Realized P&L (7d)
-$95
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
8.5%
Resolved (7d)
16
Trades (7d)
663
893 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$12.8K
$15.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$2.95K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-29
last 11-11 12:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
74% 0% -$5
Politics
19% 21% -$94
Sports
3% — —
Crypto
2% 100% +$1
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? Yes +437 $415 84¢ $369 -$46 11-09 00:57
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? No +233 $217 86¢ $200 -$16 11-10 17:19
Will the total domestic gross for "Godzilla Minus Zero" be between $100M and $120M by December 15? No +150 $150 99¢ $148 -$1 11-10 21:05
Will FC Košice be relegated from the 2026-27 Slovak Niké Liga? No +148 $145 96¢ $142 -$3 11-10 22:47
Will Aleksandar Čupić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +117 $101 93¢ $109 +$8 11-09 05:19
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $182.5B by November 30? No +119 $106 88¢ $105 -$1 11-10 23:51
Will Johnny Walker fight Rizvan Kuniev next? No +122 $89 86¢ $104 +$16 11-11 12:17
Will Amedeo Modigliani's “Tête” sell for at least $43m at auction? No +119 $95 82¢ $97 +$2 11-11 09:23
White House press briefing room decommissioned by December 31? No +116 $93 82¢ $95 +$2 11-11 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 11? No +86 $39 100¢ $86 +$47 11-10 09:06
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +100 $71 86¢ $85 +$15 11-11 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on November 12? No +122 $95 70¢ $85 -$10 11-10 12:53
EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2027? No +95 $77 86¢ $82 +$5 11-10 20:31
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? No +149 $136 54¢ $81 -$55 11-10 21:35
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next? No +95 $81 83¢ $79 -$2 11-08 18:50
Will Tee Higgins have 12.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +95 $79 83¢ $79 $0 11-10 19:43
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +95 $69 81¢ $78 +$9 11-05 20:12
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +78 $57 99¢ $77 +$20 11-07 03:42
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +98 $71 77¢ $75 +$4 11-06 01:11
Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? No +78 $51 95¢ $74 +$23 11-06 11:13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 12? No +76 $67 96¢ $74 +$7 11-10 13:08
Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 45% by December 31? No +93 $72 79¢ $74 +$1 11-10 10:28
GTA VI Online released by June 30, 2027? Yes +93 $75 78¢ $73 -$1 11-10 09:38
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026? No +95 $71 76¢ $73 +$2 11-08 04:32
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +76 $57 94¢ $71 +$14 11-10 11:54
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +149 $38 46¢ $68 +$29 11-10 11:35
Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? Yes +122 $106 55¢ $68 -$38 11-10 17:46
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? No +437 $73 16¢ $68 -$6 11-08 23:57
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? No +124 $79 54¢ $67 -$12 11-09 15:49
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on November 13, 2026? No +73 $57 84¢ $61 +$5 11-10 23:10