Merry-Advantage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$61

Hit rate

28.2%

Resolved

299

Trades

5,630

lifetime

Volume

$31.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$289

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-26 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 8% -$11,843

Other

11% 8% -$1,975

Politics

6% 22% +$905

Sports

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+4,441	$189	4¢	$171	-$18	10-09 06:26
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,283	$62	7¢	$87	+$25	09-21 16:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	+1,900	$96	2¢	$30	-$66	10-15 18:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	+99	$3	1¢	$1	-$2	10-15 23:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	345	$2.3K	157,731	0	+157,731	No	-$2,300	05-24 13:50
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	192	$1.7K	43,693	0	+43,693	No	-$1,727	04-30 06:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	208	$1.5K	85,969	0	+85,969	No	-$1,530	05-25 16:00
will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	85	$1.1K	8,294	1,974	+6,319	No	+$784	07-17 08:32
will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	60	$1.1K	10,596	2,519	+8,078	No	+$641	07-16 12:03
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	35	$953	3,211	1,817	+1,394	No	+$80	04-29 16:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	15	$856	750	750	+0	Yes	+$641	06-17 05:28
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?	18	$804	1,185	1,185	+0	Yes	+$672	09-21 01:22
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	207	$803	51,308	0	+51,308	No	-$803	04-29 20:42
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23?	16	$754	382	740	-357	Yes	+$367	05-23 21:07
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	62	$714	21,827	0	+21,827	No	-$714	06-26 17:43
will bitcoin reach 70k august 17 23 2026	5	$643	1,246	746	+500	Yes	+$1,076	08-19 21:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	86	$602	72,082	0	+72,082	No	-$602	04-29 18:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$548	500	500	+0	Yes	+$448	04-08 05:24
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	91	$500	23,005	0	+23,005	No	-$500	05-17 11:46
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	67	$470	11,651	0	+11,651	No	-$470	04-29 18:52
will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	14	$467	997	596	+401	No	+$413	08-25 07:38
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	12	$381	3,000	2,750	+250	No	-$51	06-12 06:05
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?	60	$336	15,976	0	+15,976	No	-$336	05-21 00:07
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	62	$335	55,558	0	+55,558	No	-$335	05-29 15:35
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?	75	$333	11,428	0	+11,428	No	-$333	06-03 13:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	124	$330	93,382	0	+93,382	No	-$330	06-17 05:28
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	3	$311	500	300	+200	No	+$211	09-21 20:19
will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	60	$308	6,356	294	+6,062	No	+$70	07-19 08:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	63	$273	11,610	0	+11,610	No	-$273	06-24 14:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	14	$251	1,557	0	+1,557	No	-$251	04-13 18:59
will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	12	$246	4,397	0	+4,397	No	-$246	03-23 20:45
will ethereum reach 3300 in september 2026	43	$230	5,584	0	+5,584	No	-$230	09-23 21:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	13	$226	1,600	600	+1,000	No	+$59	07-29 05:24
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?	16	$208	3,253	0	+3,253	No	-$208	09-25 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:57:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	385	2¢	$10	0x9a1a9a…
10-26 15:37:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x63ec81…
10-26 15:10:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x3473eb…
10-26 15:08:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x9dd3a1…
10-26 15:07:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xefa3e9…
10-26 15:05:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	250	6¢	$16	0x3ff805…
10-26 09:59:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	400	3¢	$10	0xf140dd…
10-26 09:50:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	344	2¢	$7	0x3f2cb7…
10-26 09:49:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	121	2¢	$3	0xf7c306…
10-24 15:19:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x281ec8…
10-24 13:01:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	112	7¢	$7	0x7a3448…
10-24 12:54:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x428a0e…
10-24 12:47:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x218ef3…
10-24 05:11:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$4	0x9ef615…
10-24 05:10:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$33	0x61b96e…
10-18 20:24:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x3a6140…
10-18 20:17:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc2f775…
10-18 20:16:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xeb50f2…
10-18 20:16:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	95	4¢	$4	0xfbf97c…
10-17 19:26:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	244	4¢	$9	0xae9ec0…
10-17 18:50:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb4e07e…
10-17 18:08:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x76e187…
10-17 18:03:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x810b62…
10-17 17:35:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xe611eb…
10-17 17:04:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	97	12¢	$12	0x8fd250…
10-17 16:40:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	58	7¢	$4	0xed5cdb…
10-17 16:27:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	58	7¢	$4	0x44c2a8…
10-17 16:13:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	220	4¢	$8	0x1c3f4c…
10-17 16:10:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0x94370c…
10-17 16:09:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	225	4¢	$8	0x39e13a…
10-17 16:03:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	319	4¢	$11	0x3e88ad…
10-17 16:03:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	214	3¢	$7	0x5178f1…
10-15 23:13:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0xc6c8f2…
10-15 18:14:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x98307b…
10-15 17:55:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x528d65…
10-15 16:50:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x46e85c…
10-15 16:45:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$26	0x9cd22a…
10-11 13:25:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb7e400…
10-11 13:25:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0x69c038…
10-11 13:03:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xa22295…
10-11 12:45:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf8b7d1…
10-11 12:44:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	323	2¢	$5	0x9f7b18…
10-11 12:43:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x52579f…
10-11 12:05:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xc73a93…
10-11 12:04:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	76	2¢	$1	0x8f6d66…
10-11 06:27:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x1ef4de…
10-11 06:24:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	61	4¢	$2	0x41aa77…
10-11 06:24:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x81a60b…
10-11 06:22:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x81384a…
10-11 06:22:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	258	4¢	$10	0x19d91b…
10-11 06:21:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0xc48811…
10-09 06:26:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	140	3¢	$4	0x215a3a…
10-08 17:36:18	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	509	1¢	$3	0x19e207…
10-08 17:05:20	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	491	1¢	$3	0xa51520…
10-08 16:55:53	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xfceac8…
10-08 16:26:45	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	900	1¢	$6	0x40596e…
10-08 16:18:56	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe91ea5…
10-08 15:28:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	297	1¢	$4	0xf60862…
10-08 15:23:24	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xaa397c…
10-08 15:04:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb7f6c0…
10-08 15:04:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x8e2710…
10-08 15:02:56	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd7f705…
10-08 14:55:38	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x38fbf9…
10-08 14:54:15	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x5ac40f…
10-08 14:53:02	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf7f443…
10-08 14:24:48	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x0e4fa2…
10-08 14:00:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc6c2a2…
10-08 13:56:17	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x78bdb1…
10-08 13:54:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4a42c7…
10-08 13:40:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x07a29a…
10-08 13:39:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe4b24d…
10-08 13:39:38	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x0e96d3…
10-08 13:39:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xcd3c1b…
10-08 13:37:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x68863e…
10-08 13:36:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x0cf349…
10-08 13:35:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x15ad6f…
10-08 13:23:41	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc5f24e…
10-08 13:14:14	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa05dd7…
10-08 13:13:36	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x77e291…
10-08 13:13:05	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x129ff6…
10-08 13:09:47	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x85e8ab…
10-08 13:02:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$0	0xe23d4a…
10-08 13:01:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x82f807…
10-08 13:01:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x554b43…
10-08 13:01:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0xc89aa8…
10-08 12:52:42	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xab1bbe…
10-08 12:52:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x1ab02e…
10-08 12:44:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x8e1228…
10-08 12:42:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x802f2d…
10-08 12:41:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb23a7c…
10-08 12:30:27	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x6fa08e…
10-08 12:08:03	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x23aaeb…
10-08 12:05:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x853220…
10-08 12:04:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xeeb3db…
10-08 11:57:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	345	2¢	$6	0x78e23f…
10-08 11:42:15	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xddbc45…
10-08 11:34:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x9cc91d…
10-08 11:32:56	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xb09eab…
10-08 11:24:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	219	2¢	$4	0x38de12…
10-07 02:26:02	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in October?	Yes	BUY	99	4¢	$4	0x742314…