Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.28K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

2,607

Trades

14,169

lifetime

Volume

$118.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$50

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-18

last 10-16 03:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 56% +$1,483

Other

3% 47% -$199

Politics

0% 60% -$14

Sports

0% 67% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 4129 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	No		+50	$34	70¢	$35	+$0	10-08 05:35
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes		+50	$18	30¢	$15	-$3	10-08 05:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 05:45 UTC	55	$919	1,463	0	+1,463	Down	-$8	10-04 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 00:25 UTC	22	$831	1,486	0	+1,486	Down	-$502	09-28 00:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:15 UTC	129	$686	911	241	+670	Down	-$16	09-29 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	17	$642	1,236	0	+1,236	Down	+$127	10-04 04:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:35 UTC	41	$641	1,455	0	+1,455	Down	+$2	09-27 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:20 UTC	98	$633	1,197	0	+1,197	Down	-$24	09-27 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	59	$575	1,158	66	+1,092	Up	+$186	10-12 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 11:00 UTC	78	$542	1,063	0	+1,063	Down	-$37	09-27 11:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 19:00 UTC	16	$540	832	0	+832	Down	-$72	09-27 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:15 UTC	93	$536	1,152	0	+1,152	Down	+$252	09-27 10:19
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 5pm et	27	$527	1,227	0	+1,227	Up	+$6	09-27 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:20 UTC	32	$496	917	0	+917	Up	-$114	10-04 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:30 UTC	7	$489	806	0	+806	Down	+$73	09-27 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1AM ET	85	$481	889	0	+889	Down	-$51	10-06 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:30 UTC	9	$473	590	0	+590	Down	-$44	09-27 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	4	$459	514	514	+0	Up	+$43	10-07 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11AM ET	64	$458	885	0	+885	Down	+$59	10-04 15:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:55 UTC	34	$431	555	57	+497	Down	-$69	10-04 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 11:10 UTC	68	$421	965	0	+965	Down	+$9	09-27 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	38	$414	1,023	0	+1,023	Up	-$414	10-07 23:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	14	$410	1,290	110	+1,180	Up	-$390	10-15 00:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 19:15 UTC	18	$407	789	0	+789	Down	+$230	09-27 19:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:00 UTC	37	$400	1,141	111	+1,030	Up	+$1	09-30 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	52	$399	810	48	+762	Up	+$122	10-03 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 15:15 UTC	20	$396	898	0	+898	Up	+$72	09-27 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 01:15 UTC	13	$394	640	0	+640	Up	-$170	09-28 01:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	12	$386	1,599	0	+1,599	Up	-$386	10-15 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:35 UTC	44	$386	682	0	+682	Down	-$56	09-27 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:15 UTC	11	$384	628	0	+628	Down	+$9	09-27 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:00 UTC	3	$382	480	0	+480	Up	+$92	09-27 21:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 03:13:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	1¢	$2	0x6c4e29…
10-16 03:13:57	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x036d83…
10-16 03:13:55	Will Trump say "Dad" or "Daddy" this week?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xe047a1…
10-16 03:13:55	Will Chainlink dip to $4 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	1¢	$1	0xb09443…
10-16 03:13:55	Will AVAX dip to $5 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x050ed7…
10-16 03:13:54	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xe74879…
10-16 03:13:54	Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	2,480	0¢	$11	0x5376ad…
10-16 03:13:51	Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	78¢	$44	0xd824f1…
10-16 03:13:51	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	543	8¢	$43	0x4b2614…
10-15 02:35:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	216	17¢	$37	0x6f3597…
10-15 02:35:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	376	22¢	$83	0xf3b9b9…
10-15 02:35:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf2a34f…
10-15 02:34:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	364	24¢	$87	0xf9804c…
10-15 02:34:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	75	19¢	$14	0xf38540…
10-15 02:34:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	48	20¢	$10	0x5de379…
10-15 02:34:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	81	20¢	$16	0x5d1ba6…
10-15 02:34:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	20¢	$6	0x1ab112…
10-15 02:33:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xfbd5ea…
10-15 02:33:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	185	21¢	$39	0x1e8203…
10-15 02:29:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x958b4f…
10-15 02:29:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	187	46¢	$86	0xcd7c56…
10-15 02:27:43	will trump say slob in october 20261031	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xeadd2a…
10-15 02:27:32	will trump say slob in october 20261031	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x522195…
10-15 02:13:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xcbef94…
10-15 02:13:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xeed8ea…
10-15 02:13:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xf686b6…
10-15 02:13:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x8ee1b4…
10-15 02:13:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xc65060…
10-15 02:13:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x921bff…
10-15 02:13:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x089db7…
10-15 02:13:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xe72928…
10-15 02:13:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xdc3e32…
10-15 02:13:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x43e966…
10-15 02:13:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xeb6893…
10-15 02:13:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xc3d534…
10-15 02:13:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x0a7963…
10-15 02:12:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xd21250…
10-15 02:11:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xabd9c1…
10-15 02:11:32	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x435760…
10-15 02:11:29	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9de41a…
10-15 02:11:28	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xae5c81…
10-15 02:11:23	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2408ac…
10-15 02:08:13	will trump say si during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc608c8…
10-15 02:08:07	will trump say si during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6174c2…
10-15 02:07:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xe65015…
10-15 02:07:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x8b0a5e…
10-15 02:06:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x7251e3…
10-15 02:06:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x954641…
10-15 02:06:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x670299…
10-15 02:06:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x3397d8…
10-15 02:06:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xd8ebde…
10-15 02:06:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x8fb066…
10-15 02:06:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1e09e9…
10-15 02:06:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0e4306…
10-15 02:06:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xfeb234…
10-15 02:06:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x4acbd6…
10-15 02:06:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xfce17e…
10-15 02:06:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x3270a5…
10-15 02:06:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x94f6ee…
10-15 01:56:05	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x6083d3…
10-15 01:55:56	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe8b6fa…
10-15 01:55:20	will trump say tariff during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x668a06…
10-15 01:55:13	will trump say tariff during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0xdaba27…
10-15 01:50:04	will trump say iran during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xa3cc51…
10-15 01:49:58	will trump say iran during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xfaf4ad…
10-15 01:49:47	will trump say iran during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x5f8c83…
10-15 00:58:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xa08742…
10-15 00:57:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x1b449a…
10-15 00:57:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xef075b…
10-15 00:57:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x73366a…
10-15 00:57:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xd08d18…
10-15 00:56:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x0d2669…
10-15 00:12:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x86c15d…
10-15 00:11:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	108	9¢	$10	0xb6be6a…
10-15 00:09:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	239	37¢	$88	0xcdc95b…
10-15 00:08:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	329	33¢	$108	0xe33946…
10-15 00:08:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0xe18d6b…
10-15 00:08:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	283	33¢	$93	0xdc67e1…
10-15 00:08:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0x14d6a5…
10-15 00:08:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	278	24¢	$66	0xff3ae7…
10-15 00:08:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0x66ad82…
10-15 00:08:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xbdb4b1…
10-15 00:08:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xbd8edb…
10-15 00:07:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xde1da8…
10-15 00:07:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x699cc6…
10-15 00:07:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2ce4b1…
10-14 21:24:36	will trump say border during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x59e32d…
10-14 21:24:27	will trump say border during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8276ca…
10-14 07:07:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	333	20¢	$68	0x8466aa…
10-14 07:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	118	21¢	$24	0x835217…
10-14 07:07:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	181	56¢	$102	0x73dd66…
10-14 07:07:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	44	60¢	$27	0x230b8a…
10-14 07:06:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	226	52¢	$117	0xece17b…
10-14 01:43:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0xf2e0d0…
10-14 01:43:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xf0ac35…
10-14 01:43:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x7e03a5…
10-14 01:43:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6ccb23…
10-14 01:43:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	81	52¢	$42	0x0d803d…
10-14 01:43:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xcb1748…
10-14 01:43:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa5f6fd…