Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

166

Trades

502

lifetime

Volume

$5.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 09-16 06:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 78% -$53

Other

10% 57% -$12

Politics

3% 56% -$10

Sports

3% 0% -$12

Tech

3% 57% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	No		-4	-$3	94¢	$-3	-$1	05-01 11:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 76k on april 16	3	$208	105	105	+0	No	+$1	04-17 02:18
will bitcoin reach 76k on april 15	5	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$2	04-16 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 03:45 UTC	2	$196	100	100	+0	Down	+$2	04-23 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:00 UTC	5	$196	100	100	+0	Down	+$2	04-23 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:10 UTC	2	$196	100	100	+0	Down	+$2	04-23 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 02:00 UTC	4	$196	100	100	+0	Down	+$2	04-23 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:25 UTC	3	$196	100	100	+0	Down	+$2	04-22 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 20:30 UTC	8	$195	100	100	+0	Up	+$3	04-23 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:05 UTC	2	$195	100	100	+0	Up	+$3	04-22 22:09
will solana reach 100 march 16 22	5	$183	100	100	+0	No	+$5	03-20 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 20:30 UTC	4	$176	90	90	+0	Up	+$2	04-21 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:10 UTC	2	$176	90	90	+0	Up	+$2	04-22 02:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:15 UTC	2	$174	90	90	+0	Up	+$2	04-22 02:18
nhl cal col 2026 04 09	8	$168	92	92	+0	Avalanche	-$5	04-10 03:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 19:35 UTC	5	$157	80	80	+0	Down	+$2	04-21 19:38
will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	8	$147	83	83	+0	Yes	+$2	04-19 17:18
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	6	$147	80	80	+0	No	+$3	06-26 19:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:45 UTC	3	$137	70	70	+0	Down	+$1	04-21 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 00:10 UTC	4	$137	70	70	+0	Up	+$1	04-21 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:55 UTC	2	$137	70	70	+0	Down	+$1	04-21 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 23:50 UTC	1	$97	100	0	+100	Down	+$3	04-22 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:45 UTC	4	$97	100	0	+100	Up	+$3	04-23 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:20 UTC	3	$96	100	0	+100	Down	-$96	04-24 00:23
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	5	$93	50	50	+0	No	+$6	03-20 00:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:45 UTC	2	$87	90	0	+90	Down	+$3	04-22 02:49
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	7	$85	48	48	+0	No	-$5	07-25 21:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 23:35 UTC	1	$68	70	0	+70	Up	+$2	04-20 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 00:30 UTC	1	$67	70	0	+70	Up	+$3	04-21 00:34
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	6	$62	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	06-04 19:37
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:15 UTC	2	$59	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	04-24 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 06:14:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0xb147a0…
09-16 05:32:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa33b84…
09-16 04:56:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xbf71b1…
09-10 23:30:10	Will Trump say "Vegan" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x6453f6…
09-07 03:42:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?	No	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0xefce08…
09-06 23:52:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?	No	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x9d01ad…
08-16 23:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x716d87…
08-15 03:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 15?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x798171…
08-15 03:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8f390c…
08-15 02:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x2c17e1…
08-15 02:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x442656…
08-15 02:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x45557a…
08-15 02:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xa26fb8…
08-15 02:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x6954be…
07-27 03:14:06	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0xbeba68…
07-27 03:06:12	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x10403a…
07-27 02:49:46	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x61bfe1…
07-26 22:19:27	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x3de969…
07-26 22:15:55	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x5d1a75…
07-25 21:16:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	31	80¢	$25	0x6b8cb8…
07-25 18:42:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x5f708c…
07-25 10:24:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x5244f3…
07-25 02:52:00	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x48135a…
07-25 02:39:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x9cfa1c…
07-25 02:32:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xcdc52c…
07-25 02:24:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbfd885…
07-25 01:53:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xe5653a…
07-25 01:47:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x5e9926…
07-25 00:44:40	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xff88d7…
07-25 00:01:31	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xd77a60…
07-24 23:54:00	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x51f5c7…
07-23 13:35:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8c55af…
07-23 13:14:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x4ea127…
07-23 03:42:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xb7964f…
07-19 22:12:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x023a9a…
07-18 02:20:58	will anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for fable 5 by july 31 2026 20260713184131618	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xabaaef…
07-18 02:20:48	will anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for fable 5 by july 24 2026 20260713184131617	No	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xb0fd37…
07-18 02:14:51	will anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for fable 5 by july 24 2026 20260713184131617	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x13cc8b…
07-18 02:14:51	will anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for fable 5 by july 31 2026 20260713184131618	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0cad7c…
07-17 23:55:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xfd4372…
07-17 20:38:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xc22d29…
07-17 01:17:50	will trump say maduro during speech to the nation 20260713200621437	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x2d6c8f…
07-17 01:13:25	will trump say maduro during speech to the nation 20260713200621437	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x304e91…
07-17 01:07:17	will trump say maduro during speech to the nation 20260713200621437	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9ed671…
07-11 00:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 10?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xe7c02c…
07-11 00:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf91dd8…
07-11 00:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x094c3f…
07-09 06:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x1a13b5…
07-09 05:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x05e4f1…
07-09 05:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x25640d…
07-09 04:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x771637…
07-09 03:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xc65d7d…
07-09 03:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x33715c…
06-26 20:51:17	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xd7572e…
06-26 19:36:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x448aa7…
06-26 03:55:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	63	93¢	$59	0x8ed205…
06-25 22:57:58	will bitcoin reach 62k on june 25	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x89706c…
06-25 22:10:22	will bitcoin reach 62k on june 25	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xace034…
06-25 22:10:13	will bitcoin reach 62k on june 25	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd12e31…
06-25 22:09:34	will bitcoin reach 62k on june 25	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xa698ae…
06-25 19:25:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	66	90¢	$59	0x63efef…
06-25 19:19:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x16a545…
06-25 19:14:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xee8f08…
06-25 19:06:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8ad3b6…
06-24 20:22:11	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	SELL	33	33¢	$11	0xa1bd64…
06-24 10:37:32	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xfb07c7…
06-24 09:14:14	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xd42dc1…
06-24 05:11:34	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xa0d770…
06-24 02:26:08	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x94d76a…
06-24 00:20:04	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xe885a2…
06-21 17:22:05	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x680561…
06-18 14:53:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x12a6aa…
06-18 14:47:58	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x9139b2…
06-18 14:43:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xcdb732…
06-18 14:42:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xa4b710…
06-18 14:42:29	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x92a603…
06-04 23:34:28	another gta vi trailer released by june 15	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x585491…
06-04 19:37:40	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x91b079…
06-04 18:30:36	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0x31ad0c…
06-04 17:53:09	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x0553ed…
06-04 17:52:57	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xd1bdbb…
06-04 17:02:46	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9e8b35…
06-04 17:01:36	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x5bc526…
06-04 02:57:19	another gta vi trailer released by june 15	Yes	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0x9ac732…
06-03 11:35:47	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe26988…
06-02 01:47:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	104	1¢	$1	0xa4be70…
06-02 01:22:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xa227e6…
06-01 23:20:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x8cb805…
06-01 23:08:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0xff5841…
06-01 22:40:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x52b436…
06-01 19:59:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	46	1¢	$1	0x4a6c4b…
06-01 19:41:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x6265ed…
06-01 13:58:58	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$2	0x3bea22…
06-01 11:55:37	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0xd4f34d…
06-01 00:31:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x6f12fc…
06-01 00:13:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x734ae7…
05-31 23:32:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x56d400…
05-31 23:32:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x380196…
05-31 23:32:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x0acdeb…
05-31 23:28:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0xf20b94…