Political-Raisin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$168

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

429

lifetime

Volume

$1.24M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.88K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-13 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 94% -$402

Other

1% 44% -$817

Politics

0% 100% +$1,427

Sports

0% 94% -$40

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	11	$32.8K	32,801	+32,801	Yes	+$33	05-26 15:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	3	$32.7K	32,767	+32,767	Yes	+$33	05-14 14:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 7?	1	$32.7K	32,708	+32,708	Yes	+$33	05-07 09:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 27?	1	$32.7K	32,701	+32,701	Yes	+$33	04-27 17:03
bitcoin above 72k on june 26 2026	27	$32.7K	32,684	+32,684	No	+$33	06-26 10:01
bitcoin above 66k on april 21	12	$32.6K	32,669	+32,669	Yes	+$33	04-21 09:04
bitcoin above 76k on june 24 2026	6	$32.6K	32,644	+32,644	No	+$33	06-24 07:42
bitcoin above 52k on june 17 2026	3	$32.6K	32,611	+32,611	Yes	+$33	06-17 15:25
bitcoin above 58k on april 8	22	$31.8K	31,872	+31,872	Yes	+$32	04-08 18:29
bitcoin above 56k on april 7	7	$31.1K	31,166	+31,166	Yes	+$31	04-07 15:30
bitcoin above 80k on march 28	4	$31.1K	31,145	+31,145	No	+$31	03-28 14:13
bitcoin above 60k on march 26	2	$31.1K	31,114	+31,114	Yes	+$31	03-26 09:49
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	1	$31.0K	31,044	+31,044	Yes	+$31	03-13 03:48
bitcoin above 58k on march 4	1	$31.0K	31,023	+31,023	Yes	+$31	03-04 10:47
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	3	$31.0K	30,992	+30,992	Yes	+$31	03-03 03:13
bitcoin above 76k on february 19	2	$30.9K	30,947	+30,947	No	+$31	02-19 13:15
bitcoin above 76k on february 18	1	$30.9K	30,916	+30,916	No	+$31	02-18 12:15
bitcoin above 80k on february 15	8	$30.8K	30,879	+30,879	No	+$31	02-15 07:34
bitcoin above 78k on february 12	30	$30.8K	30,848	+30,848	No	+$34	02-12 12:37
bitcoin above 94k on february 6	5	$30.8K	30,807	+30,807	No	+$31	02-06 08:27
bitcoin above 82k on january 16	1	$30.7K	30,777	+30,777	Yes	+$31	01-16 15:58
bitcoin above 104k on january 12	1	$30.7K	30,746	+30,746	No	+$31	01-12 04:22
bitcoin above 78k on january 8	4	$30.7K	30,716	+30,716	Yes	+$31	01-08 04:38
bitcoin above 100k on january 30	1	$30.7K	30,710	+30,710	No	+$31	01-30 08:10
bitcoin above 98k on february 3	1	$30.6K	30,676	+30,676	No	+$31	02-03 11:08
bitcoin above 78k on january 5	5	$30.6K	30,673	+30,673	Yes	+$31	01-05 19:04
bitcoin above 56k on april 9	9	$30.6K	30,673	+30,673	Yes	+$31	04-09 19:30
bitcoin above 98k on february 2	1	$30.6K	30,646	+30,646	No	+$31	02-02 09:47
bitcoin above 78k on january 4	4	$30.6K	30,642	+30,642	Yes	+$31	01-04 05:06
bitcoin above 78k on january 3	3	$30.6K	30,612	+30,612	Yes	+$31	01-03 11:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 17:44:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,361	63¢	$1,488	0x81ac24…
07-13 17:24:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x3c1d97…
07-13 17:24:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x5ad6e9…
07-13 17:24:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0x19173c…
07-13 17:22:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,393	63¢	$878	0x8b2cda…
07-13 17:11:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	61	62¢	$38	0x60d753…
07-13 16:23:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x32349c…
07-13 16:23:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x80ccb7…
07-13 16:23:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa68c73…
07-13 15:27:26	bitcoin above 54k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	6,000	100¢	$5,994	0x9f4cc2…
07-13 15:07:50	bitcoin above 54k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x150018…
07-13 15:07:23	bitcoin above 54k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x7705ca…
07-13 14:25:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0xcb95b7…
07-13 13:01:38	bitcoin above 54k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb9357e…
07-13 11:31:01	bitcoin above 54k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0xc8881d…
07-13 09:48:55	bitcoin above 54k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x7e40c1…
07-13 08:32:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	77¢	$231	0x11aaae…
07-13 07:23:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	77¢	$231	0xcac06d…
07-13 04:20:10	bitcoin above 54k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb3320a…
07-13 03:32:25	bitcoin above 54k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x439c7e…
07-13 03:29:43	bitcoin above 54k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd21e68…
07-13 00:58:56	bitcoin above 54k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x753b6d…
07-12 23:26:32	bitcoin above 54k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,057	100¢	$1,056	0x03f153…
07-12 03:38:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	174	77¢	$134	0x26642d…
07-12 01:53:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc75a2a…
07-12 01:52:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x255d1a…
07-12 01:52:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0xcf8b2b…
07-12 01:52:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x9de4c5…
07-12 01:47:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xeee6fd…
07-12 01:41:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x0e87ed…
07-12 00:51:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2155ca…
07-12 00:29:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0xe53921…
07-12 00:29:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	180	77¢	$138	0xbdf0b4…
07-11 22:32:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x99812d…
07-11 06:41:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0x1a6669…
07-10 15:51:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x3d6c08…
07-10 13:12:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x7e55fc…
07-10 12:22:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x3a130e…
07-10 07:05:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xa98ab2…
07-09 17:09:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xce0623…
07-09 17:08:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xdd68f1…
07-09 06:50:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x6fbb77…
07-09 06:48:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	79¢	$237	0xb93ac2…
07-09 03:55:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xb6eaf0…
07-09 03:51:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0x53963b…
07-08 18:01:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xa559c9…
07-08 17:25:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x0fc528…
07-08 15:10:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x451503…
07-08 12:57:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xf18862…
07-08 12:08:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x64d6b0…
07-08 06:35:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xb76700…
07-07 18:50:05	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0xdcb114…
07-07 18:49:40	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x57256c…
07-07 18:49:25	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	SELL	227	78¢	$177	0x716fee…
07-07 17:53:52	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	108	76¢	$82	0xfcaac6…
07-07 15:26:17	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xd5f217…
07-07 11:55:44	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x5aa10b…
07-07 11:54:58	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xfc4513…
07-07 08:33:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x3aab19…
07-06 17:54:31	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	Yes	SELL	805	0¢	$2	0x9977d4…
07-06 17:06:22	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xcf1243…
07-06 17:05:46	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x883524…
07-06 16:34:34	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xef5ce3…
07-06 15:24:56	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x2e2ea9…
07-06 14:49:20	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	Yes	SELL	210	0¢	$0	0xef7ed2…
07-06 13:57:19	bitcoin above 50k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x446fd0…
07-06 13:28:19	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	Yes	SELL	156	0¢	$0	0x902850…
07-06 13:14:59	bitcoin above 50k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	952	100¢	$951	0x8db7b2…
07-06 06:47:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$50	0x508f2b…
07-06 00:45:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	138	35¢	$48	0x699d47…
07-05 13:16:13	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 30 july 6	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x667aae…
07-05 12:03:29	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xa5bf52…
07-05 12:03:10	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x8f3293…
07-05 04:28:22	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x8f721f…
07-04 19:52:58	bitcoin above 50k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	309	100¢	$308	0xd57549…
07-04 19:52:50	bitcoin above 50k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x0be44f…
07-04 19:52:38	bitcoin above 50k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb95de1…
07-04 19:52:07	bitcoin above 50k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xc69cf5…
07-04 19:51:41	bitcoin above 50k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xad4a24…
07-04 19:51:32	bitcoin above 50k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x14d6d4…
07-04 19:51:26	bitcoin above 50k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6,202	100¢	$6,196	0x04b1dc…
07-04 16:29:56	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xf7d25f…
07-03 20:33:10	bitcoin above 50k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xd02e3a…
07-03 20:25:05	bitcoin above 50k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xbf1771…
07-03 20:24:55	bitcoin above 50k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xf239cd…
07-03 20:24:47	bitcoin above 50k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xb6c800…
07-03 20:21:50	bitcoin above 50k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	371	100¢	$370	0xfac196…
07-03 07:52:29	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xf48910…
07-02 11:44:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xb5f745…
07-02 11:43:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3e5490…
07-02 11:43:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcc8bf3…
07-02 11:42:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2225fd…
07-02 08:32:25	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xb2b6f6…
07-02 08:32:14	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x4f56c2…
07-02 08:32:04	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xc5e0ff…
07-02 08:31:53	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x4cd875…
07-02 08:31:44	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x0be0b4…
07-02 08:31:34	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7866e3…
07-02 08:31:23	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe82f4f…
07-02 08:31:13	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xecb232…