Grotesque-Ephemeris — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$56

Unrealized P&L

+$23

Hit rate

40.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

22 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$523

$523 lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$61

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% $-56

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (7)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up		+32	$19	99¢	$32	+$13	05-05 23:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up		+29	$19	100¢	$29	+$11	05-05 22:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$40	80	+80	open	—	05-05 08:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$39	51	+51	open	—	05-05 12:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$39	51	+51	Down	$-39	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$39	51	+51	open	—	05-05 12:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$39	50	+50	Up	+$11	05-05 01:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$39	58	+58	Down	$-39	05-05 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$39	58	+58	open	—	05-05 11:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$38	49	+49	open	—	05-05 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$38	53	+53	open	—	05-05 07:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$30	49	+49	open	—	05-05 14:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$20	27	+27	open	—	05-05 21:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$20	27	+27	open	—	05-05 20:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$19	29	+29	open	—	05-05 21:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$19	29	+29	open	—	05-05 22:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	05-05 22:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	05-05 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	13	+13	Down	+$8	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$2	05-04 21:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 14:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-05 18:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	60¢	$19	0x2b2d5d…
05-05 22:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	64¢	$19	0xc8424b…
05-05 22:04:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe0924b…
05-05 21:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x6e69de…
05-05 21:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x63981d…
05-05 20:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xebe90c…
05-05 20:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x0812b2…
05-05 18:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd8bb0a…
05-05 14:47:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x34643a…
05-05 14:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	62¢	$30	0xc23872…
05-05 12:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x0c9216…
05-05 12:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x82b7ed…
05-05 11:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	58	67¢	$39	0x95efb1…
05-05 08:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xb18223…
05-05 07:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	53	73¢	$38	0x1e3535…
05-05 07:25:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	49	78¢	$38	0x4a0247…
05-05 04:40:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	58	67¢	$39	0xb5c6f2…
05-05 04:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0xa44b93…
05-05 03:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe8c8a0…
05-05 03:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xdf83ad…
05-05 01:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x54f266…
05-04 21:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3efb8a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	20	$747	129	05-05 23:10
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	14	$1.18K	72	05-05 23:05
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	13	$1.13K	55	05-05 23:10
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	13	$675	51	05-05 23:10
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	9	$821	44	05-05 18:27
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	4	$798	85	05-05 08:10
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	3	$681	7	05-05 03:29