Jam-Packed-Recording — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$153

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

1,277

Trades

2,281

lifetime

Volume

$18.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$54

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-27 05:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 89% -$156

Politics

10% 74% +$44

Other

10% 51% -$41

Sports

2% 52% -$3

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	—	+25	$25	98¢	$25	$0	10-27 06:19
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No		-10	-$9	97¢	$-10	-$1	05-01 18:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-10	-$7	82¢	$-8	-$1	05-01 19:30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		-10	-$7	66¢	$-7	+$0	10-05 02:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes		-10	-$3	26¢	$-3	+$0	10-05 02:43
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-20	-$1	11¢	$-2	-$1	10-05 23:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in san francisco on april 14 2026 60 61f	33	$296	188	206	-18	Yes	+$8	04-15 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	6	$201	119	119	+0	Down	-$3	10-18 17:09
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	6	$192	100	100	+0	Yes	+$7	04-24 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	5	$128	121	81	+40	Down	-$36	10-18 17:33
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	10	$119	83	83	+0	No	+$0	07-07 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$108	80	40	+40	Down	+$8	10-18 17:28
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	8	$106	110	10	+100	Yes	+$2	04-18 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$86	46	46	+0	Up	+$2	10-18 17:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$85	65	65	+0	No	+$5	07-07 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	6	$81	60	60	+0	Up	-$2	10-19 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	8	$78	54	54	+0	Down	+$2	10-19 23:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$77	50	50	+0	No	+$5	04-23 23:51
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	6	$75	46	46	+0	Down	+$1	10-20 23:07
highest temperature in san francisco on april 20 2026 64 65f	6	$73	40	40	+0	Yes	+$7	04-21 01:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	11	$72	40	40	+0	No	+$2	06-26 18:38
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 20 2026	7	$66	40	40	-0	Yes	+$4	06-20 11:00
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	11	$64	42	42	+0	Yes	+$3	04-14 02:46
highest temperature in san francisco on april 14 2026 58 59f	22	$63	120	80	+40	No	-$22	04-14 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$60	60	0	+60	Up	+$0	10-26 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$59	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	10-26 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$59	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	10-26 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:40 UTC	2	$55	41	41	+0	Up	+$16	10-17 22:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:30 UTC	2	$53	30	30	+0	Up	-$6	10-17 04:34
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$53	40	40	+0	Down	-$4	10-20 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$53	43	43	+0	Up	+$4	10-18 16:42
highest temperature in seattle on april 21 2026 58 59f	5	$52	60	0	+60	Yes	+$8	04-22 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$50	41	41	+0	Down	-$2	10-18 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	6	$48	33	33	+0	Down	+$1	10-18 21:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:30 UTC	2	$47	30	30	+0	Down	+$8	10-17 23:30
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 26 2026	5	$47	50	10	+40	Yes	-$1	06-26 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xef4941…
10-27 06:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xec8958…
10-27 06:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe2bb0c…
10-27 05:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xba2a47…
10-27 05:48:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x03f87d…
10-27 05:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x884c8e…
10-27 05:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd2a51d…
10-27 05:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xac7bee…
10-27 05:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xaab62a…
10-27 05:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7d4a4f…
10-27 05:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x56321f…
10-27 04:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x75cd5d…
10-27 04:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0f732e…
10-27 04:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x97da59…
10-27 04:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x23dfa1…
10-27 04:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x896032…
10-27 04:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x221a61…
10-27 04:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf112f9…
10-27 03:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x584677…
10-27 03:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4e5759…
10-27 03:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x11013d…
10-27 03:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x4da6b9…
10-27 03:03:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f8feb…
10-27 03:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x78c3d5…
10-27 02:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x57d664…
10-27 02:49:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x772bee…
10-27 02:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x781570…
10-27 02:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfc81d9…
10-27 02:43:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x27a95c…
10-27 02:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3c16b6…
10-27 02:23:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa407a…
10-27 02:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x27c106…
10-27 02:13:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7e6fb…
10-27 01:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc10caa…
10-27 01:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbb6f49…
10-27 01:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x30c261…
10-27 01:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa53634…
10-27 01:18:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd4f72e…
10-27 01:14:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x53c08c…
10-27 00:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x74b1ee…
10-27 00:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf3d3f6…
10-27 00:54:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xce6726…
10-27 00:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb3eaf4…
10-27 00:29:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x87a526…
10-27 00:13:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x413df0…
10-26 22:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x7afcdc…
10-26 22:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x43104c…
10-26 22:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x59cb1b…
10-26 22:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x489bb2…
10-26 22:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xabd8f8…
10-26 22:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xbfae9f…
10-26 22:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x0f0e5e…
10-26 21:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb0d2e7…
10-26 21:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x34a132…
10-26 21:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x8fce8a…
10-26 21:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1a26e2…
10-26 20:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xef821d…
10-26 20:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xbe6069…
10-26 20:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x994969…
10-26 20:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd2e098…
10-26 20:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x58c949…
10-26 20:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6ab8e3…
10-26 20:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5ffc8c…
10-26 20:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x046ce4…
10-26 19:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x7392b7…
10-26 19:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3f3d3a…
10-26 19:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x67c39e…
10-26 19:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x25aa76…
10-26 19:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe5eb98…
10-26 19:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x77a681…
10-26 18:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8ecee3…
10-26 18:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x706c3c…
10-26 18:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x951120…
10-26 18:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe99ae3…
10-26 17:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x51eba8…
10-26 17:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x845ff3…
10-26 17:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4fd4b3…
10-26 16:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9404b9…
10-26 16:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6de965…
10-26 16:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x599836…
10-26 15:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe0039e…
10-26 15:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x231361…
10-26 15:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x651c4b…
10-26 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x72bb08…
10-26 15:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf151db…
10-26 14:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3c7234…
10-26 10:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf456e4…
10-26 10:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x1c634e…
10-26 10:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xd3ee7d…
10-26 10:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3ac15b…
10-26 09:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x8429b0…
10-26 09:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x50afa8…
10-26 09:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x4628fa…
10-26 09:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0d253c…
10-26 09:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5d4d02…
10-26 09:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e82a4…
10-26 09:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x57ae51…
10-26 09:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfc5e9a…
10-26 09:14:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x3b368b…
10-26 09:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe4e54c…