Realized P&L
+$286
Unrealized P&L
+$56
Hit rate
78.0%
Resolved
39
Trades
433
lifetime
Volume
$9.24K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$399
13 positions
First seen
2026-09-11
last 11-10 05:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
60% 65% +$343
Politics
39% 33% -$24
Crypto
0% 0% -$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $61 64¢ $64 +$4 11-09 21:52
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,013 $56 2¢ $62 +$6 11-06 16:51
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $32 5¢ $52 +$20 11-04 23:22
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,207 $43 2¢ $41 -$2 11-09 11:21
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026? Yes +180 $47 22¢ $39 -$8 11-06 09:14
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,275 $38 1¢ $35 -$3 11-08 20:56
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,169 $24 1¢ $34 +$10 11-04 18:08
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 15% and 18% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +80 $14 33¢ $26 +$12 11-09 21:10
Will Marine Le Pen receive between 31% and 34% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +56 $14 32¢ $18 +$4 11-09 20:31
Will Marine Le Pen receive between 34% and 37% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $12 31¢ $16 +$4 11-09 20:31
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 18% and 21% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $3 33¢ $7 +$3 11-09 21:10
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 12% and 15% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +19 $1 34¢ $6 +$5 11-09 21:10
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.30T and $1.45T at the end of December 2026? Yes +3 -$1 30¢ $1 +$2 11-07 20:54