Grotesque-Ephemeris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.52K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

3,674

Trades

17,194

lifetime

Volume

$86.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 05-27 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% -$1,501

Other

0% 63% -$22

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 18:40 UTC	14	$708	600	400	+200	Up	+$84	03-07 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	55	$693	1,698	0	+1,698	Down	-$15	05-14 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 20:45 UTC	33	$592	600	597	+3	Down	-$36	03-07 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	34	$545	1,020	0	+1,020	Up	+$2	05-14 01:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	98	$521	1,088	0	+1,088	Down	-$21	05-14 02:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	80	$458	997	0	+997	Up	-$28	05-13 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 20:55 UTC	14	$405	411	200	+211	Down	-$9	03-07 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	96	$399	918	0	+918	Down	+$101	05-13 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	186	$370	798	0	+798	Down	-$93	05-14 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	109	$353	753	0	+753	Up	-$29	05-14 02:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	89	$320	715	0	+715	Up	-$3	05-13 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	5	$313	277	277	+0	Down	+$43	05-11 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 18:30 UTC	7	$297	300	150	+150	Up	+$0	03-07 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	8	$290	285	285	+0	Down	+$32	05-21 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	26	$281	790	0	+790	Down	-$245	05-14 07:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 00:15 UTC	13	$280	200	200	+0	Down	+$76	03-08 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	7	$265	347	0	+347	Up	-$231	05-14 03:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	89	$249	535	0	+535	Up	-$33	05-14 02:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	141	$243	480	0	+480	Up	-$5	05-14 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	7	$224	332	11	+321	Down	+$113	05-13 18:57
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	14	$216	51	191	-140	Up	+$13	04-25 11:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 20:15 UTC	20	$215	440	0	+440	Up	+$25	03-07 20:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 20:30 UTC	7	$214	311	192	+119	Up	-$84	03-07 20:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC	11	$213	120	120	+0	Up	+$24	03-04 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 18:35 UTC	28	$212	434	0	+434	Up	-$12	03-07 18:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	25	$199	741	0	+741	Up	-$116	05-14 05:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 22:15 UTC	11	$198	400	0	+400	Down	+$2	03-07 22:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 23:00 UTC	8	$198	400	0	+400	Up	+$2	03-07 23:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 22:45 UTC	16	$198	400	0	+400	Up	+$2	03-07 22:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 21:45 UTC	16	$198	400	0	+400	Up	+$2	03-07 21:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf416d1…
05-27 15:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8657eb…
05-27 08:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x8b5132…
05-27 08:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4bf26e…
05-27 08:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0fe76e…
05-27 08:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xf71a49…
05-27 08:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7a7eb5…
05-27 08:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x40f852…
05-27 07:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xb4208a…
05-27 07:45:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x13681f…
05-27 07:41:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xb7d71e…
05-27 07:41:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x1df7f5…
05-27 07:34:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0d91d3…
05-27 07:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb4acd7…
05-27 07:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x47f473…
05-27 07:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x6dc521…
05-27 07:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5a0688…
05-27 07:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xca786a…
05-27 07:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xacd02c…
05-27 07:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xd10a3f…
05-27 07:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x64733c…
05-27 07:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x1d06ea…
05-27 07:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x91f85d…
05-27 07:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x682e21…
05-27 06:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdcc893…
05-27 06:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xbef162…
05-27 06:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3a3986…
05-27 06:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x63b6ee…
05-27 06:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7b8c00…
05-27 06:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc95425…
05-27 06:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3cb318…
05-27 06:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xad0281…
05-27 06:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x1f0794…
05-27 06:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xe3624f…
05-27 06:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x05bc6c…
05-27 06:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xf49b08…
05-27 06:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x909901…
05-27 06:32:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x54d40c…
05-27 06:32:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x14cbda…
05-27 06:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x969d81…
05-27 06:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8b24ab…
05-27 06:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf8e9db…
05-27 06:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x57ff2e…
05-27 06:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xdea808…
05-27 06:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x56902a…
05-27 06:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x19c8ad…
05-27 06:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x832c21…
05-27 06:17:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x009773…
05-27 06:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x059781…
05-27 06:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8aeab1…
05-27 06:11:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf54dd4…
05-27 06:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2127fb…
05-27 05:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x036367…
05-27 05:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x188a10…
05-27 05:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9e5e45…
05-27 05:31:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3f2615…
05-27 05:30:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc96d5a…
05-27 05:30:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfacf3b…
05-27 05:30:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x02e44f…
05-27 05:30:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe881dc…
05-27 05:30:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc579e0…
05-27 05:21:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfb736c…
05-27 05:21:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xeb0ea6…
05-27 05:19:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x912958…
05-27 05:18:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa141d1…
05-27 05:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbb438a…
05-27 05:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x944533…
05-27 05:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc33bf5…
05-27 05:12:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbdeb27…
05-27 05:12:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x2fa0fe…
05-27 05:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa88a09…
05-27 04:30:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe54865…
05-26 23:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x261982…
05-26 23:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x10d291…
05-26 23:47:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x716f95…
05-26 22:06:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x869d8e…
05-26 20:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x56174c…
05-26 20:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0395fd…
05-26 19:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb0f68b…
05-26 18:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x77daa5…
05-26 18:03:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7115f3…
05-26 18:03:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x6d252a…
05-26 18:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x196539…
05-26 18:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0baf8b…
05-26 17:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x51c804…
05-26 17:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xe4c7cb…
05-26 17:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa37c57…
05-26 17:37:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2b8031…
05-26 17:37:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xfaec9d…
05-26 17:37:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xba92f1…
05-26 17:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9ae93e…
05-26 17:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x979ac9…
05-26 17:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x473c49…
05-26 17:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x8be068…
05-26 17:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe7b757…
05-26 16:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa88f91…
05-26 16:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x3216f8…
05-26 16:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x023080…
05-26 16:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x11bd44…
05-26 16:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xab0a47…