Infinite-Lily — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.37K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

9,584

Trades

30,866

lifetime

Volume

$526.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 292 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 57% +$8,717

Other

15% 46% +$902

Sports

3% 47% +$238

Politics

1% 28% -$468

Tech

0% 67% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 641 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	57	$3.0K	10,695	10,995	-300	Yes	+$87	06-14 16:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	14	$1.7K	1,749	1,749	+0	Yes	+$286	10-09 08:10
bitcoin above 62k on july 9 2026	31	$1.2K	2,482	1,802	+680	Yes	+$7	07-09 02:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	16	$1.2K	1,210	1,210	+0	No	+$696	06-01 15:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	18	$1.1K	1,086	1,086	+0	Yes	+$138	10-20 14:04
bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	7	$1.0K	1,066	1,066	+0	Yes	+$172	07-10 15:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	6	$944	1,251	601	+650	No	-$127	10-06 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6PM ET	16	$941	810	810	+0	Up	+$367	09-11 22:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	8	$927	833	833	+0	Yes	+$236	09-22 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	12	$875	698	698	+0	Down	+$111	09-08 15:59
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	3	$776	650	650	+0	France	+$326	07-09 21:32
bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	16	$746	681	681	+0	Yes	+$189	06-07 22:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?	6	$728	700	700	+0	Yes	+$280	09-30 12:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25?	3	$683	500	500	+0	No	+$137	09-23 17:05
bitcoin above 64k on june 24 2026	10	$680	660	660	+0	No	+$372	06-23 16:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	3	$671	550	550	+0	No	+$330	10-06 15:00
bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	7	$668	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$136	07-24 13:53
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	10	$658	450	450	+0	No	+$143	08-28 16:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	20	$649	9,004	705	+8,299	Yes	-$124	02-02 21:41
bitcoin above 64k on june 21 2026	11	$630	650	650	+0	Yes	-$32	06-21 15:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	6	$620	552	552	+0	No	+$209	05-30 20:46
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	3	$619	267	534	-267	Aurora Gaming	+$181	10-11 13:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	4	$612	432	432	+0	Yes	+$153	06-03 10:36
will sp 500 spx close over 6600 on the final trading day of march 2026	4	$609	453	453	+0	No	+$89	03-27 13:32
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	5	$602	516	509	+8	Yes	+$16	03-23 03:01
spx up or down on july 10 2026	6	$600	580	580	+0	Up	+$13	07-10 15:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	7	$588	530	530	+0	Yes	+$117	10-26 14:53
bitcoin above 64k on august 12 2026	7	$577	549	549	+0	No	+$127	08-12 13:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 29?	5	$577	450	450	+0	No	+$143	09-29 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	4	$573	425	425	+0	Up	+$133	10-21 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:05:40	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x10cf9c…
10-29 14:14:38	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x3937f4…
10-29 14:11:47	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	210	18¢	$38	0xb938a2…
10-29 13:07:40	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	80	39¢	$31	0x1ffb4b…
10-29 13:05:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xc162a9…
10-29 13:05:17	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	183	100¢	$182	0xc069db…
10-29 11:06:05	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	33	44¢	$14	0xd7f453…
10-29 10:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	65	53¢	$34	0xc97a31…
10-29 10:10:46	Set 1 Winner: Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Anna Bondar	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x64dfb8…
10-29 10:08:31	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0xddf262…
10-29 10:07:26	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x9a125a…
10-29 10:07:11	Guangzhou Open: Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Anna Bondar	BUY	150	49¢	$74	0x77f817…
10-29 08:56:31	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	225	48¢	$108	0xb3b162…
10-29 08:55:56	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xee7ef4…
10-29 07:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0xaffb25…
10-29 07:46:04	Set 1 Winner: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0xb132aa…
10-29 07:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	41	70¢	$29	0x3a76b3…
10-29 07:30:14	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x711b6f…
10-29 07:30:04	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x03c4b2…
10-29 07:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0xca999b…
10-29 07:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0x5969b8…
10-29 07:13:11	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x82e618…
10-29 04:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf67e45…
10-29 04:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x90b616…
10-29 04:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x488793…
10-29 04:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3fa9bb…
10-29 04:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1b0237…
10-29 04:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x0c6579…
10-29 04:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xca60b0…
10-29 04:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xbb4081…
10-29 04:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x8d2aa9…
10-29 04:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x7c8500…
10-29 04:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x5cec62…
10-29 04:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x2cb129…
10-29 04:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x25cb33…
10-29 04:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x21edc8…
10-29 04:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	111	52¢	$58	0xf57d43…
10-29 04:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	61¢	$16	0x19995e…
10-29 04:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x041444…
10-29 04:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdb9d72…
10-29 04:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x46b3a7…
10-29 04:23:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xb219a4…
10-28 12:46:56	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xb4d33d…
10-27 20:58:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0x9e4169…
10-27 20:58:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x3a45c6…
10-27 20:58:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xfa4407…
10-27 20:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	46¢	$19	0x69f33f…
10-27 20:58:00	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xf69770…
10-27 20:54:38	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x259a04…
10-27 20:50:51	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xacff2a…
10-27 20:32:44	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	70	66¢	$46	0x709d99…
10-27 20:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	14¢	$6	0xc32c81…
10-27 18:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0xbdb648…
10-27 17:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xfa6230…
10-27 17:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa54e0f…
10-27 17:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x34ddce…
10-27 17:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x074049…
10-27 17:23:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xa6cad3…
10-27 17:22:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xa94ffa…
10-27 17:20:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	65	73¢	$47	0x5b35fc…
10-27 15:10:20	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	55	19¢	$10	0xebff60…
10-27 15:09:59	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x39b4fe…
10-27 13:16:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x05e506…
10-27 13:15:59	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xfba745…
10-26 22:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x10b0fe…
10-26 22:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xa80d68…
10-26 22:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x950d1d…
10-26 22:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x915a9b…
10-26 22:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x8c4408…
10-26 22:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf34ba4…
10-26 22:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xdc282b…
10-26 22:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd9761f…
10-26 22:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xd7cbfc…
10-26 22:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0x8a3299…
10-26 22:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x849dcf…
10-26 22:58:48	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	65	49¢	$32	0x73c5a2…
10-26 22:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x6e235c…
10-26 22:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x217a54…
10-26 22:57:44	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	76	56¢	$42	0x8c7ff5…
10-26 22:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	71¢	$29	0x48bc67…
10-26 22:56:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	131	44¢	$57	0x7cc293…
10-26 22:53:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xf492a4…
10-26 22:53:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x0c2579…
10-26 22:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	56	20¢	$11	0xda149e…
10-26 22:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	56	51¢	$29	0xb7eca8…
10-26 22:51:35	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	56	58¢	$32	0x424cf9…
10-26 22:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	65	65¢	$42	0xea000b…
10-26 22:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0xcdb93f…
10-26 21:46:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	72¢	$32	0x2af2f6…
10-26 21:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x7862cb…
10-26 21:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xba36be…
10-26 21:34:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x6987f9…
10-26 21:33:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x5fe818…
10-26 21:33:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x0bdfc5…
10-26 21:33:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xeb4b1f…
10-26 21:33:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xa15a71…
10-26 21:33:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x68f5f4…
10-26 21:33:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x706a6c…
10-26 21:33:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x667a40…
10-26 21:33:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x2c6191…