Wasteful-Kilogram — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

Trades

372

lifetime

Volume

$6.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Tech

47% — —

Other

36% 83% +$5

Crypto

9% 50% $-0

Politics

7% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	46	$1.1K	555	555	+0	open	—	03-31 07:56
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	28	$637	325	325	+0	open	—	02-26 22:26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	31	$575	299	287	+12	open	—	04-28 06:24
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	13	$333	169	169	+0	open	—	02-12 07:55
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	15	$314	163	163	-0	open	—	01-19 08:42
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	8	$214	112	112	+0	open	—	02-07 08:00
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	7	$159	81	81	+0	open	—	02-08 08:07
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	6	$152	77	77	+0	open	—	03-30 19:11
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	6	$143	75	75	+0	open	—	01-21 19:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$127	66	66	+0	open	—	04-25 18:51
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	6	$110	56	56	+0	open	—	03-09 19:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	6	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	06-09 06:23
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	4	$95	49	49	+0	open	—	01-22 17:30
lal bar ovi 2026 01 25 bar	4	$82	45	45	+0	open	—	01-25 17:57
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	4	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	02-27 07:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	04-27 18:48
Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$62	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	02-10 19:04
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 600k 366	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	02-11 18:46
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	02-13 08:10
cdr alb fcb 2026 02 03 fcb	2	$59	33	33	+0	open	—	02-03 21:34
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	2	$55	29	29	+0	open	—	03-13 08:19
will manfred reyes villa win the 2026 cochabamba mayoral election 983	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	03-12 05:53
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	02-03 09:53
will avatar fire and ash 4th weekend box office be less than 27m	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	01-11 18:39
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 420 439	3	$50	27	27	+0	open	—	01-13 09:50
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	2	$49	26	26	+0	open	—	01-30 07:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	03-19 12:50
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	03-30 07:31
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	01-17 09:39
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	01-22 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 06:24:09	es2 mal lpm 2026 06 10 btts	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdf8520…
06-09 06:23:48	es2 alm cas 2026 06 09 btts	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc6d8a9…
06-09 06:23:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xc62b7e…
06-08 07:00:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x19dc44…
06-07 17:55:07	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xfd46c3…
06-07 06:12:57	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe226ab…
06-06 10:23:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xfffbcd…
06-05 06:51:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5696db…
06-04 17:31:49	bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0c6c52…
06-04 17:31:42	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcc8d3c…
06-04 07:47:55	bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2ac2f9…
06-03 19:23:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe725ff…
06-03 16:32:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x2c64c0…
06-02 17:36:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa8921b…
05-30 18:22:18	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2c0105…
05-30 07:46:39	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x51f4aa…
05-29 07:44:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xaff3b8…
05-27 16:27:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6c2273…
05-27 16:27:10	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x98be7b…
05-27 08:20:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0b3f8e…
05-27 08:20:10	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53f102…
05-26 07:34:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd4202a…
05-25 18:16:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x90fe12…
05-25 17:54:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a1c1f…
05-22 17:26:23	Valencia vs. Real Madrid	Valencia	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8ac262…
05-21 17:58:19	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x58fcc0…
05-21 08:20:08	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8c6ebe…
05-19 07:31:05	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7ab3ca…
05-18 17:44:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0a7426…
05-18 09:05:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7aae53…
05-17 19:30:14	CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x38e078…
05-17 19:29:44	Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x60c3dd…
05-17 19:29:36	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3ebe86…
05-17 08:30:40	CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4bedcd…
05-17 08:28:46	Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3ce221…
05-17 08:28:11	Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x272da9…
05-17 08:27:41	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xfcc330…
05-17 08:27:20	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x867085…
05-16 07:29:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x8ab6f3…
05-16 06:34:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfaf851…
05-16 06:31:02	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x636ae9…
05-15 17:57:24	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x07de81…
05-15 17:55:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2b4e2d…
05-15 11:15:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6419fe…
05-14 19:38:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0c536f…
05-14 06:35:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5f3c71…
05-14 06:06:42	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcc313f…
05-13 06:58:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x783cf3…
05-13 06:56:51	Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8db2d3…
05-13 06:56:25	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x43d1e2…
05-12 18:09:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9373c0…
05-12 10:09:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4423e2…
05-12 10:09:03	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xd9bc8f…
05-11 17:39:04	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x649212…
05-11 17:38:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1a18fd…
05-11 06:02:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8555eb…
05-11 06:01:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdd4cf9…
05-10 17:44:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1c4b29…
05-10 17:42:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xdf9b57…
05-10 06:44:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd918e4…
05-10 06:43:35	RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf9f5cd…
05-09 17:27:36	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x9238f4…
05-09 05:24:58	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x52e810…
05-09 05:18:03	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x6addae…
05-08 11:06:44	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x23c9f0…
05-08 11:04:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x822023…
05-07 05:40:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x012a1d…
05-06 07:42:38	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x1eed8e…
05-06 07:41:16	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x11b476…
05-06 07:40:16	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x70e618…
05-03 21:20:52	Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3d3181…
05-03 07:38:12	Gonzalo Garcia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x376fa5…
05-03 07:38:00	Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2eae74…
05-03 07:35:24	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4a9f8b…
04-28 06:24:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x766e2f…
04-27 18:48:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xd95427…
04-27 07:36:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x120882…
04-26 08:56:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x77fe44…
04-25 18:54:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x80c038…
04-25 18:54:28	Valencia vs. Real Madrid	Valencia	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x907ef6…
04-25 18:51:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x86c943…
04-25 07:41:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x66a35f…
04-24 19:11:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3c7b26…
04-24 06:43:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc78805…
04-23 19:51:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x110935…
04-23 06:56:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb75e5c…
04-23 06:55:38	lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 btts	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1f56a0…
04-23 06:55:04	lal lev sev 2026 04 23 btts	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb82920…
04-23 06:54:44	lal ray esp 2026 04 23 btts	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x41ceec…
04-22 06:14:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x090b67…
04-21 18:30:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x53e66e…
04-21 18:26:40	Will Atlético de Madrid qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x05c808…
04-21 07:25:30	Will Atlético de Madrid qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x768ec5…
04-21 07:24:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x39c2f5…
04-20 06:27:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x072865…
04-20 06:27:26	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0xd163f5…
04-19 18:23:48	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0xe06180…
04-19 18:22:30	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xdb4961…
04-19 18:22:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xdc58c7…
04-19 08:08:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x45d643…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	57	$1.91M	10,636	06-09 20:26
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	54	$5.86K	1,592	06-10 01:14
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	52	$808.5K	8,990	05-30 17:24
Infamous-Ocelot 0x7ea5…de7b	52	$491.9K	3,789	06-09 18:59
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	52	$110.0K	2,898	05-30 17:26
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	47	$345.4K	5,543	06-09 18:23
(anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2	47	$27.4K	2,536	03-18 18:10
Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995	45	$484.1K	3,990	05-17 18:38