Insubstantial-Pigeon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$160

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-18 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

100% 67% +$160

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	11	$415	626	+626	No	+$211	05-13 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 19?	7	$282	421	+421	No	+$139	05-17 22:49
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	21	$218	306	+306	Yes	-$218	05-17 00:51
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 14?	3	$174	245	+245	No	+$71	05-13 04:49
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?	38	$153	807	+807	No	-$153	05-13 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?	3	$100	131	+131	No	+$31	05-13 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?	6	$99	163	+163	No	+$63	05-16 23:28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 14?	6	$76	116	+116	No	+$41	05-13 14:57
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 14?	7	$64	83	+83	No	+$19	05-13 05:12
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 19?	1	$58	78	+78	No	+$20	05-17 04:52
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 12?	8	$56	83	+83	No	+$26	05-11 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 17?	2	$51	189	+189	Yes	-$51	05-16 19:50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 17?	4	$51	137	+137	Yes	-$51	05-16 16:17
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 17?	9	$50	88	+88	Yes	-$50	05-16 22:29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 18?	4	$50	81	+81	Yes	-$50	05-17 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 19?	1	$50	78	+78	No	+$27	05-17 23:00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 17?	7	$50	80	+80	Yes	-$50	05-16 19:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?	4	$50	71	+71	No	+$21	05-16 18:47
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 17?	5	$50	70	+70	No	+$20	05-16 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 17?	7	$50	67	+67	No	+$17	05-16 23:02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?	5	$50	105	+105	No	+$55	05-17 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 17?	1	$50	81	+81	No	+$31	05-16 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?	1	$50	89	+89	No	+$39	05-17 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 17?	2	$50	70	+70	Yes	-$50	05-16 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?	8	$50	68	+68	Yes	-$50	05-16 23:06
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 18?	3	$50	68	+68	No	+$18	05-16 21:22
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 18?	4	$50	70	+70	No	+$20	05-17 05:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 19?	3	$50	72	+72	No	+$22	05-17 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?	6	$50	102	+102	Yes	-$50	05-16 16:17
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 17?	5	$50	74	+74	Yes	-$50	05-16 16:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 00:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 19?	No	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0x1aa42f…
05-18 00:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 19?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5fe8a6…
05-18 00:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 19?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9ec006…
05-18 00:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x6efcb5…
05-18 00:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xba8523…
05-18 00:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x28728c…
05-18 00:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4dd7d3…
05-18 00:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x01a88d…
05-18 00:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 19?	No	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xf29bd9…
05-17 23:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1d8c38…
05-17 23:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5e8df1…
05-17 23:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 19?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x6c465f…
05-17 23:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 19?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xd65c1c…
05-17 23:09:59	arch highest temperature in cape town on may 19 2026 22c	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x21eadd…
05-17 23:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x619a29…
05-17 23:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x261119…
05-17 23:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 19?	No	BUY	78	65¢	$50	0x9209d3…
05-17 22:49:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 19?	No	BUY	126	67¢	$84	0x1fd0c0…
05-17 22:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 19?	No	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0xa3b192…
05-17 22:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 19?	No	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0xfc872b…
05-17 22:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 19?	No	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x3e783f…
05-17 22:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 19?	No	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x3a93e5…
05-17 22:44:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 19?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x3cc2c8…
05-17 22:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 19?	No	BUY	190	67¢	$127	0x7779bf…
05-17 07:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 18?	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xb6da26…
05-17 07:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 18?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x1e0117…
05-17 07:09:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 19?	No	BUY	47	69¢	$33	0xfcda84…
05-17 07:01:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 19?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xbfb02a…
05-17 06:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 18?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xba53ad…
05-17 06:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 18?	No	BUY	39	69¢	$27	0xb52fb1…
05-17 06:37:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 18?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x20ef7c…
05-17 06:30:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 19?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xec95e7…
05-17 06:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 18?	No	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0x2e9f1e…
05-17 06:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?	No	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xbb262a…
05-17 06:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x9805b5…
05-17 06:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?	No	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0x770d76…
05-17 05:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x65dcf7…
05-17 05:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 18?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x505c23…
05-17 05:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xd9b91f…
05-17 05:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?	No	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0x9933f2…
05-17 05:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 18?	No	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x0c7e0f…
05-17 05:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 18?	No	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0x883607…
05-17 05:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 17?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xeb212a…
05-17 04:52:23	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 19?	No	BUY	78	74¢	$58	0xfe32c7…
05-17 04:15:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 18?	No	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xf1765e…
05-17 04:06:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 18?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x12c63b…
05-17 04:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 18?	No	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x25c775…
05-17 03:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 18?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf235f8…
05-17 02:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 17?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x24b959…
05-17 00:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x94776a…
05-17 00:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0x4998bc…
05-17 00:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x62f648…
05-17 00:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x6bae85…
05-17 00:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0xa69d4c…
05-17 00:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x6113e4…
05-17 00:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x37a8fb…
05-17 00:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0x24ea4e…
05-17 00:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0xe39f76…
05-17 00:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x81f775…
05-17 00:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 18?	No	BUY	22	71¢	$16	0x77730c…
05-16 23:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?	No	BUY	32	60¢	$19	0x3c7137…
05-16 23:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x74eae1…
05-16 23:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 17?	No	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0x7fd86e…
05-16 22:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3f5a88…
05-16 22:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x709401…
05-16 22:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 17?	No	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x3fd74a…
05-16 22:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 17?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x42ec8f…
05-16 22:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 17?	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xce7599…
05-16 22:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb4106b…
05-16 21:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x65f29f…
05-16 21:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 17?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xdf0d87…
05-16 21:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xfcc434…
05-16 21:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x6e815a…
05-16 21:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 17?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfe1d83…
05-16 21:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 17?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x389aed…
05-16 21:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 18?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x446782…
05-16 21:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on May 18?	No	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0xc15736…
05-16 21:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 17?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xdb7afc…
05-16 21:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 17?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcdf6d5…
05-16 20:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?	No	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x79b4d6…
05-16 20:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 17?	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xf76431…
05-16 20:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 17?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xf958f9…
05-16 20:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 18?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf6c5ec…
05-16 20:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 17?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x3ee83c…
05-16 20:37:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 18?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xbb1d2f…
05-16 20:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 18?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x5fd909…
05-16 20:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 17?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x353111…
05-16 20:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 17?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x974c12…
05-16 20:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xe26289…
05-16 20:02:57	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 18?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x076ad6…
05-16 20:02:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 18?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x9d7f69…
05-16 20:02:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 18?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xffc5d5…
05-16 20:02:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 18?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x47d52d…
05-16 19:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x916a54…
05-16 19:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x35e6ec…
05-16 19:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x7093dc…
05-16 19:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 17?	No	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x0bf991…
05-16 19:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x303b69…
05-16 19:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 17?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xef51f2…
05-16 19:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 17?	No	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0xfe643f…