Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

18.9%

Resolved

Trades

261

lifetime

Volume

$3.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-29

last 11-04 20:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

76% 0% -$1

Politics

20% 20% -$6

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+0	$2	9¢	$0	-$2	10-31 19:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	9	$277	446	446	+0	open	—	11-03 05:22
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	11	$275	338	338	+0	open	—	11-04 15:48
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	6	$245	225	225	+0	open	—	11-04 19:50
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	27	$214	297	297	+0	open	—	11-04 19:21
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?	5	$144	144	144	+0	open	—	11-04 21:14
Blue tsunami in 2026?	8	$140	208	208	+0	open	—	11-04 00:39
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	3	$133	76	76	+0	No	-$3	11-03 03:56
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	8	$110	252	252	+0	open	—	11-01 00:21
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	7	$91	89	89	+0	open	—	11-02 17:55
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	3	$88	122	122	+0	open	—	11-04 21:25
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	4	$87	582	582	+0	open	—	11-02 20:18
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	8	$79	198	198	+0	open	—	11-01 14:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$73	98	98	+0	open	—	11-02 23:05
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	2	$67	50	50	+0	open	—	11-01 22:17
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	7	$65	120	120	+0	open	—	11-04 15:37
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	4	$60	45	45	+0	open	—	11-03 03:38
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	3	$60	119	119	+0	open	—	10-31 23:36
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	5	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	11-01 02:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	3	$46	98	98	+0	open	—	10-31 09:17
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	5	$45	39	39	+0	No	+$0	11-03 03:01
Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?	3	$43	49	49	+0	Yes	-$3	11-01 14:43
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	2	$41	39	39	+0	open	—	11-04 20:41
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	4	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	11-04 16:47
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	2	$38	62	62	+0	open	—	11-03 02:05
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	2	$34	100	100	+0	open	—	10-31 19:02
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	3	$33	39	39	+0	open	—	11-01 00:21
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	3	$33	98	98	+0	open	—	10-31 19:19
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?	3	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	11-03 23:09
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	7	$28	64	64	+0	open	—	11-04 07:40
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	5	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	11-03 10:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 21:25:22	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	Yes	SELL	112	25¢	$28	0x63985b…
11-04 21:20:01	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x32dd0f…
11-04 21:14:37	Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?	No	SELL	49	62¢	$30	0x383ec6…
11-04 20:41:55	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	42¢	$16	0xc1f02b…
11-04 20:18:48	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	Yes	BUY	122	47¢	$57	0x24019c…
11-04 20:14:27	Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?	No	BUY	49	74¢	$36	0x3fb695…
11-04 19:50:21	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	SELL	120	55¢	$66	0x54aea7…
11-04 19:50:06	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xd72d5d…
11-04 19:50:03	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	59	54¢	$32	0xff3495…
11-04 19:50:03	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	66	54¢	$36	0xe3b0af…
11-04 19:33:33	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x117429…
11-04 19:33:30	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xc1bb21…
11-04 19:26:10	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xc1ba39…
11-04 19:21:27	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	SELL	60	32¢	$19	0x1d6c3e…
11-04 18:21:25	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xd15624…
11-04 18:21:25	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xcc2b05…
11-04 18:21:25	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x1ba03b…
11-04 17:52:25	Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x79e1c8…
11-04 17:52:12	Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x4c0eb4…
11-04 16:47:03	Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x8e0eea…
11-04 16:47:00	Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x318114…
11-04 15:48:49	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	62	27¢	$17	0x259915…
11-04 15:48:40	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	62	28¢	$17	0x94caec…
11-04 15:37:12	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xfe62f1…
11-04 15:37:10	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x4501d1…
11-04 15:29:27	Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xfc012e…
11-04 15:29:19	Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x438127…
11-04 14:38:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xb84176…
11-04 14:09:49	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.01 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0x7c8047…
11-04 14:09:46	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.01 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0xf60d8a…
11-04 13:33:57	Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x859721…
11-04 13:33:54	Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xa440f4…
11-04 13:27:00	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xf9ae99…
11-04 13:26:58	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x750b3c…
11-04 11:57:28	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	SELL	113	7¢	$8	0xc6fefc…
11-04 11:57:25	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf73fce…
11-04 11:57:25	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	BUY	93	10¢	$9	0x7c9d04…
11-04 09:39:31	Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x786c3b…
11-04 09:39:24	Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x50e3e2…
11-04 08:16:43	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xfcbf32…
11-04 07:57:40	Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x284241…
11-04 07:48:03	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	10¢	$10	0xe01a12…
11-04 07:48:01	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xe5b81a…
11-04 07:40:31	Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xc3b56f…
11-04 07:18:22	Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	62	10¢	$6	0x632022…
11-04 07:16:25	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xfa9b42…
11-04 06:40:24	Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x390671…
11-04 04:45:49	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x9f56d9…
11-04 04:45:48	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x301586…
11-04 04:19:09	Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	13¢	$5	0xed946d…
11-04 03:45:04	Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	SELL	39	22¢	$9	0x70fb80…
11-04 03:31:51	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	8¢	$12	0x55383f…
11-04 03:31:45	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	9¢	$14	0x1ef14d…
11-04 03:22:58	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x7f60d4…
11-04 03:18:45	Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	17¢	$7	0x4521f7…
11-04 03:07:22	Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch	No	SELL	32	10¢	$3	0xe88513…
11-04 03:07:21	Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xac1bc5…
11-04 03:07:21	Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch	No	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x9c3b3d…
11-04 02:44:55	Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x29e3dd…
11-04 02:44:54	Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x858286…
11-04 02:44:54	Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x80f878…
11-04 02:44:54	Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x3dd0ea…
11-04 02:22:43	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x391352…
11-04 01:33:52	Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	SELL	31	30¢	$9	0xe2571e…
11-04 01:33:46	Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0x784e90…
11-04 01:29:16	Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xcc6f29…
11-04 01:29:09	Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xb28934…
11-04 00:39:01	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	SELL	78	19¢	$15	0x90d2a6…
11-04 00:38:52	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	78	21¢	$16	0x7a37f9…
11-04 00:02:39	Tuyo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x2c499e…
11-03 23:47:48	Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	46	16¢	$7	0x2b6753…
11-03 23:23:46	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x05cf37…
11-03 23:23:42	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x64c764…
11-03 23:09:51	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xa5aaf7…
11-03 23:09:49	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xaf545d…
11-03 23:09:13	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x3f9a4c…
11-03 23:03:25	Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xeebfec…
11-03 23:03:19	Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xbacde4…
11-03 23:02:31	Tuyo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x06991e…
11-03 23:00:22	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x984be4…
11-03 23:00:19	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x4b52ea…
11-03 22:54:37	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0xcca57c…
11-03 22:54:31	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	12¢	$3	0x81e241…
11-03 22:54:28	Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	8¢	$5	0x875643…
11-03 22:54:27	Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x9f02df…
11-03 22:54:22	Tuyo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x7266d9…
11-03 22:54:21	Tuyo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x75ee4f…
11-03 22:54:19	Tuyo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x5766fc…
11-03 22:51:28	Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xfe2d13…
11-03 22:47:36	Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xc9785e…
11-03 22:03:01	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	78	24¢	$18	0xc45f32…
11-03 22:02:54	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	78	25¢	$20	0x5254f3…
11-03 12:24:36	Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	28¢	$27	0x57fa6c…
11-03 11:24:28	Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x092dd6…
11-03 11:22:43	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	98	27¢	$26	0x70f14a…
11-03 11:22:37	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	98	29¢	$28	0xccaec0…
11-03 10:24:22	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x59f727…
11-03 10:15:48	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xea6a91…
11-03 10:15:48	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5f105b…
11-03 09:19:16	Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x07156c…