Infinite-Lily — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.57K

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

9,601

Trades

30,937

lifetime

Volume

$527.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$150

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 00:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 293 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 57% +$8,954

Other

15% 46% +$863

Sports

3% 47% +$238

Politics

1% 28% -$468

Tech

0% 67% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 641 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No		+400	$94	24¢	$94	$0	10-30 09:10
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No		+500	$50	8¢	$40	-$10	10-30 00:00
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	—	+100	$36	16¢	$16	-$20	10-30 09:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	57	$3.0K	10,695	10,995	-300	Yes	+$87	06-14 16:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	14	$1.7K	1,749	1,749	+0	Yes	+$286	10-09 08:10
bitcoin above 62k on july 9 2026	31	$1.2K	2,482	1,802	+680	Yes	+$7	07-09 02:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	16	$1.2K	1,210	1,210	+0	No	+$696	06-01 15:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	18	$1.1K	1,086	1,086	+0	Yes	+$138	10-20 14:04
bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	7	$1.0K	1,066	1,066	+0	Yes	+$172	07-10 15:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	6	$944	1,251	601	+650	No	-$127	10-06 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6PM ET	16	$941	810	810	+0	Up	+$367	09-11 22:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	8	$927	833	833	+0	Yes	+$236	09-22 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	12	$875	698	698	+0	Down	+$111	09-08 15:59
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	3	$776	650	650	+0	France	+$326	07-09 21:32
bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	16	$746	681	681	+0	Yes	+$189	06-07 22:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?	6	$728	700	700	+0	Yes	+$280	09-30 12:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25?	3	$683	500	500	+0	No	+$137	09-23 17:05
bitcoin above 64k on june 24 2026	10	$680	660	660	+0	No	+$372	06-23 16:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	3	$671	550	550	+0	No	+$330	10-06 15:00
bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	7	$668	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$136	07-24 13:53
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	10	$658	450	450	+0	No	+$143	08-28 16:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	20	$649	9,004	705	+8,299	Yes	-$124	02-02 21:41
bitcoin above 64k on june 21 2026	11	$630	650	650	+0	Yes	-$32	06-21 15:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	6	$620	552	552	+0	No	+$209	05-30 20:46
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	3	$619	267	534	-267	Aurora Gaming	+$181	10-11 13:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	4	$612	432	432	+0	Yes	+$153	06-03 10:36
will sp 500 spx close over 6600 on the final trading day of march 2026	4	$609	453	453	+0	No	+$89	03-27 13:32
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	5	$602	516	509	+8	Yes	+$16	03-23 03:01
spx up or down on july 10 2026	6	$600	580	580	+0	Up	+$13	07-10 15:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	7	$588	530	530	+0	Yes	+$117	10-26 14:53
bitcoin above 64k on august 12 2026	7	$577	549	549	+0	No	+$127	08-12 13:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 29?	5	$577	450	450	+0	No	+$143	09-29 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	4	$573	425	425	+0	Up	+$133	10-21 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:21:25	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x76b72c…
10-30 09:10:42	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x40fa6f…
10-30 00:02:39	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x9aa091…
10-30 00:01:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xec6666…
10-30 00:01:03	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0xf851f4…
10-30 00:00:37	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x063f6d…
10-29 23:59:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	170	12¢	$20	0x4c67ea…
10-29 23:58:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	505	6¢	$30	0xf34c4a…
10-29 23:57:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x811b5f…
10-29 23:57:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x584ff4…
10-29 23:57:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	250	7¢	$18	0x93bb29…
10-29 23:56:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	149	51¢	$76	0xb36f37…
10-29 23:56:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	234	14¢	$33	0x911232…
10-29 23:55:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0x237e32…
10-29 23:55:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	286	13¢	$36	0x1e4804…
10-29 22:24:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	124	31¢	$39	0x1b51f5…
10-29 22:23:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xb04496…
10-29 21:40:06	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	180	24¢	$44	0xf5b75f…
10-29 21:34:55	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	120	22¢	$26	0x0e4626…
10-29 21:34:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	350	2¢	$8	0x7e0dc0…
10-29 21:33:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	461	8¢	$35	0xbcfdb3…
10-29 21:32:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xab375d…
10-29 21:31:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$43	0x6efee1…
10-29 20:42:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	458	1¢	$5	0x8cca6a…
10-29 20:41:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	342	1¢	$3	0x49d3eb…
10-29 20:40:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb37973…
10-29 20:40:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	180	7¢	$13	0xec7dfe…
10-29 20:40:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb1d4c4…
10-29 20:39:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	511	4¢	$18	0x204ee9…
10-29 20:39:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdf7548…
10-29 20:38:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x6e0ade…
10-29 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xef4cd5…
10-29 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xcc9da2…
10-29 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x73b849…
10-29 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x5da0f8…
10-29 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x35a0fd…
10-29 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x2bcae6…
10-29 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x2109ea…
10-29 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x1c7167…
10-29 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x184bf0…
10-29 20:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xe5f099…
10-29 20:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xdd6fad…
10-29 20:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x24e4e9…
10-29 20:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xb8113d…
10-29 20:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0x5062d8…
10-29 20:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xd015ce…
10-29 19:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0xd1d827…
10-29 19:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	66	52¢	$34	0xbf4494…
10-29 19:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xbca9e6…
10-29 19:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0xb97769…
10-29 19:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xf38ebc…
10-29 19:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x88b1be…
10-29 19:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x78ebc0…
10-29 19:47:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	87	59¢	$51	0x638673…
10-29 19:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	65	75¢	$49	0x1fad63…
10-29 19:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xf634dc…
10-29 19:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xbb66d2…
10-29 19:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0x69a635…
10-29 19:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x624169…
10-29 19:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x0b5961…
10-29 19:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	131	43¢	$56	0x4dcca0…
10-29 19:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x6ee808…
10-29 19:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x5438c4…
10-29 19:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	131	89¢	$117	0xb57b98…
10-29 19:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	131	61¢	$80	0xb8124d…
10-29 19:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	55	60¢	$33	0xaa5fa4…
10-29 19:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0xd8c0ee…
10-29 19:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x15d48e…
10-29 19:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0xcfc8d2…
10-29 17:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x8de0a0…
10-29 17:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x07ec27…
10-29 17:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	64	61¢	$39	0x8afcb7…
10-29 17:23:26	Hammarby IF vs. IK Sirius: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x2fcb3c…
10-29 15:05:40	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x10cf9c…
10-29 14:14:38	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x3937f4…
10-29 14:11:47	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	210	18¢	$38	0xb938a2…
10-29 13:07:40	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	80	39¢	$31	0x1ffb4b…
10-29 13:05:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xc162a9…
10-29 13:05:17	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	183	100¢	$182	0xc069db…
10-29 11:06:05	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	33	44¢	$14	0xd7f453…
10-29 10:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	65	53¢	$34	0xc97a31…
10-29 10:10:46	Set 1 Winner: Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Anna Bondar	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x64dfb8…
10-29 10:08:31	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0xddf262…
10-29 10:07:26	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x9a125a…
10-29 10:07:11	Guangzhou Open: Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Anna Bondar	BUY	150	49¢	$74	0x77f817…
10-29 08:56:31	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	225	48¢	$108	0xb3b162…
10-29 08:55:56	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xee7ef4…
10-29 07:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0xaffb25…
10-29 07:46:04	Set 1 Winner: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0xb132aa…
10-29 07:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	41	70¢	$29	0x3a76b3…
10-29 07:30:14	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x711b6f…
10-29 07:30:04	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x03c4b2…
10-29 07:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0xca999b…
10-29 07:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0x5969b8…
10-29 07:13:11	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x82e618…
10-29 04:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf67e45…
10-29 04:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x90b616…
10-29 04:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x488793…
10-29 04:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3fa9bb…
10-29 04:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1b0237…