Misguided-Maker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$389

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

455

Trades

1,151

lifetime

Volume

$79.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 09-02 05:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 51% -$863

Sports

24% 46% +$935

Other

18% 33% -$466

Politics

0% 58% +$2

Tech

0% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$6.7K	31,484	31,484	+0	No	-$531	07-03 05:05
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	6	$5.3K	9,578	9,578	+0	Knicks	+$1,850	06-11 03:35
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	3	$2.9K	3,164	1,897	+1,267	No	-$741	06-14 03:55
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$2.6K	7,982	7,982	+0	No	-$9	06-13 10:35
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	2	$1.9K	1,503	1,503	+0	Spurs	+$646	06-09 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	15	$1.8K	1,421	1,421	+0	Down	-$27	05-26 07:08
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$1.6K	4,839	4,839	+0	Yes	+$13	06-13 10:51
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	3	$1.6K	1,367	1,367	+0	No	$0	06-13 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:05 UTC	2	$1.4K	990	990	+0	Up	+$531	06-13 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	8	$1.4K	977	977	+0	Up	+$373	05-26 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	8	$1.3K	1,012	1,012	+0	Down	+$331	05-26 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	7	$1.2K	1,619	1,480	+139	Down	+$314	06-02 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 03:30 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,202	1,202	+0	Up	-$174	06-14 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	8	$1.1K	1,106	865	+242	Down	+$172	05-26 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	4	$1.1K	1,147	897	+250	Down	+$26	06-02 03:11
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?	3	$1.1K	2,736	2,273	+463	No	-$115	06-14 01:44
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	1	$1000	1,639	0	+1,639	Knicks	-$1,000	06-14 00:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 04:45 UTC	4	$988	1,015	1,015	+0	Up	+$188	07-04 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	8	$875	1,028	445	+583	Up	+$358	05-26 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	4	$856	757	757	+0	Down	+$156	06-02 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	8	$841	1,004	946	+58	Up	+$161	06-02 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$837	615	615	+0	Down	+$237	05-31 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	6	$785	638	638	+0	Down	+$235	05-26 07:03
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	2	$753	509	509	+0	Yes	+$264	06-13 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	5	$746	648	573	+75	Up	+$113	05-26 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$721	485	485	+0	Down	+$221	05-31 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	7	$704	815	684	+132	Up	+$4	05-26 07:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:25 UTC	3	$697	619	619	+0	Down	+$197	06-30 07:27
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	6	$576	596	596	+0	Yes	+$76	07-01 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	6	$563	379	379	+0	Down	+$63	05-26 06:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 05:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xb3b242…
09-02 05:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0xf46ba0…
09-02 05:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	45	19¢	$8	0xe8bf63…
09-02 05:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	443	23¢	$100	0x7c0455…
09-02 05:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	430	12¢	$50	0x887610…
09-02 05:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x96d118…
09-02 05:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	205	15¢	$30	0x578c1b…
09-02 05:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x4ed03f…
09-02 05:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	86	66¢	$57	0x5f83a1…
09-02 05:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x01e6de…
08-04 11:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	147	12¢	$18	0x565d56…
08-04 11:15:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	635	32¢	$200	0x91f7da…
08-04 11:12:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	165	34¢	$57	0x75f627…
08-04 11:12:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	444	18¢	$80	0x6f0cbe…
08-04 11:10:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xcb64ce…
08-04 11:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	233	4¢	$9	0xec08e2…
08-04 11:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xdb47d6…
08-04 11:05:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa566f0…
08-04 11:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	80	66¢	$53	0xf2d7c0…
08-04 11:03:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x1b5b14…
08-04 11:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	62	29¢	$18	0x98282d…
08-04 11:02:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x84fc86…
08-04 11:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	78¢	$15	0xe2ffe7…
08-04 10:59:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0fcf1e…
08-04 10:58:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:55 UTC	Up	SELL	151	87¢	$131	0x87481a…
08-04 10:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0x80ac3c…
08-04 10:50:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xa4f22f…
08-04 10:48:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x49c81d…
08-04 10:45:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x28a778…
08-04 10:44:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x20927c…
08-04 08:31:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	131	49¢	$64	0x036cc7…
08-04 08:31:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xeeb567…
08-04 08:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xbc3083…
08-04 08:19:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0x8da5d8…
08-04 08:19:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0x964d38…
08-04 08:16:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x6e1428…
08-04 08:13:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x14f835…
08-04 08:07:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 08:05 UTC	Up	SELL	83	42¢	$35	0x3d65b0…
08-04 08:06:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x45141e…
08-04 08:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	140	57¢	$80	0xa1e8b2…
08-04 07:58:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x244e9f…
08-04 07:56:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	163	61¢	$100	0x016c9d…
08-04 07:55:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	163	49¢	$80	0xbf9659…
08-04 07:52:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x6ac594…
08-04 07:49:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x63cfdb…
08-04 07:46:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xd5d85b…
08-04 07:31:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	80	74¢	$59	0xd77164…
08-04 07:31:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xd13df4…
08-04 06:34:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	64	11¢	$7	0x251937…
08-04 06:34:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	95	16¢	$15	0x90aaeb…
08-04 06:34:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	160	13¢	$20	0x9aea87…
08-04 06:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:20 UTC	Down	SELL	56	67¢	$37	0x62acc0…
08-04 06:20:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x70bff9…
08-04 05:55:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:55 UTC	Down	SELL	105	31¢	$33	0x7956ce…
08-04 05:55:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x558336…
08-04 05:51:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x99a7eb…
08-04 05:45:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x7a8c67…
08-04 05:45:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	160	73¢	$117	0x44fdc6…
08-04 05:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x80a32b…
08-04 05:41:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x309c67…
08-04 05:40:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x8dd37b…
08-04 05:33:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x894aa2…
08-04 05:32:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	193	36¢	$69	0xbf3f5d…
08-04 05:31:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x4303e4…
08-04 05:28:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xbe5021…
08-04 05:25:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:25 UTC	Down	SELL	41	67¢	$27	0x6d7786…
08-04 05:24:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x2634dd…
08-04 05:13:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:10 UTC	Down	SELL	39	91¢	$36	0xba1544…
08-04 05:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x5f3d38…
08-03 10:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	80	38¢	$30	0x6a5ea8…
08-03 10:01:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x0d2c49…
08-03 10:00:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	49	66¢	$32	0xdb1947…
08-03 10:00:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	35	70¢	$24	0xdf132b…
08-03 10:00:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x2c3d40…
08-03 10:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x192710…
07-29 06:34:44	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xbdfacb…
07-29 06:33:26	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xcb03f5…
07-29 03:47:44	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xec6bc7…
07-29 03:36:56	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x7f29c1…
07-29 03:36:17	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd140e7…
07-29 03:23:48	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x5879f0…
07-29 03:23:15	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x709055…
07-29 02:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0xc1b590…
07-29 00:51:37	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xc40f27…
07-29 00:51:19	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8ddcd5…
07-29 00:51:01	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x0ea60c…
07-29 00:50:40	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x64aa67…
07-29 00:50:19	Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x034ba6…
07-29 00:50:07	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x98ef21…
07-29 00:49:50	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x42852f…
07-29 00:49:34	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x411717…
07-29 00:49:17	Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?	Yes	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xce5254…
07-29 00:48:58	Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x2a933b…
07-29 00:48:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x0dd62b…
07-29 00:47:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x6822f8…
07-29 00:47:38	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xbe98a5…
07-29 00:47:20	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x23aa37…
07-28 14:09:44	Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x6960e2…
07-28 11:38:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x42535f…
07-28 11:37:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x16945d…