | $1.6K | +$860 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xcd91…3d2b | Down | +1,894 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 10-04 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd91…3d2b | Up | +1,553 | $1,108 | $1,108 | 4 | 10-04 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +1,295 | $252 | $252 | 84 | 10-04 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xd3d3…81dc | Up | +1,165 | $803 | $803 | 4 | 10-04 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +1,048 | $821 | $821 | 41 | 10-04 06:08 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | +985 | $719 | $719 | 2 | 10-04 06:05 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | +985 | $234 | $234 | 17 | 10-04 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | +967 | $282 | $282 | 5 | 10-04 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Up | +967 | $718 | $718 | 8 | 10-04 06:07 |
| Sad-Nation 0x29de…d9e6 | Down | +947 | $291 | $291 | 4 | 10-04 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +927 | $215 | $215 | 59 | 10-04 06:08 |
| Intentional-Morning 0x9eb4…65a1 | Down | +885 | $20 | $20 | 8 | 10-04 06:08 |
| Sardonic-Mink 0x8438…3680 | Down | +823 | $232 | $232 | 4 | 10-04 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +795 | $486 | $486 | 36 | 10-04 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xb970…0000 | Up | +786 | $554 | $554 | 3 | 10-04 06:05 |
| Sad-Nation 0x29de…d9e6 | Up | +776 | $567 | $567 | 4 | 10-04 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +769 | $151 | $151 | 28 | 10-04 06:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Down | +757 | $167 | $336 | 51 | 10-04 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +727 | $531 | $531 | 19 | 10-04 06:06 |
| Sardonic-Mink 0x8438…3680 | Up | +678 | $516 | $516 | 5 | 10-04 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xae39…ff04 | Down | +659 | $231 | $231 | 7 | 10-04 06:05 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +600 | $6 | $6 | 12 | 10-04 06:09 |
| Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79 | Up | +567 | $500 | $500 | 3 | 10-04 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1fd…7197 | Down | +536 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 10-04 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Down | +526 | $142 | $142 | 1 | 10-04 06:05 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | +500 | $365 | $365 | 3 | 10-04 06:05 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +494 | $124 | $124 | 13 | 10-04 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xd3d3…81dc | Down | +479 | $149 | $149 | 4 | 10-04 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +477 | $341 | $341 | 10 | 10-04 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xbaa6…cb6b | Up | +476 | $467 | $467 | 1 | 10-04 06:08 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +459 | $455 | $455 | 4 | 10-04 06:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x321e…b542 | Up | +458 | $449 | $449 | 1 | 10-04 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +457 | $381 | $381 | 15 | 10-04 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Up | +448 | $282 | $282 | 4 | 10-04 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Down | +426 | $197 | $197 | 11 | 10-04 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb75b…a611 | Up | +424 | $411 | $411 | 1 | 10-04 06:08 |
| Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Down | +420 | $111 | $111 | 16 | 10-04 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +417 | $112 | $112 | 33 | 10-04 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xfcda…eecc | Down | +413 | $151 | $151 | 3 | 10-04 06:05 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +410 | $311 | $311 | 32 | 10-04 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Down | +401 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-04 06:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x5537…136c | Down | +400 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-04 06:05 |
| Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Up | +398 | $312 | $312 | 11 | 10-04 06:08 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | +396 | $85 | $85 | 30 | 10-04 06:09 |
| Infinite-Lily 0xbbcf…20ae | Down | +387 | $58 | $58 | 3 | 10-04 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3d4…4b4f | Down | +379 | $149 | $149 | 3 | 10-04 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ee4…a036 | Down | +379 | $155 | $155 | 15 | 10-04 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a50…0cac | Down | +379 | $155 | $155 | 21 | 10-04 06:05 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +358 | $231 | $231 | 3 | 10-04 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xed34…8780 | Down | +336 | $91 | $91 | 20 | 10-04 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +335 | $80 | $80 | 15 | 10-04 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xb970…0000 | Down | +335 | $114 | $114 | 25 | 10-04 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b77…eeda | Up | +321 | $244 | $244 | 57 | 10-04 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3d4…4b4f | Up | +311 | $237 | $237 | 6 | 10-04 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Up | +309 | $308 | $308 | 4 | 10-04 06:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe815…d7cb | Up | +309 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-04 06:08 |
| Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f | Up | +308 | $229 | $229 | 13 | 10-04 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Up | +308 | $202 | $202 | 22 | 10-04 06:05 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Up | +304 | $209 | $209 | 7 | 10-04 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xed34…8780 | Up | +300 | $214 | $214 | 2 | 10-04 06:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 06:11:04 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Up | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xf15305… |
| 10-04 06:11:04 | (anonymous) 0x9511…aef3 | Up | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xf15305… |
| 10-04 06:10:22 | (anonymous) 0xb1fa…1ac6 | Up | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x71a471… |
| 10-04 06:10:22 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Up | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x71a471… |
| 10-04 06:10:19 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Up | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x3499d9… |
| 10-04 06:10:19 | (anonymous) 0x36fc…674b | Up | SELL | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x3499d9… |
| 10-04 06:10:14 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Up | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x8fa362… |
| 10-04 06:10:14 | (anonymous) 0xc8b1…4fbc | Up | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x8fa362… |
| 10-04 06:10:08 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Up | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xde350d… |
| 10-04 06:10:08 | (anonymous) 0xf495…21b8 | Up | SELL | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xde350d… |
| 10-04 06:10:02 | Normal-Fav 0xf51a…4eaf | Up | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc85c5c… |
| 10-04 06:10:02 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Up | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc85c5c… |
| 10-04 06:09:49 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf7291b… |
| 10-04 06:09:49 | (anonymous) 0xbfca…c732 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf7291b… |
| 10-04 06:09:46 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Up | BUY | 37 | 100¢ | $37 | 0x366227… |
| 10-04 06:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x9090…4855 | Up | SELL | 82 | 100¢ | $82 | 0x366227… |
| 10-04 06:09:46 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x366227… |
| 10-04 06:09:41 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x087e38… |
| 10-04 06:09:41 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x087e38… |
| 10-04 06:09:41 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x373cfe… |
| 10-04 06:09:41 | (anonymous) 0x96e4…5da2 | Up | SELL | 44 | 100¢ | $44 | 0x373cfe… |
| 10-04 06:09:38 | (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Up | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0d4208… |
| 10-04 06:09:38 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0d4208… |
| 10-04 06:09:38 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa28fc8… |
| 10-04 06:09:38 | (anonymous) 0xff3a…d31f | Up | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0xa28fc8… |
| 10-04 06:09:38 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xcc7955… |
| 10-04 06:09:38 | (anonymous) 0xbe05…dced | Up | BUY | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0xe96926… |
| 10-04 06:09:38 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa28fc8… |
| 10-04 06:09:38 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3baa88… |
| 10-04 06:09:38 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0xe96926… |
| 10-04 06:09:38 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3baa88… |
| 10-04 06:09:38 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xa28fc8… |
| 10-04 06:09:38 | (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Up | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xcc7955… |
| 10-04 06:09:37 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8b79a1… |
| 10-04 06:09:37 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xda0b6e… |
| 10-04 06:09:37 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda0b6e… |
| 10-04 06:09:37 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b79a1… |
| 10-04 06:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Up | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x4b7819… |
| 10-04 06:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xadba…4a9a | Up | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0a71b0… |
| 10-04 06:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x4b7819… |
| 10-04 06:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x066b1e… |
| 10-04 06:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xadba…4a9a | Up | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x066b1e… |
| 10-04 06:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Up | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x891e70… |
| 10-04 06:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x891e70… |
| 10-04 06:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0a71b0… |
| 10-04 06:09:34 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x28bac2… |
| 10-04 06:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Up | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xfcd6bd… |
| 10-04 06:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x3055d0… |
| 10-04 06:09:34 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3055d0… |
| 10-04 06:09:34 | (anonymous) 0xd963…d640 | Up | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xfcd6bd… |
| 10-04 06:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x28bac2… |
| 10-04 06:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x55f558… |
| 10-04 06:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Up | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x55f558… |
| 10-04 06:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb41583… |
| 10-04 06:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd586eb… |
| 10-04 06:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x9b64…7311 | Up | SELL | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0x1c3951… |
| 10-04 06:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Up | BUY | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0x1c3951… |
| 10-04 06:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb41583… |
| 10-04 06:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Up | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd586eb… |
| 10-04 06:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x7548f7… |
| 10-04 06:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xa17894… |
| 10-04 06:09:31 | Glittering-Government 0x327a…0d5b | Up | SELL | 222 | 100¢ | $222 | 0x22659a… |
| 10-04 06:09:31 | Normal-Fav 0xf51a…4eaf | Up | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x22659a… |
| 10-04 06:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x2fec…6c12 | Up | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x22659a… |
| 10-04 06:09:31 | (anonymous) 0xc45e…16db | Up | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x7548f7… |
| 10-04 06:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x758798… |
| 10-04 06:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Up | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x22659a… |
| 10-04 06:09:31 | (anonymous) 0xcf5f…9a7f | Up | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xa17894… |
| 10-04 06:09:31 | (anonymous) 0xc45e…16db | Up | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x758798… |
| 10-04 06:09:28 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc7dd63… |
| 10-04 06:09:28 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc7dd63… |
| 10-04 06:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x309fbf… |
| 10-04 06:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x1870…be45 | Up | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x309fbf… |
| 10-04 06:09:20 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x01f9ee… |
| 10-04 06:09:20 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x83217c… |
| 10-04 06:09:20 | (anonymous) 0xc45e…16db | Up | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x75561a… |
| 10-04 06:09:20 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x75561a… |
| 10-04 06:09:20 | Caring-Enquiry 0x9641…c287 | Up | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x595b6f… |
| 10-04 06:09:20 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2c87a3… |
| 10-04 06:09:20 | Jam-Packed-Recording 0xa560…9ccf | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2c87a3… |
| 10-04 06:09:20 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0b2fc8… |
| 10-04 06:09:20 | Clean-Cook 0x07f0…b3d4 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x01f9ee… |
| 10-04 06:09:20 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0b2fc8… |
| 10-04 06:09:20 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Up | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x83217c… |
| 10-04 06:09:20 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x595b6f… |
| 10-04 06:09:13 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 333 | 99¢ | $329 | 0x82f2a5… |
| 10-04 06:09:13 | Loathsome-Restroom 0xbaf8…7f77 | Up | SELL | 333 | 99¢ | $329 | 0x82f2a5… |
| 10-04 06:09:11 | Well-Off-String 0x6b36…0d4b | Up | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xd2df75… |
| 10-04 06:09:11 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xd2df75… |
| 10-04 06:09:10 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0783eb… |
| 10-04 06:09:10 | (anonymous) 0x2a81…a8fc | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0783eb… |
| 10-04 06:09:07 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 104 | 99¢ | $103 | 0xabc9fc… |
| 10-04 06:09:07 | (anonymous) 0xb763…51e3 | Down | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xabc9fc… |
| 10-04 06:09:07 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 96 | 99¢ | $95 | 0xabc9fc… |
| 10-04 06:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x980c…9345 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x67cb86… |
| 10-04 06:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x31560c… |
| 10-04 06:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x4139f1… |
| 10-04 06:09:05 | Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x31560c… |
| 10-04 06:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x67cb86… |
| 10-04 06:09:05 | Canine-Mining 0x483d…be07 | Up | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x4139f1… |