Infinite-Lily — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$5.30K

Unrealized P&L

-$64

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved (90d)

2,988

Trades (90d)

10,565

31,509 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$212.4K

$539.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$55

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 19:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 298 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 57% +$8,330

Other

15% 46% +$1,056

Sports

3% 47% +$276

Politics

1% 28% -$468

Tech

0% 67% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 641 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	Butterfly	—	+130	$72	42¢	$54	-$18	11-05 19:01
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-05?	No	—	+50	$16	2¢	$1	-$15	11-05 18:23
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	—	+51	$31	1¢	$1	-$31	11-05 18:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	57	$3.0K	10,695	10,995	-300	Yes	+$87	06-14 16:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	14	$1.7K	1,749	1,749	+0	Yes	+$286	10-09 08:10
bitcoin above 62k on july 9 2026	31	$1.2K	2,482	1,802	+680	Yes	+$7	07-09 02:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	16	$1.2K	1,210	1,210	+0	No	+$696	06-01 15:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	18	$1.1K	1,086	1,086	+0	Yes	+$138	10-20 14:04
bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	7	$1.0K	1,066	1,066	+0	Yes	+$172	07-10 15:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	6	$944	1,251	601	+650	No	-$127	10-06 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6PM ET	16	$941	810	810	+0	Up	+$367	09-11 22:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	8	$927	833	833	+0	Yes	+$236	09-22 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	12	$875	698	698	+0	Down	+$111	09-08 15:59
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	3	$776	650	650	+0	France	+$326	07-09 21:32
bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	16	$746	681	681	+0	Yes	+$189	06-07 22:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?	6	$728	700	700	+0	Yes	+$280	09-30 12:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25?	3	$683	500	500	+0	No	+$137	09-23 17:05
bitcoin above 64k on june 24 2026	10	$680	660	660	+0	No	+$372	06-23 16:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	3	$671	550	550	+0	No	+$330	10-06 15:00
bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	7	$668	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$136	07-24 13:53
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	10	$658	450	450	+0	No	+$143	08-28 16:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	20	$649	9,004	705	+8,299	Yes	-$124	02-02 21:41
bitcoin above 64k on june 21 2026	11	$630	650	650	+0	Yes	-$32	06-21 15:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	6	$620	552	552	+0	No	+$209	05-30 20:46
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	3	$619	267	534	-267	Aurora Gaming	+$181	10-11 13:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	4	$612	432	432	+0	Yes	+$153	06-03 10:36
will sp 500 spx close over 6600 on the final trading day of march 2026	4	$609	453	453	+0	No	+$89	03-27 13:32
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	5	$602	516	509	+8	Yes	+$16	03-23 03:01
spx up or down on july 10 2026	6	$600	580	580	+0	Up	+$13	07-10 15:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	7	$588	530	530	+0	Yes	+$117	10-26 14:53
bitcoin above 64k on august 12 2026	7	$577	549	549	+0	No	+$127	08-12 13:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 29?	5	$577	450	450	+0	No	+$143	09-29 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	4	$573	425	425	+0	Up	+$133	10-21 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 19:01:25	Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	Butterfly	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x171cc6…
11-05 19:00:37	Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	Butterfly	BUY	125	55¢	$69	0xa7140e…
11-05 19:00:07	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	50¢	$75	0x45c980…
11-05 18:24:12	Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	51	61¢	$31	0xf55298…
11-05 18:23:43	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xbaf55b…
11-05 18:22:19	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	50¢	$35	0x096161…
11-05 18:19:04	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x47d281…
11-05 12:46:46	Counter-Strike: ILLYRIANS vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group A	ILLYRIANS	BUY	65	71¢	$46	0xdf2306…
11-05 05:42:09	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	57¢	$142	0x0f1776…
11-04 17:21:13	Fenerbahçe SK to score first vs. Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x3e6689…
11-04 16:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0xd896f1…
11-04 16:49:49	Fenerbahçe SK to score first vs. Liverpool FC?	Yes	SELL	80	32¢	$25	0x633dea…
11-04 16:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xe0f54c…
11-04 16:48:07	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0x34ebf9…
11-04 16:14:13	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x2b40a3…
11-04 16:13:57	Fenerbahçe SK to score first vs. Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	80	33¢	$26	0xc8b37b…
11-04 16:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38	93¢	$36	0xf54d34…
11-04 16:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0xeefe31…
11-04 16:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xa00eaa…
11-04 15:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	67	50¢	$34	0x400e50…
11-04 15:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	41	31¢	$13	0x13c5c4…
11-04 15:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfafd22…
11-04 15:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x95dbfa…
11-04 15:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x6a943b…
11-04 15:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x3d3dd8…
11-04 15:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0x3bbf34…
11-04 15:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1fb216…
11-04 15:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf90ef3…
11-04 15:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xb8c79b…
11-04 15:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x72eded…
11-04 15:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0xd90325…
11-04 15:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x98f493…
11-04 14:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	41	52¢	$21	0x70c5d3…
11-04 14:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	55	31¢	$17	0x19abe0…
11-04 14:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0x8f28f1…
11-04 14:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xdc63ad…
11-04 14:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0xc7af9d…
11-04 14:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x1fd56f…
11-04 14:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xb19fb9…
11-04 14:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa9b4ff…
11-04 13:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	61	11¢	$7	0x218e22…
11-04 13:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0xf97d6d…
11-04 13:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0xe40cb6…
11-04 13:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x4e21d5…
11-04 13:08:01	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	48	22¢	$10	0x4e3953…
11-04 13:07:40	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	54	47¢	$26	0x3abbce…
11-04 12:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x190e14…
11-04 12:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	37	67¢	$25	0xcaa8d4…
11-04 12:48:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x95f5fc…
11-04 12:48:07	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xadabab…
11-04 12:48:07	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x208581…
11-04 12:48:06	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xd07f8f…
11-04 12:48:06	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	61	72¢	$44	0x263883…
11-04 12:47:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x13ba1f…
11-04 12:47:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0x8454a6…
11-04 12:46:58	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	87	12¢	$10	0x7c11f4…
11-04 12:43:12	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0xf99659…
11-04 12:34:22	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x80abd2…
11-04 12:34:22	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0x4dedef…
11-04 12:33:54	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xb4e500…
11-04 12:33:52	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1718a9…
11-04 12:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xfb13c9…
11-04 12:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x744404…
11-04 12:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xbec0d2…
11-04 12:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x461195…
11-04 12:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xb15c28…
11-04 12:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0x08ea8c…
11-04 12:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xdc108a…
11-04 12:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xc93ce5…
11-04 11:48:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	63	38¢	$24	0x3c43f9…
11-04 11:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	45	61¢	$27	0xb4b8b3…
11-04 11:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0x7583d3…
11-04 11:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x66be00…
11-04 11:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	74¢	$33	0x870593…
11-04 11:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb04e50…
11-04 11:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xe624c5…
11-04 11:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xdcd3f3…
11-04 11:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x8834cc…
11-04 11:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x7dee38…
11-04 11:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x7b74e2…
11-04 11:38:46	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x437677…
11-04 11:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	65	43¢	$28	0xa9912c…
11-04 11:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0xe708b4…
11-04 11:31:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x92d63c…
11-04 11:29:42	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x496bd0…
11-04 11:28:54	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x56ec84…
11-04 11:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	64¢	$22	0x9f4bee…
11-04 11:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x91f9a1…
11-04 11:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf26755…
11-04 11:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xb457fd…
11-04 11:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x9b18a9…
11-04 11:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x2782a6…
11-04 11:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfd6a33…
11-04 11:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x857e83…
11-04 11:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x73f600…
11-04 11:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb4ad48…
11-04 11:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	42¢	$14	0x8f1af6…
11-04 10:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0x2dd670…
11-04 10:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa7add9…
11-04 10:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6816d2…