Infinite-Lily — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.01K

Unrealized P&L

-$135

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

10,147

Trades

32,696

lifetime

Volume

$554.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$66

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-11 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 305 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 57% +$9,060

Other

15% 46% +$453

Sports

3% 47% -$17

Politics

1% 28% -$468

Tech

0% 67% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 641 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes		+618	$201	11¢	$66	-$135	11-11 14:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	57	$3.0K	10,695	10,995	-300	Yes	+$87	06-14 16:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	14	$1.7K	1,749	1,749	+0	Yes	+$286	10-09 08:10
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	29	$1.4K	2,718	2,100	+618	open	—	11-11 14:08
bitcoin above 62k on july 9 2026	31	$1.2K	2,482	1,802	+680	Yes	+$7	07-09 02:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	16	$1.2K	1,210	1,210	+0	No	+$696	06-01 15:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	18	$1.1K	1,086	1,086	+0	Yes	+$138	10-20 14:04
bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	7	$1.0K	1,066	1,066	+0	Yes	+$172	07-10 15:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	6	$944	1,251	601	+650	No	-$127	10-06 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6PM ET	16	$941	810	810	+0	Up	+$367	09-11 22:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	8	$927	833	833	+0	Yes	+$236	09-22 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	12	$875	698	698	+0	Down	+$111	09-08 15:59
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	3	$776	650	650	+0	France	+$326	07-09 21:32
bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	16	$746	681	681	+0	Yes	+$189	06-07 22:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?	6	$728	700	700	+0	Yes	+$280	09-30 12:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25?	3	$683	500	500	+0	No	+$137	09-23 17:05
bitcoin above 64k on june 24 2026	10	$680	660	660	+0	No	+$372	06-23 16:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	3	$671	550	550	+0	No	+$330	10-06 15:00
bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	7	$668	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$136	07-24 13:53
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	10	$658	450	450	+0	No	+$143	08-28 16:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	20	$649	9,004	705	+8,299	Yes	-$124	02-02 21:41
bitcoin above 64k on june 21 2026	11	$630	650	650	+0	Yes	-$32	06-21 15:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	6	$620	552	552	+0	No	+$209	05-30 20:46
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	3	$619	267	534	-267	Aurora Gaming	+$181	10-11 13:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	4	$612	432	432	+0	Yes	+$153	06-03 10:36
will sp 500 spx close over 6600 on the final trading day of march 2026	4	$609	453	453	+0	No	+$89	03-27 13:32
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	5	$602	516	509	+8	Yes	+$16	03-23 03:01
spx up or down on july 10 2026	6	$600	580	580	+0	Up	+$13	07-10 15:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	7	$588	530	530	+0	Yes	+$117	10-26 14:53
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	8	$584	2,100	2,000	+100	Yes	+$216	11-08 06:36
bitcoin above 64k on august 12 2026	7	$577	549	549	+0	No	+$127	08-12 13:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 15:09:52	Counter-Strike: Nexus vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	BakS eSports	SELL	60	45¢	$27	0xde54a8…
11-11 15:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x34dfcc…
11-11 15:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	69¢	$21	0x800802…
11-11 15:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x26d045…
11-11 14:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xbc38ea…
11-11 14:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x233985…
11-11 14:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xdb5059…
11-11 14:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0x5579bd…
11-11 14:50:22	Counter-Strike: ex-INOX Division vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	BET-M 33	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x36313d…
11-11 14:08:21	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x558663…
11-11 14:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x771cf0…
11-11 13:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xc522da…
11-11 13:54:06	Counter-Strike: ex-INOX Division vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	BET-M 33	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xe4928b…
11-11 13:50:57	Counter-Strike: ex-INOX Division vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	BET-M 33	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x3bdf53…
11-11 13:48:49	Counter-Strike: Nexus vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	BakS eSports	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0xa41b0f…
11-11 13:47:19	Counter-Strike: ex-INOX Division vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	BET-M 33	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0x73eed2…
11-11 13:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xfed56d…
11-11 13:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xf0c094…
11-11 13:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe85758…
11-11 13:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x6c9c5d…
11-11 13:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x3d4100…
11-11 13:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x15d278…
11-11 13:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0xe8d5e1…
11-11 13:31:01	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Inner Circle (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Inner Circle	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x10eed9…
11-11 07:16:37	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xdb65b2…
11-11 07:13:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$58	0xeab97e…
11-11 07:10:03	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Inner Circle (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Inner Circle	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xef1817…
11-11 07:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xaca23a…
11-11 06:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	65	18¢	$12	0x083fee…
11-11 06:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0x1e4ebc…
11-11 06:47:54	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FUT Esports	SELL	400	6¢	$24	0x82aa18…
11-11 06:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0xd89a84…
11-11 06:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x0ee6f1…
11-11 06:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xb34e25…
11-11 06:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	7¢	$3	0xfc6b76…
11-11 06:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x98606b…
11-11 06:32:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa7b4dd…
11-11 06:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xa406e5…
11-11 06:28:25	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FUT Esports	BUY	400	17¢	$68	0xbb2ef9…
11-11 06:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0xa48b15…
11-11 06:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x978bc5…
11-11 06:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0xd2c10a…
11-11 06:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x8f795b…
11-11 06:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x542bd1…
11-11 06:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0x35288a…
11-11 06:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x2487d7…
11-11 06:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x1f313e…
11-11 06:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x1b98db…
11-11 06:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x0a4e82…
11-11 06:27:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xda4ef8…
11-11 06:26:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0x50af3a…
11-11 06:26:10	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FUT Esports	SELL	350	16¢	$56	0xa61f8e…
11-11 06:25:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x27cb2e…
11-11 06:25:09	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FUT Esports	BUY	350	17¢	$60	0x9942be…
11-11 06:24:43	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	13¢	$52	0xbb5673…
11-11 06:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	48	35¢	$17	0xf6e702…
11-11 06:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	48	53¢	$26	0x1ce49f…
11-11 06:19:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	No	SELL	800	3¢	$25	0x8d56bf…
11-11 05:14:34	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	155	14¢	$22	0x510f9b…
11-11 05:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	150	48¢	$73	0x22448e…
11-11 04:37:34	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	95	20¢	$19	0xd96c2e…
11-11 04:32:48	Magic vs. Kings: O/U 217.5	Over	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xcdb244…
11-11 04:32:15	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	BUY	150	55¢	$82	0xb5d0f9…
11-11 04:04:31	Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xcd0b20…
11-11 03:30:09	Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5	Under	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x44c5ab…
11-11 03:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x4e8c19…
11-11 03:26:12	Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5	Under	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x23d72f…
11-11 03:19:24	Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5	Over	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0xf018a3…
11-11 03:19:24	Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xea9825…
11-11 03:19:22	Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5	Over	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x6bb4f1…
11-11 03:18:51	nba mia uta 2026 11 10 4q spread home 2pt5	Jazz	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xb07da8…
11-11 03:18:51	nba mia uta 2026 11 10 4q spread home 2pt5	Jazz	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x19bec9…
11-11 03:18:31	nba mia uta 2026 11 10 3q spread home 1pt5	Jazz	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x5a8de8…
11-11 03:04:01	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Legacy	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xa2f941…
11-11 02:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xd382f0…
11-11 02:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xcc7e8f…
11-11 02:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xac0e87…
11-11 02:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x6e5946…
11-11 02:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6e589a…
11-11 02:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x5d75fb…
11-11 02:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x195c75…
11-11 02:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x2f6f58…
11-11 02:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x7f1e7f…
11-11 02:25:45	Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5	Under	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xb6528e…
11-11 02:06:43	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Legacy	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x3ea110…
11-11 02:04:48	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xfc573a…
11-11 02:02:21	Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 199.5	Under	BUY	50	39¢	$19	0xc4c32a…
11-10 19:18:46	Counter-Strike: Isurus vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage	Isurus	BUY	114	61¢	$70	0xc7cd3a…
11-10 18:59:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	No	BUY	800	7¢	$56	0xc4d041…
11-10 18:54:48	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	350	2¢	$6	0x51f436…
11-10 18:38:48	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	18¢	$17	0xb633f2…
11-10 17:03:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x36aac6…
11-10 14:56:30	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	99	15¢	$15	0xee49b4…
11-10 14:56:16	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	150	15¢	$22	0x75b022…
11-10 13:33:06	Ethereum above 2,120 on November 10, 9AM ET?	Yes	SELL	446	0¢	$0	0xe7d33a…
11-10 13:30:28	Bitcoin above 73,600 on November 10, 9AM ET?	No	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0xff20f2…
11-10 13:30:25	Ethereum above 2,070 on November 10, 9AM ET?	No	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0xf818a2…
11-10 13:30:25	Ethereum above 2,070 on November 10, 9AM ET?	No	SELL	121	44¢	$53	0xf21798…
11-10 13:30:25	Ethereum above 2,070 on November 10, 9AM ET?	No	SELL	133	44¢	$59	0xec42d7…
11-10 13:30:25	Ethereum above 2,070 on November 10, 9AM ET?	No	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0xa55256…