Grouchy-Chill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

170

Trades

210

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 09-20 17:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 78% -$9

Sports

22% 17% $0

Other

17% 69% $0

Politics

12% 56% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$517	259	259	+0	No	$0	02-13 10:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	4	$389	195	195	+0	No	$0	04-26 06:40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$283	142	142	+0	Yes	-$1	05-27 03:25
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$266	134	134	+0	No	$0	01-27 04:08
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$264	132	132	+0	No	$0	05-27 04:17
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$262	132	132	+0	No	$0	01-27 04:28
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	2	$261	131	131	+0	No	+$0	01-30 00:20
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$260	130	130	+0	No	$0	05-27 03:56
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	03-09 12:11
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$250	125	125	+0	No	$0	02-13 10:54
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$250	125	125	+0	No	$0	05-14 07:58
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$250	125	125	+0	No	+$0	02-09 12:59
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$250	125	125	+0	No	$0	02-10 16:04
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$248	124	124	+0	No	$0	03-14 08:28
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$247	124	124	+0	No	$0	03-12 10:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	2	$244	122	122	+0	No	$0	05-20 03:49
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$244	122	122	+0	No	$0	03-02 09:01
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$241	121	121	+0	No	$0	03-12 11:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	2	$240	120	120	+0	No	$0	05-20 04:14
will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	2	$232	116	116	+0	No	$0	03-20 04:13
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$214	108	108	+0	No	$0	03-03 04:06
will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	2	$209	105	105	+0	No	$0	03-28 04:21
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$207	104	104	+0	No	$0	04-07 06:35
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$207	104	104	+0	No	$0	04-08 04:38
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$207	104	104	+0	No	$0	04-07 07:26
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$200	101	101	+0	No	$0	02-10 16:50
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$194	97	97	+0	No	$0	04-21 08:45
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	04-20 05:46
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$190	96	96	+0	open	—	05-09 06:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	2	$186	93	93	+0	No	$0	04-26 07:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 17:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on September 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1844e3…
09-20 17:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C or higher on September 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5f4730…
08-11 06:09:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xfe8c3c…
07-17 08:54:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xbbddd2…
07-17 08:52:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xefa2d0…
06-26 09:58:13	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x9a66e1…
06-19 12:11:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 20?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x0a6529…
05-31 06:40:18	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xc06d57…
05-31 06:38:49	LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Top Esports	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xcf245f…
05-31 06:33:32	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbf1cb7…
05-30 08:21:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xffeb24…
05-30 08:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x19e21c…
05-28 10:38:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xa2ad6b…
05-28 10:30:54	Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x23f2e4…
05-27 04:26:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x06ca58…
05-27 04:17:25	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x89dcbf…
05-27 04:02:32	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x98fd96…
05-27 03:58:11	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x9c6aee…
05-27 03:56:09	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x63c019…
05-27 03:31:42	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xd96e59…
05-27 03:25:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	142	99¢	$141	0x03b40f…
05-25 11:45:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x149d55…
05-24 12:09:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x5a0415…
05-24 12:08:41	Roland Garros WTA: Emma Raducanu vs Solana Sierra	Emma Raducanu	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x29674f…
05-23 12:54:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x03ab29…
05-22 06:22:11	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 18 above $460?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xb7611b…
05-21 08:54:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xcde684…
05-21 08:42:57	Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublik	Alexander Bublik	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8a68a7…
05-20 04:22:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x5ee1ba…
05-20 04:14:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xf96eb8…
05-20 03:59:31	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Julia Riera vs Robin Montgomery	Julia Riera	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xf9def9…
05-20 03:51:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xa2d699…
05-20 03:49:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x0611be…
05-20 03:17:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x6fa231…
05-19 12:04:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x5c93e5…
05-19 12:01:03	LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	paiN Gaming Academy	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x531829…
05-18 13:02:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x3ec3c0…
05-17 06:07:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x4cd92c…
05-16 12:32:56	Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0xf8d2e5…
05-15 12:59:50	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x4dc5a7…
05-14 08:07:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x4e5de2…
05-14 07:58:49	Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xea914d…
05-14 07:41:09	Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xb3fc24…
05-13 07:16:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x9fa2e2…
05-12 06:54:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0x5a1e29…
05-11 09:05:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x480674…
05-10 04:21:50	Will Solana dip to $70 May 4-10?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x042de0…
05-09 07:16:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x0a48a2…
05-09 07:08:29	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x799411…
05-09 06:51:43	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0xfa01fb…
05-09 06:49:26	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0xcf843a…
05-09 05:40:22	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xdcf2f4…
05-08 03:56:37	Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xd3cbaa…
05-07 04:06:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x8c1e3d…
05-07 04:03:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$90	0xbbae51…
05-07 03:22:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf509c6…
05-06 10:54:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xa414d6…
05-06 10:51:30	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0x075b6b…
05-06 09:07:04	Wuxi: Alafia Ayeni vs Soon-Woo Kwon	Soon-Woo Kwon	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd5d3d9…
05-06 09:04:20	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x634e23…
05-05 08:33:38	Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 5?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$98	0xa084ae…
05-04 09:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 4?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x4b4b72…
05-03 03:25:56	Will XRP dip to $1.30 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xb5f9c6…
05-02 04:55:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x2eda47…
05-01 12:05:50	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x6eaeec…
04-30 08:33:50	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x9bfded…
04-29 03:59:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x2c93cf…
04-28 04:23:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xbba826…
04-27 03:02:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xf274b9…
04-26 07:10:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xe19afa…
04-26 07:06:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x6c6633…
04-26 06:50:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xf27c41…
04-26 06:45:30	Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x94f2f7…
04-26 06:40:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xfba0dd…
04-26 06:22:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x6f1a8e…
04-26 06:20:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x994e5f…
04-26 06:00:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xaf9f48…
04-25 07:44:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x2c14a1…
04-24 11:05:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 24	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xf90a10…
04-23 06:51:44	ethereum above 2600 on april 23	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x4337d3…
04-22 10:17:20	ethereum above 2600 on april 22	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xa86109…
04-21 08:51:30	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x22ca6b…
04-21 08:45:24	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xece4c1…
04-21 08:26:20	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xbd9638…
04-20 05:58:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 20	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xe0dbf9…
04-20 05:47:02	lol blg ig1 2026 04 20	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd542e5…
04-20 05:46:16	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xcd7c3f…
04-20 05:27:48	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x07f63d…
04-19 05:25:30	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x70815a…
04-16 09:10:42	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 16	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x758624…
04-14 11:59:29	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xaafca0…
04-13 01:19:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x0b5329…
04-10 07:21:51	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xc76cff…
04-09 03:59:57	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x2f66fd…
04-08 06:16:45	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xcb5bc6…
04-08 04:42:15	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$1	0xae9585…
04-08 04:41:17	ethereum above 1900 on april 8	No	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x28c7ca…
04-08 04:40:49	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xaeaaff…
04-08 04:39:39	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 140 164	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$2	0xe42a45…
04-08 04:38:23	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x958ed0…