Infinite-Lily — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$261

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved (7d)

224

Trades (7d)

671

31,132 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$16.0K

$532.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 00:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 295 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 57% +$8,651

Other

15% 46% +$1,056

Sports

3% 47% +$197

Politics

1% 28% -$468

Tech

0% 67% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 641 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	57	$3.0K	10,695	10,995	-300	Yes	+$87	06-14 16:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	14	$1.7K	1,749	1,749	+0	Yes	+$286	10-09 08:10
bitcoin above 62k on july 9 2026	31	$1.2K	2,482	1,802	+680	Yes	+$7	07-09 02:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	16	$1.2K	1,210	1,210	+0	No	+$696	06-01 15:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	18	$1.1K	1,086	1,086	+0	Yes	+$138	10-20 14:04
bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	7	$1.0K	1,066	1,066	+0	Yes	+$172	07-10 15:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	6	$944	1,251	601	+650	No	-$127	10-06 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6PM ET	16	$941	810	810	+0	Up	+$367	09-11 22:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	8	$927	833	833	+0	Yes	+$236	09-22 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	12	$875	698	698	+0	Down	+$111	09-08 15:59
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	3	$776	650	650	+0	France	+$326	07-09 21:32
bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	16	$746	681	681	+0	Yes	+$189	06-07 22:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?	6	$728	700	700	+0	Yes	+$280	09-30 12:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25?	3	$683	500	500	+0	No	+$137	09-23 17:05
bitcoin above 64k on june 24 2026	10	$680	660	660	+0	No	+$372	06-23 16:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	3	$671	550	550	+0	No	+$330	10-06 15:00
bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	7	$668	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$136	07-24 13:53
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	10	$658	450	450	+0	No	+$143	08-28 16:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	20	$649	9,004	705	+8,299	Yes	-$124	02-02 21:41
bitcoin above 64k on june 21 2026	11	$630	650	650	+0	Yes	-$32	06-21 15:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	6	$620	552	552	+0	No	+$209	05-30 20:46
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	3	$619	267	534	-267	Aurora Gaming	+$181	10-11 13:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	4	$612	432	432	+0	Yes	+$153	06-03 10:36
will sp 500 spx close over 6600 on the final trading day of march 2026	4	$609	453	453	+0	No	+$89	03-27 13:32
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	5	$602	516	509	+8	Yes	+$16	03-23 03:01
spx up or down on july 10 2026	6	$600	580	580	+0	Up	+$13	07-10 15:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	7	$588	530	530	+0	Yes	+$117	10-26 14:53
bitcoin above 64k on august 12 2026	7	$577	549	549	+0	No	+$127	08-12 13:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 29?	5	$577	450	450	+0	No	+$143	09-29 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	4	$573	425	425	+0	Up	+$133	10-21 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x57a5c9…
11-01 00:23:46	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x4894af…
11-01 00:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x30d49d…
10-31 23:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	54	33¢	$18	0x75b229…
10-31 23:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xead6ed…
10-31 23:43:24	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0xe37d52…
10-31 23:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x17449a…
10-31 23:40:18	76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x0d736a…
10-31 23:39:27	76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x0d37ac…
10-31 22:48:00	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xe881ab…
10-31 22:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	67	43¢	$29	0x1cc8ac…
10-31 22:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	211	1¢	$2	0x35b7a0…
10-31 22:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	65	50¢	$32	0x7de320…
10-31 21:47:03	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	90	16¢	$14	0x63b8f6…
10-31 21:45:13	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x115edb…
10-31 21:45:07	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x6f0859…
10-31 20:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xf8766e…
10-31 20:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	12¢	$1	0xf49f16…
10-31 20:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xf3ffde…
10-31 20:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xcb87a3…
10-31 20:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xd69996…
10-31 20:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x01a3bf…
10-31 20:58:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	111	11¢	$12	0x7628ac…
10-31 20:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	76	49¢	$37	0x5cc869…
10-31 20:56:16	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x5c458e…
10-31 20:55:16	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb54578…
10-31 20:54:55	Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	150	88¢	$132	0x140006…
10-31 20:46:06	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x7382d0…
10-31 20:45:42	Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs naocopulas (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs	naocopulas	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd8bad2…
10-31 20:12:21	Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs naocopulas (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs	naocopulas	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbac3ca…
10-31 20:09:43	Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs naocopulas (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs	naocopulas	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x924141…
10-31 20:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	35	50¢	$18	0xdc88dc…
10-31 20:04:28	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x38b5b5…
10-31 19:59:54	Map Handicap: DEN (-1.5) vs naocopulas (+1.5)	naocopulas	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x139935…
10-31 19:59:00	Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs naocopulas (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs	naocopulas	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0xa107bc…
10-31 19:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x7b4e90…
10-31 19:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0x36406f…
10-31 19:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	13¢	$5	0x112257…
10-31 19:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	65	53¢	$34	0x1532a3…
10-31 19:24:31	Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xdb232e…
10-31 19:24:18	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xa62d76…
10-31 15:45:04	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xe32618…
10-31 15:43:40	Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xf843d0…
10-31 11:25:13	Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x306468…
10-31 11:24:51	Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	52¢	$44	0x8b1085…
10-31 11:23:52	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 4 Winner	Nemiga	SELL	395	33¢	$130	0x1c6963…
10-31 10:12:27	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 4 Winner	Nemiga	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x4b1c48…
10-31 10:08:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 4 Winner	Nemiga	BUY	363	37¢	$134	0x4289b0…
10-31 09:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xfac635…
10-31 09:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xbdeb9c…
10-31 09:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x87073c…
10-31 09:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x83cc28…
10-31 09:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xe751e6…
10-31 09:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xdf76f3…
10-31 09:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x8028d7…
10-31 09:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	87	66¢	$57	0x0aee85…
10-31 09:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	66	34¢	$22	0x167558…
10-31 01:47:01	Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	72¢	$34	0xa41b88…
10-31 01:45:03	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0xfce0d8…
10-31 01:44:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0xd00d24…
10-31 01:44:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0xb82968…
10-31 01:44:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x770cd8…
10-31 01:44:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x641c2d…
10-31 01:44:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6036e5…
10-31 01:44:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x5c82da…
10-31 01:44:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x28ce63…
10-31 01:44:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x13584f…
10-31 01:44:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x08aff6…
10-31 01:33:34	Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	72¢	$86	0xb293d1…
10-31 01:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	76	6¢	$5	0xbddd32…
10-31 01:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	76	61¢	$46	0xffa557…
10-31 01:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x860e3a…
10-31 01:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x945eb0…
10-31 01:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x8ed167…
10-31 01:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x4316e1…
10-31 01:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x00cb98…
10-31 01:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xbe8020…
10-31 01:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xf6aec9…
10-31 01:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x8c5c60…
10-31 01:12:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	151	52¢	$79	0xd5bf2a…
10-31 01:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	141	5¢	$7	0x47cc73…
10-31 01:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	141	48¢	$67	0x5f1350…
10-31 01:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	76	67¢	$51	0x94968d…
10-31 00:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	111	32¢	$36	0x9d89c8…
10-31 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xe7f017…
10-31 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xd811b1…
10-31 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xceba38…
10-31 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xc8bfa3…
10-31 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc87838…
10-31 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0xc2dc75…
10-31 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x9e0f9b…
10-31 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x7ed8b6…
10-31 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x55dec8…
10-31 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x3a6844…
10-31 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3345ef…
10-31 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x25b6a7…
10-31 00:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	76	32¢	$24	0x701aee…
10-31 00:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x88ed7d…
10-31 00:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x6577e8…
10-31 00:47:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x300ea7…