Infinite-Lily — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.19K

Unrealized P&L

+$121

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

10,087

Trades

32,512

lifetime

Volume

$551.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$41

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-10 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 304 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 57% +$8,941

Other

15% 46% +$533

Sports

3% 47% +$205

Politics

1% 28% -$468

Tech

0% 67% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 641 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+150	$93	26¢	$40	-$54	11-09 22:50
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+570	$19	0¢	$1	-$19	11-08 06:36
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	+330	$24	0¢	$0	-$23	11-08 04:26
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	+100	-$216	0¢	$0	+$217	11-08 06:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	57	$3.0K	10,695	10,995	-300	Yes	+$87	06-14 16:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	14	$1.7K	1,749	1,749	+0	Yes	+$286	10-09 08:10
bitcoin above 62k on july 9 2026	31	$1.2K	2,482	1,802	+680	Yes	+$7	07-09 02:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	16	$1.2K	1,210	1,210	+0	No	+$696	06-01 15:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	18	$1.1K	1,086	1,086	+0	Yes	+$138	10-20 14:04
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	20	$1.1K	1,700	1,550	+150	open	—	11-09 22:50
bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	7	$1.0K	1,066	1,066	+0	Yes	+$172	07-10 15:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	6	$944	1,251	601	+650	No	-$127	10-06 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6PM ET	16	$941	810	810	+0	Up	+$367	09-11 22:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	8	$927	833	833	+0	Yes	+$236	09-22 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	12	$875	698	698	+0	Down	+$111	09-08 15:59
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	3	$776	650	650	+0	France	+$326	07-09 21:32
bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	16	$746	681	681	+0	Yes	+$189	06-07 22:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?	6	$728	700	700	+0	Yes	+$280	09-30 12:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25?	3	$683	500	500	+0	No	+$137	09-23 17:05
bitcoin above 64k on june 24 2026	10	$680	660	660	+0	No	+$372	06-23 16:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	3	$671	550	550	+0	No	+$330	10-06 15:00
bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	7	$668	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$136	07-24 13:53
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	10	$658	450	450	+0	No	+$143	08-28 16:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	20	$649	9,004	705	+8,299	Yes	-$124	02-02 21:41
bitcoin above 64k on june 21 2026	11	$630	650	650	+0	Yes	-$32	06-21 15:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	6	$620	552	552	+0	No	+$209	05-30 20:46
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	3	$619	267	534	-267	Aurora Gaming	+$181	10-11 13:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	4	$612	432	432	+0	Yes	+$153	06-03 10:36
will sp 500 spx close over 6600 on the final trading day of march 2026	4	$609	453	453	+0	No	+$89	03-27 13:32
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	5	$602	516	509	+8	Yes	+$16	03-23 03:01
spx up or down on july 10 2026	6	$600	580	580	+0	Up	+$13	07-10 15:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	7	$588	530	530	+0	Yes	+$117	10-26 14:53
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	8	$584	2,100	2,000	+100	open	—	11-08 06:36
bitcoin above 64k on august 12 2026	7	$577	549	549	+0	No	+$127	08-12 13:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 01:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x270e40…
11-10 01:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0x5e0bba…
11-10 01:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	65	14¢	$9	0xdc6f0c…
11-10 00:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	54	51¢	$28	0x2cd53f…
11-10 00:19:31	Counter-Strike: your end vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage	Damajuana	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x26024e…
11-10 00:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x28bf93…
11-09 22:50:19	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0xe6d72c…
11-09 22:36:07	Counter-Strike: your end vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage	Damajuana	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0x87db75…
11-09 22:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x59e060…
11-09 22:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xbae6c1…
11-09 22:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0x145602…
11-09 15:15:48	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	31¢	$29	0xa845f0…
11-09 15:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x8f1adb…
11-09 15:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xf3c1cf…
11-09 15:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xdf23a2…
11-09 15:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xa216a0…
11-09 15:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xc65f1b…
11-09 15:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x51ea89…
11-09 15:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x3cfbec…
11-09 15:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x1bc07d…
11-09 11:03:33	Map Handicap: ex-ENCE (-1.5) vs Balkan Outlaws (+1.5)	ex-ENCE	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x1b4f2e…
11-09 11:02:19	Map Handicap: ex-ENCE (-1.5) vs Balkan Outlaws (+1.5)	ex-ENCE	BUY	155	27¢	$42	0x008e38…
11-09 09:53:46	Counter-Strike: Sökerorg vs Prestige - Map 2 Winner	Prestige	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xa595a8…
11-09 09:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xff4eb7…
11-09 09:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	41	40¢	$16	0x46e4f2…
11-09 09:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x01edd5…
11-09 09:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x54a95b…
11-09 09:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	43	87¢	$38	0x165357…
11-09 09:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x8616ff…
11-09 09:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x00cb5d…
11-09 09:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xda61d9…
11-09 09:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x9a61be…
11-09 09:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x2bd68b…
11-09 09:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xd9f94a…
11-09 09:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0xa825c7…
11-09 09:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	68¢	$15	0x96aa09…
11-09 09:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	68¢	$20	0xf4e482…
11-09 09:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x1105df…
11-09 09:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	76	54¢	$41	0x94f057…
11-09 09:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xe0724c…
11-09 09:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	85	51¢	$44	0x4b1eb2…
11-09 09:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xcded99…
11-09 09:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xbbf364…
11-09 09:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x6c1554…
11-09 09:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x4a4770…
11-09 09:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x012b94…
11-09 02:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x82f8d8…
11-09 00:23:30	Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	120	55¢	$66	0x57fdd5…
11-09 00:07:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 9?	No	SELL	94	30¢	$28	0x2ad57e…
11-09 00:06:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 9?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x4aef91…
11-09 00:06:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 9?	No	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0xf54623…
11-08 23:37:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xe796dc…
11-08 23:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	92	82¢	$76	0xec936e…
11-08 23:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0x4fc0eb…
11-08 23:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x468d43…
11-08 23:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x34e66b…
11-08 23:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xfa4f40…
11-08 23:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x4773d5…
11-08 23:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	129	54¢	$69	0x26b01c…
11-08 23:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	103	56¢	$58	0xc69266…
11-08 23:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	115	53¢	$61	0xdabe45…
11-08 23:12:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	25¢	$127	0x4a02b1…
11-08 23:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x0aed9f…
11-08 23:04:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 9?	Down	SELL	64	54¢	$35	0x10f6b9…
11-08 23:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaaafb1…
11-08 23:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x39841b…
11-08 23:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x3022ee…
11-08 23:03:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 9?	Down	SELL	12	63¢	$7	0xf97511…
11-08 22:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	72	52¢	$37	0xddae53…
11-08 22:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	63¢	$28	0x1ad4b0…
11-08 22:42:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 9?	Down	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0xc1ffb8…
11-08 22:00:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 9?	Down	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xf23706…
11-08 21:39:37	Solana Up or Down - November 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x77a7d1…
11-08 21:39:37	Solana Up or Down - November 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x6b5bea…
11-08 21:39:33	Solana Up or Down - November 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x3aa47c…
11-08 21:39:31	Solana Up or Down - November 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xc6118d…
11-08 21:39:31	Solana Up or Down - November 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xbd5379…
11-08 21:39:31	Solana Up or Down - November 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xaf6f78…
11-08 21:39:31	Solana Up or Down - November 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x59fc8b…
11-08 21:38:58	Solana Up or Down - November 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0x521b0d…
11-08 09:09:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-08 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x09e97e…
11-08 09:08:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-08 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	69	15¢	$11	0x6936b8…
11-08 09:08:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-08 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x2f9672…
11-08 09:07:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-08 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x41c3ba…
11-08 09:00:21	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x201fb8…
11-08 09:00:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	24¢	$70	0x74ec44…
11-08 08:59:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe654e2…
11-08 08:59:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	76	95¢	$72	0xdd20a7…
11-08 08:59:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd38139…
11-08 08:59:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x6293fe…
11-08 08:57:39	XRP Up or Down - November 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x4bd9f9…
11-08 08:56:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x0213f1…
11-08 08:55:48	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x7a9f0a…
11-08 08:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xfcae45…
11-08 08:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xe78629…
11-08 08:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xd67785…
11-08 08:54:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	55¢	$21	0x3fa401…
11-08 08:54:04	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0x5524bc…
11-08 08:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	123	8¢	$10	0xa3ed04…
11-08 08:27:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x458fdd…